AMAZING NBA SYSTEM 236 -5 THIS YEAR ... NEEDS BACKTESTING!!

Hey guys so i did a test on all the Over unders to date on scoresandodds.com .... I looked for a streak of 3 consecutive over and unders and then chased the opposite play for 4 games. This came out to a ridiculous 236 -5 on the year.... if anyone could backtest this system it would be great . it took me along time to come up with theses numbers .. here they are by team break down

raps 9 - 0

cavs 7 - 0

atlanta 5 - 0

bobcats 7 - 0

pistons  8 - 0

76ers 5 -1

celts 11 - 0

kicks 10 - 0

bucks11 -1

bulls 4 - 0

rockets 6 - 1

spurs 8 - 0

magic 8 - 0

grizz 11 - 1

blazers 11 - 0

hornets 8 - 0

heat 12 - 0

g state 9 - 0

record 236 - 5 +156 units

I have the entire 2008-9 season in excel.  I will try to get cute and figure this out over the next couple of days.  Too bad you figured this out so late in the season.

i kno so bad .... it was just really easy to see using scores and odds and i figure since it was up so much units it might apply to other years ... just need to do more backtesting and need a free site...

question.  was your play based on 3 O/U's for both teams?  or just any team with 3 O/U. 

if the latter, what do you do when a team with 3 overs, faces a team with 3 unders?

it was based on three over under for any team .... and when that did happen i either passed on it all together becuase the record for a 4 game wait on w/l and (3 game chase) is 127 -12 for the year and still up 55 units so combined you can gather great profit ... i will also post the 4 game wait ( 3 game chase) w/l for eahc team

wolves2-0hawks 4-0mavs  6-0nets 1-0thunder 4-0nugs 1-0wiz 5-0pacers 4-0 lakers 5-0grizz 3-1blazers 3-0hornets  4-0heat 5-0g state 3-0
total 98- 5 
+ 68 units ... better then predicted  

Payday,

This is not looking as good for 2008-2009.  I am about 2/3rds through the season and have a record of 185-10.... barely a profit with a 4 game chase.  Did you test this with either waiting until a team has four overs or unders before starting the chase or just chasing the same result... i.e. a team has three overs in a row so play that team over four times for a chase???  I will try to finish this tomorrow and try some different scenarios.

I get 186-7 thus far quickly checking chasing the same result at the three in a row.  Will finish it up for 2008-9 tom.

yeh as u can tell from above i did a wait for 4 games and then chased a 3 game system ..... it ended up 68 units this year ... maybe it works bettter that way and gets better results?

Looks like this system was a lot better this year than last.  Here is what I got for 2008:

3 O/U chase opposite for 4 = 270-17

3 O/U in a row chase same result: 258-10*

4 O/U in a row chase opp result for 4 : 133-6*

4 O/U in a row chase same result for 4 : 132-10

*profitable angles

We could also check this for MLB.  Does anyone have spreadsheet of scores and odds for last seasons games??

76-2 if you wait for 5 O/U in a row with 4 game chase on opposite

74-4 "    with three game chase

74 -4 is not to bad

can you run a 3 wait o/u with a 3 game chase??

Three O/U in a row chase opp result for 3 games= 261-38

"                                     same result for 3 games= 244-24

Payday,

last season may be somewhat of an anomaly.  I run a quarter system which is why I have the spread sheets I do and found last year was off some in comparison to other seasons.  I am not sure if you are aware but you can go team by team on covers and look at all the past nba seasons which shows there results and whether it was an over/under.  May be helpful in testing previous seasons and puts everything right next to each other.... may be what you have been doing.....

where do you go in the covers ... i want to check every year from 2005  at least ... see if theres a good possiblity of winning units every year ... from what i see it looks like you end down alittle or up alot ... and thats decent in some circumstances

Click on scores, then click on a team.  This will take you into that teams area.  Click past results then change to whatever season you want to look at.  Goes back at least 5 years.

amazing thank you so much ... i have exams until next friday so ill be busy studying but we have lots of time until a new basketball season.. hopefully all the big free agents movving around dosnt screw up next years trends ... maybe we will each take a couple of years and see what the best trends are

Payday, let me know what you turn up on this.

Not too bad? At 94.8% It looks ridiculously profitable to me.......

Are you guys hoping for 100% locks or something?