bounce back system

i'm trying a system that if a team underachieves the spread by 14 points or more to take that team the following week ex:sept.25 atl was a 4 pt. fav at NO lost 23-3. this means atl played 24 pts. below their expected outcome. the following week they were a 7.5 fav at home against arizona and won 32-10 over the last 2 yrs the record is 91-54 a 62.7% clip 48-30 last year and 43-24 in 2005 the percentage would be higher if you took the raiders out who went 0-5 in this system over the last 2 yrs. ||an_cheers.gif' border=0>

this is for nfl not college

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you read that kelso sturgeon article too???

So far this year, the teams are 24-13 (64.8%). Teams playing their next game on the road are just 14-8 (63.6%), while teams playing their next games at home are 10-5 (66.7%). Remove the three teams appearing the most in this system (NO, StL, and Car - a combined 3-7 ATS, and the remaining teams are playing 21-6 ATS (9-1 if the next game is at home). Keep an eye out in the NFL forum for my Week 10 bounce theory report.

Even though this is based on past events and thousands of winning "systems" can be developed from past results which may or may not work for future events, it has some strength. Many times linemakers will give overlay lines on games like this to attract balanced action. It is interesting.