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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Against the public bets chase

    georgiadog
    gentruchi
    scotth69
    michael550
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    Views: 822
    Posts: 18
     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2010 - 10:49 AM ET #1

    These are the rules. only sunday thru friday night games only pro and college. using martingale system.If i forget to post the plays please post for me I have a little one to take care of during the day.use covers consenous or freesportsbet consensous

    against the public spread
    10-20-40-80

    against the public over/under
    10-20-40-80
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    These are the rules. only sunday thru friday night games only pro and college. using martingale system.If i forget to post the plays please post for me I have a little one to take care of during the day.use covers consenous or freesportsbet consensous

    against the public spread
    10-20-40-80

    against the public over/under
    10-20-40-80
     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2010 - 10:52 AM ET #2

    1st play  spread                      Miami  pk   $10

    1st play o/u Miami/NE             Under  48    $10     
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    1st play  spread                      Miami  pk   $10

    1st play o/u Miami/NE             Under  48    $10     
     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2010 - 11:04 AM ET #3

    I am only using $10, I may increase after next week if this seems to work. don't have time backtrack, but this has did me pretty good this year for a small time better.

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    I am only using $10, I may increase after next week if this seems to work. don't have time backtrack, but this has did me pretty good this year for a small time better.

     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2010 - 2:43 AM ET #4

    public favorite spread     A- -$11 to win $10 loss     Miami pk

    O/U public favorite         A-  $11 to win $10 loss      Under 48
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    public favorite spread     A- -$11 to win $10 loss     Miami pk

    O/U public favorite         A-  $11 to win $10 loss      Under 48
     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2010 - 2:53 AM ET #5

    You can also play the first half also on this chase. would have won if you had. we will do this tommorow. 
    Rules are going against joe public for Sunday thru Friday night games college and pro football.Also added rule if it is close to 50 to 50 do not make a play.

    1st half  spread   A- $11 to win 10
    1st half o/u         A- $11 to win 10


    full game spread     B- -$22 to win $20     

    full game O/U          B-   $22 to win $20     


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    You can also play the first half also on this chase. would have won if you had. we will do this tommorow. 
    Rules are going against joe public for Sunday thru Friday night games college and pro football.Also added rule if it is close to 50 to 50 do not make a play.

    1st half  spread   A- $11 to win 10
    1st half o/u         A- $11 to win 10


    full game spread     B- -$22 to win $20     

    full game O/U          B-   $22 to win $20     


     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2010 - 11:28 AM ET #6

    Public favorite  is Troy St       Over also seems to be public favor, but it is close. I am going with the under
      1st half
    bet A-  Middle tenn st      -1 1/2 1st half   $11 to win 10
    bet  A-  Middle/Troyst O/U       Under    31        $11 to win 10
      Full game
    bet B-  Middle Tenn St           -3 1/2                    $22 to win $20 
    bet B-  Middle/Troy   O/U         Under 61 1/2     $22 to win $20 
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    Public favorite  is Troy St       Over also seems to be public favor, but it is close. I am going with the under
      1st half
    bet A-  Middle tenn st      -1 1/2 1st half   $11 to win 10
    bet  A-  Middle/Troyst O/U       Under    31        $11 to win 10
      Full game
    bet B-  Middle Tenn St           -3 1/2                    $22 to win $20 
    bet B-  Middle/Troy   O/U         Under 61 1/2     $22 to win $20 
     
    gentruchi
    gentruchi
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2010 - 5:41 PM ET #7

    What do you mean by Public Favorite is Troy St.??

    Troy is Road Dog...   (+3) . 

    I understand what you're trying to do but your data just doesn't make any sense...

    I won't trust on what books publishes on where the money is going...(like consensus and that stuff) but in line movement...

    For example tonight...the books move the line slightly on Middle Tennessee....that means they want some action on Troy...this is exactly opposite on what you're posting....

    I hope I explain myself...
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    What do you mean by Public Favorite is Troy St.??

    Troy is Road Dog...   (+3) . 

    I understand what you're trying to do but your data just doesn't make any sense...

    I won't trust on what books publishes on where the money is going...(like consensus and that stuff) but in line movement...

    For example tonight...the books move the line slightly on Middle Tennessee....that means they want some action on Troy...this is exactly opposite on what you're posting....

    I hope I explain myself...
     
    scotth69
    scotth69
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2010 - 12:05 AM ET #8

    you are looking at the consensus % on each bet, not line movement.
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    you are looking at the consensus % on each bet, not line movement.
     
    michael550
    michael550
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2010 - 1:32 AM ET #9

    this chase really makes no sense because the "public play" angle your using is more or less a guess on your part. Books had alot more money on midd tenn st than troy.
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    this chase really makes no sense because the "public play" angle your using is more or less a guess on your part. Books had alot more money on midd tenn st than troy.
     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2010 - 2:57 AM ET #10

    OK FADE THE PICKS THEN. 

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    OK FADE THE PICKS THEN. 

     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2010 - 3:06 AM ET #11

    [Quote: Originally Posted by gentruchi] What do you mean by Public Favorite is Troy St.??

    Troy is Road Dog...   (+3) . 

    I understand what you're trying to do but your data just doesn't make any sense...

    I won't trust on what books publishes on where the money is going...(like consensus and that stuff) but in line movement...

    For example tonight...the books move the line slightly on Middle Tennessee....that means they want some action on Troy...this is exactly opposite on what you're posting,

    I agree with you, when I posted the picks the data from sportsspy was the public was on Troy St. It did move more toward Middle Tennesse St closer to gametime. The Under hit both the 1st half and the game. do you agree that the public was taking the Over. moved from 61.5 to  63.5
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    [Quote: Originally Posted by gentruchi] What do you mean by Public Favorite is Troy St.??

    Troy is Road Dog...   (+3) . 

    I understand what you're trying to do but your data just doesn't make any sense...

    I won't trust on what books publishes on where the money is going...(like consensus and that stuff) but in line movement...

    For example tonight...the books move the line slightly on Middle Tennessee....that means they want some action on Troy...this is exactly opposite on what you're posting,

    I agree with you, when I posted the picks the data from sportsspy was the public was on Troy St. It did move more toward Middle Tennesse St closer to gametime. The Under hit both the 1st half and the game. do you agree that the public was taking the Over. moved from 61.5 to  63.5
     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2010 - 3:14 AM ET #12

    No one has to agree with me this is just my system. i didn't post my picks to get critiqued. I work nigh tshift  so there is no way for me to see where the line is moving at game start. this is just what I use as a system. not asking any one to follow me. 

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    No one has to agree with me this is just my system. i didn't post my picks to get critiqued. I work nigh tshift  so there is no way for me to see where the line is moving at game start. this is just what I use as a system. not asking any one to follow me. 

     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2010 - 12:03 PM ET #13

    1st half under  cleared 1 unit   1-0
    game O/U       cleared 1 unit   1-0

    public favorite 1st half   -1 unit
    public favorite  game     -3 units

    from pregame.com  sportsbookspy has UAB 68% spread to Central FLa 32% as of 11:55am.  also Over80%   Under 20%

    my play is 
    game Central florida    4.4 to win 4units
             Under               1.1 to win 1unit

    1sthalf play
              Central florida    2.2 to win 2units
              Under               1.1 to win 1unit
    both systems have us           -2units plus juice 

    remember this is my system. you don't have to like it.Come on we all just want to beet the man.
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    1st half under  cleared 1 unit   1-0
    game O/U       cleared 1 unit   1-0

    public favorite 1st half   -1 unit
    public favorite  game     -3 units

    from pregame.com  sportsbookspy has UAB 68% spread to Central FLa 32% as of 11:55am.  also Over80%   Under 20%

    my play is 
    game Central florida    4.4 to win 4units
             Under               1.1 to win 1unit

    1sthalf play
              Central florida    2.2 to win 2units
              Under               1.1 to win 1unit
    both systems have us           -2units plus juice 

    remember this is my system. you don't have to like it.Come on we all just want to beet the man.
     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2010 - 12:07 PM ET #14

    sorry forgot to post the spreads

    Central Fla -7 1sthalf    2.2 to win 2units   
    Central Fla -13 game    4.4 to win 4units

    1st half  Under 24         1.1 to win 1unit
    game    Under  49         1.1 to win 1unit
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    sorry forgot to post the spreads

    Central Fla -7 1sthalf    2.2 to win 2units   
    Central Fla -13 game    4.4 to win 4units

    1st half  Under 24         1.1 to win 1unit
    game    Under  49         1.1 to win 1unit
     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2010 - 12:26 PM ET #15

    I may have made a mistake looking at my data yesterday. today looking at vegasinsider. noticed 63% was on midd tenn st. i will post my percentage for now on .today vegasinsider has it  60%UAB  and 40%CentrFla at 12:22pm eastern. again if you disagree with my data fade me. please no negative comments. If you don't understand the chase I will explain to you if you don't ask like a smart__s.
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    I may have made a mistake looking at my data yesterday. today looking at vegasinsider. noticed 63% was on midd tenn st. i will post my percentage for now on .today vegasinsider has it  60%UAB  and 40%CentrFla at 12:22pm eastern. again if you disagree with my data fade me. please no negative comments. If you don't understand the chase I will explain to you if you don't ask like a smart__s.
     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 2:15 AM ET #16

    Central Fla -7 1sthalf    2.2 to win 2units  P
    Central Fla -13 game    4.4 to win 4units W
        
    1st half  Under 24         1.1 to win 1unit     W
    game    Under  49         1.1 to win 1unit     P

    5 UNITS WON TONIGHT

    FOR THE WEEK 
    UP 2.5 UNITS



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    Central Fla -7 1sthalf    2.2 to win 2units  P
    Central Fla -13 game    4.4 to win 4units W
        
    1st half  Under 24         1.1 to win 1unit     W
    game    Under  49         1.1 to win 1unit     P

    5 UNITS WON TONIGHT

    FOR THE WEEK 
    UP 2.5 UNITS



     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 2:22 AM ET #17

    Central Fla -7 1sthalf    2.2 to win 2units  W
    Central Fla -13 game    4.4 to win 4units W
        
    1st half  Under 24         1.1 to win 1unit     W
    game    Under  49         1.1 to win 1unit     P

    7 UNITS WON TONIGHT

    FOR THE WEEK 
    UP 4.5 UNITS

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    Central Fla -7 1sthalf    2.2 to win 2units  W
    Central Fla -13 game    4.4 to win 4units W
        
    1st half  Under 24         1.1 to win 1unit     W
    game    Under  49         1.1 to win 1unit     P

    7 UNITS WON TONIGHT

    FOR THE WEEK 
    UP 4.5 UNITS

     
     
    georgiadog
    georgiadog
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 2:25 AM ET #18

    this will be the last post for this system. i will post my picks in the football forum.
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    this will be the last post for this system. i will post my picks in the football forum.
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