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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    A version of JM system

    lucky leo
    ChuckyCheez
    reddevil134
    nolemonasses
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    lucky leo
    lucky leo
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    Posted: Feb. 26, 2011 - 11:36 PM ET #1

    I have been playing around and I stumbled on this.  Use John Morrisons NFL system for NBA.  I ran the numbers for this year.  I also ran it without buying points.  The best scenario is listed if you buy 2-3 points on C bet only.  So if you bet 22 to win 20 on your A bet here are the results

    66 games so far..

    35 won on A bet    +700   22 to win 20

    16 won on B bet   +288  44 to win 40

    12 won on C bet   +168  buy 2 points  120 to win 80

    3 losses   -564

    The grand total for year is +592!!! 

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    I have been playing around and I stumbled on this.  Use John Morrisons NFL system for NBA.  I ran the numbers for this year.  I also ran it without buying points.  The best scenario is listed if you buy 2-3 points on C bet only.  So if you bet 22 to win 20 on your A bet here are the results

    66 games so far..

    35 won on A bet    +700   22 to win 20

    16 won on B bet   +288  44 to win 40

    12 won on C bet   +168  buy 2 points  120 to win 80

    3 losses   -564

    The grand total for year is +592!!! 

     
    ChuckyCheez
    ChuckyCheez
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2011 - 12:16 AM ET #2

    Honestly, if you want to do all that chase crap, you can, but the system is 35-16 on A bets, if you were to bet $50 per every A game, you would be +$1090.  Now I much rather bet $100 per game and be up $2180.  I just hate doing all that chasing shit.  I mean I would just flat bet the A and C bets too because that would put you up 29.6 units.  That would be $1480 for a $50 player, and $2960 for the $100 player.  His A and C games are hitting at 71.2%, and that is REALLY GOOD. 



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    Honestly, if you want to do all that chase crap, you can, but the system is 35-16 on A bets, if you were to bet $50 per every A game, you would be +$1090.  Now I much rather bet $100 per game and be up $2180.  I just hate doing all that chasing shit.  I mean I would just flat bet the A and C bets too because that would put you up 29.6 units.  That would be $1480 for a $50 player, and $2960 for the $100 player.  His A and C games are hitting at 71.2%, and that is REALLY GOOD. 



     
    ChuckyCheez
    ChuckyCheez
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2011 - 12:28 AM ET #3

    Which version of the system are you following? Do you just play a team on a 3 game road trip?  What about if they are the favorite?  Do you take the ML or Spread?
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    Which version of the system are you following? Do you just play a team on a 3 game road trip?  What about if they are the favorite?  Do you take the ML or Spread?
     
    lucky leo
    lucky leo
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2011 - 10:20 AM ET #4

    No the A game is hitting at 53%  Slightly higher after clippers covered A last night.  No road trips or anything.  If a team loses and does not cover any 3 games in a row then they become a play.  Out of 67 games bet 36 won A bet, 16 won B bet, and 12 won C bet.  3 lost.  Without buying points the losses arent so costly and the chase isn't so bad. 
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    No the A game is hitting at 53%  Slightly higher after clippers covered A last night.  No road trips or anything.  If a team loses and does not cover any 3 games in a row then they become a play.  Out of 67 games bet 36 won A bet, 16 won B bet, and 12 won C bet.  3 lost.  Without buying points the losses arent so costly and the chase isn't so bad. 
     
    lucky leo
    lucky leo
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2011 - 10:22 AM ET #5

    I bet ats.  I never checked how it would be betting faves on ml. 
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    I bet ats.  I never checked how it would be betting faves on ml. 
     
    ChuckyCheez
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2011 - 7:00 PM ET #6

    hmm. not so bad.  Might as well bet $50 per game and make it worth while.  GO FOR THE GUSTO

    at $50 per game, the system would be up $1480.  Of course, it would be up $2960 at $100 per game.  Depending on your bank roll, that seems very profitable.  I could never follow a system that wants me to lay -160 per game.  It just seems like a lot of chasing and low profits when the C games lose.  I wouldn't mind buying 2 points on the C game, because it is only -140.

    I have been dabbling with a Ratings System and it has started   6-1 +$245.  It sure has had a promising start, but we will see how it performs down the stretch into the tourney.  I would love to see if i can profit $2000 in march.
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    hmm. not so bad.  Might as well bet $50 per game and make it worth while.  GO FOR THE GUSTO

    at $50 per game, the system would be up $1480.  Of course, it would be up $2960 at $100 per game.  Depending on your bank roll, that seems very profitable.  I could never follow a system that wants me to lay -160 per game.  It just seems like a lot of chasing and low profits when the C games lose.  I wouldn't mind buying 2 points on the C game, because it is only -140.

    I have been dabbling with a Ratings System and it has started   6-1 +$245.  It sure has had a promising start, but we will see how it performs down the stretch into the tourney.  I would love to see if i can profit $2000 in march.
     
    ChuckyCheez
    ChuckyCheez
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2011 - 7:16 PM ET #7

    Also, if you bet $100 per game on his C games, you'd be up $780 for the year.  Those don't come up as much, but I mean you could really load up on those because they are hitting at 80%
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    Also, if you bet $100 per game on his C games, you'd be up $780 for the year.  Those don't come up as much, but I mean you could really load up on those because they are hitting at 80%
     
    reddevil134
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2011 - 12:34 PM ET #8

    Great work luckey leo.

    are there many statistical similarities in the 3 losing series to possibly provide some sort of filter?

    secondly,will you be posting teams that qualify for this system the rest of this season?

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    Great work luckey leo.

    are there many statistical similarities in the 3 losing series to possibly provide some sort of filter?

    secondly,will you be posting teams that qualify for this system the rest of this season?

     
    nolemonasses
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2011 - 8:52 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyCheez:

    Honestly, if you want to do all that chase crap, you can, but the system is 35-16 on A bets, if you were to bet $50 per every A game, you would be +$1090.  Now I much rather bet $100 per game and be up $2180.  I just hate doing all that chasing shit.  I mean I would just flat bet the A and C bets too because that would put you up 29.6 units.  That would be $1480 for a $50 player, and $2960 for the $100 player.  His A and C games are hitting at 71.2%, and that is REALLY GOOD. 

    Chucky, when u flat bet the A's, are you buying points?


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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyCheez:

    Honestly, if you want to do all that chase crap, you can, but the system is 35-16 on A bets, if you were to bet $50 per every A game, you would be +$1090.  Now I much rather bet $100 per game and be up $2180.  I just hate doing all that chasing shit.  I mean I would just flat bet the A and C bets too because that would put you up 29.6 units.  That would be $1480 for a $50 player, and $2960 for the $100 player.  His A and C games are hitting at 71.2%, and that is REALLY GOOD. 

    Chucky, when u flat bet the A's, are you buying points?


     
    ChuckyCheez
    ChuckyCheez
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 1:18 AM ET #10

    No you are playing the money line...
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    No you are playing the money line...
     
    ChuckyCheez
    ChuckyCheez
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 1:19 AM ET #11

    Correction.  You dont buy points on A or B, just C.
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    Correction.  You dont buy points on A or B, just C.
     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 7:20 AM ET #12

    So you bet 100 on the A ML and don't double up along the way?
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    So you bet 100 on the A ML and don't double up along the way?
     
    lucky leo
    lucky leo
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2011 - 6:49 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by reddevil134:

    Great work luckey leo.

    are there many statistical similarities in the 3 losing series to possibly provide some sort of filter?

    secondly,will you be posting teams that qualify for this system the rest of this season?

     

    Yes I will post them the rest of the season.

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    Quote Originally Posted by reddevil134:

    Great work luckey leo.

    are there many statistical similarities in the 3 losing series to possibly provide some sort of filter?

    secondly,will you be posting teams that qualify for this system the rest of this season?

     

    Yes I will post them the rest of the season.

     
     
    lucky leo
    lucky leo
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2011 - 7:00 PM ET #14

    I haven't noticed any sort of filter as of yet.  The only difference I seen was if you never buy points you would have 6 losses for the year.  But if you buy 2 points on your c bet then that eliminated 3 losses.   Last night I had a B bet on Golden St -1.  I noticed that the money line was -104 so I bet the money line rather than lay 110 to bet -1.  So I notice that if -1 or pk games it may be better to bet the money line as you get better value
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    I haven't noticed any sort of filter as of yet.  The only difference I seen was if you never buy points you would have 6 losses for the year.  But if you buy 2 points on your c bet then that eliminated 3 losses.   Last night I had a B bet on Golden St -1.  I noticed that the money line was -104 so I bet the money line rather than lay 110 to bet -1.  So I notice that if -1 or pk games it may be better to bet the money line as you get better value
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