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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    5 run chase returns

    12 Next Last»
    cisco
    jkp714
    grecycle99
    Leprechaun
    jv040
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 1744
    Posts: 29
    12 Next Last»
     
    cisco
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2010 - 5:35 PM ET #1

    Chase systems are tough. My 5 run chase system is 113-6 +43.36 units but that could change any day. 

    I changed my betting strategy to two 2-game chases. This lightens the load on large wagers with games 3 & 4.

    Although profitable at +43.36 units I've decided to pick on the poor performing teams. (Teams playing under .470 win %) This system is 36-0 +27.26 units. Why is 36-0 not +36 units or more? Because 2 of the games went to a game 3 and 1 game went to game 4 and I take a loss if I don't hit in the first two games.

     

    Chase systems are tough. In the end you wind up losing.

    My 5 run chase system is 113-6 +43.36 units but that could change any day. I changed my betting strategy.

    I'm not telling anyone to bet using this system, just follow along and see if it makes money from here on out.

    Here are all of my games played. I update daily.

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdFlfOGdCYlNrNV9DaHo3akNMb2RpSmc&hl=en#gid=0

    Press F11 for full screen.

    Rules are in the tab.

    Color Codes begin on line A33.

    I may pop in here from time to time but the rules are in the spreadsheet.

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Chase systems are tough. My 5 run chase system is 113-6 +43.36 units but that could change any day. 

    I changed my betting strategy to two 2-game chases. This lightens the load on large wagers with games 3 & 4.

    Although profitable at +43.36 units I've decided to pick on the poor performing teams. (Teams playing under .470 win %) This system is 36-0 +27.26 units. Why is 36-0 not +36 units or more? Because 2 of the games went to a game 3 and 1 game went to game 4 and I take a loss if I don't hit in the first two games.

     

    Chase systems are tough. In the end you wind up losing.

    My 5 run chase system is 113-6 +43.36 units but that could change any day. I changed my betting strategy.

    I'm not telling anyone to bet using this system, just follow along and see if it makes money from here on out.

    Here are all of my games played. I update daily.

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdFlfOGdCYlNrNV9DaHo3akNMb2RpSmc&hl=en#gid=0

    Press F11 for full screen.

    Rules are in the tab.

    Color Codes begin on line A33.

    I may pop in here from time to time but the rules are in the spreadsheet.

     
    jkp714
    jkp714
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2010 - 6:21 PM ET #2

    Reply
     
    grecycle99
    grecycle99
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2010 - 6:24 PM ET #3

    GL Cisco.

    if I understand right, plays for today are on los-angeles and seattle.

    Is it right?

    Thanks
    GL to all
    Reply
    GL Cisco.

    if I understand right, plays for today are on los-angeles and seattle.

    Is it right?

    Thanks
    GL to all
     
    cisco
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2010 - 6:29 PM ET #4

    Correct. Dodgers & Seattle.

    Tampa Bay already won today.

    Reply

    Correct. Dodgers & Seattle.

    Tampa Bay already won today.

     
    cisco
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2010 - 6:40 PM ET #5

    MIlwaukee was  a game 1 play against today but they won 5-0. Game 2 will be 6/27 vs Seattle. Narveson vs Vargas.
    Reply
    MIlwaukee was  a game 1 play against today but they won 5-0. Game 2 will be 6/27 vs Seattle. Narveson vs Vargas.
     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2010 - 6:49 PM ET #6

    Good to see you over here Cisco.  I played this system in '06 and '07 when you were over at CM.  I don't know why it works, but I remember making some pretty good dough off of it one of those years.  I'll be watching this for sure.

    Leprechaun
    Reply
    Good to see you over here Cisco.  I played this system in '06 and '07 when you were over at CM.  I don't know why it works, but I remember making some pretty good dough off of it one of those years.  I'll be watching this for sure.

    Leprechaun
     
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2010 - 1:27 AM ET #7

    3-1 tonight. Lost with TB

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdFlfOGdCYlNrNV9DaHo3akNMb2RpSmc&hl=en#gid=0

    Reply

    3-1 tonight. Lost with TB

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdFlfOGdCYlNrNV9DaHo3akNMb2RpSmc&hl=en#gid=0

     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Jun. 27, 2010 - 3:04 PM ET #8

    thx for posting cisco. I really like your system.
    Reply
    thx for posting cisco. I really like your system.
     
    cisco
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 27, 2010 - 5:44 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by Leprechaun:

    Good to see you over here Cisco.  I played this system in '06 and '07 when you were over at CM.  I don't know why it works, but I remember making some pretty good dough off of it one of those years.  I'll be watching this for sure.

    Leprechaun

    I don't know why it works either!

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Leprechaun:

    Good to see you over here Cisco.  I played this system in '06 and '07 when you were over at CM.  I don't know why it works, but I remember making some pretty good dough off of it one of those years.  I'll be watching this for sure.

    Leprechaun

    I don't know why it works either!

     
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 27, 2010 - 6:02 PM ET #10

    jv040- Thanks. Hope it helps.

    Reply

    jv040- Thanks. Hope it helps.

     
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 27, 2010 - 10:38 PM ET #11

    Beware playing the Astros.

    The ‘Stros trotted out four first-year position players – Jason Bourgeois in center field, Chris Johnson at third base, Jason Castro at catcher and Oswaldo Navarro at shortstop – that had combined for 33 big league at-bats. The quatrain went 2-for-14 with four strikeouts.


    These numbers are prior to the Sunday night game. Looks like Houston has packed it in for the season. Expect huge odds against them from here on out.

     

    Reply

    Beware playing the Astros.

    The ‘Stros trotted out four first-year position players – Jason Bourgeois in center field, Chris Johnson at third base, Jason Castro at catcher and Oswaldo Navarro at shortstop – that had combined for 33 big league at-bats. The quatrain went 2-for-14 with four strikeouts.


    These numbers are prior to the Sunday night game. Looks like Houston has packed it in for the season. Expect huge odds against them from here on out.

     

     
    the_vig
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    Posted: Jun. 28, 2010 - 12:16 AM ET #12

    So what do we do about the CIN-PHI?  Both won by 5+ runs on Friday.  Skip 2 games and here we are on Monday and both teams facing each other.
    Reply
    So what do we do about the CIN-PHI?  Both won by 5+ runs on Friday.  Skip 2 games and here we are on Monday and both teams facing each other.
     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Jun. 28, 2010 - 12:17 AM ET #13

    Reply

     
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 28, 2010 - 8:48 AM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by the_vig:

    So what do we do about the CIN-PHI?  Both won by 5+ runs on Friday.  Skip 2 games and here we are on Monday and both teams facing each other.

    Philly won 11-2 yesterday. Skip another 2 games.

    The play is on Philly today. If Cincy wins gms 1 & 2, take a 2-gm loss and play Philly again on 6/30.

    If one team is already in the chase, gms 2-3 or 4, you have to bet against that team.

    If two teams going against each other.

    If both are on gm 1 it's a judgement call (I would play the favorite) or leave the game alone and chase the gm 1 winner. This will happen but not very often.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by the_vig:

    So what do we do about the CIN-PHI?  Both won by 5+ runs on Friday.  Skip 2 games and here we are on Monday and both teams facing each other.

    Philly won 11-2 yesterday. Skip another 2 games.

    The play is on Philly today. If Cincy wins gms 1 & 2, take a 2-gm loss and play Philly again on 6/30.

    If one team is already in the chase, gms 2-3 or 4, you have to bet against that team.

    If two teams going against each other.

    If both are on gm 1 it's a judgement call (I would play the favorite) or leave the game alone and chase the gm 1 winner. This will happen but not very often.

     
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 28, 2010 - 8:56 AM ET #15

    In the last four days the system is up over 8 units on the main board and up over 3 units on my under .470 plays. (I am in the latter)

    Still have Baltimore outstanding.

    Two systems.Kind of like the main board is an aggressive mutual fund while playing only against the un.470 teams I’m in tax-free bonds.

    Hope this can continue.

    Reply

    In the last four days the system is up over 8 units on the main board and up over 3 units on my under .470 plays. (I am in the latter)

    Still have Baltimore outstanding.

    Two systems.Kind of like the main board is an aggressive mutual fund while playing only against the un.470 teams I’m in tax-free bonds.

    Hope this can continue.

     
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2010 - 8:44 AM ET #16

    2-1 last night +1.89 units
    Reply
    2-1 last night +1.89 units
     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2010 - 10:56 PM ET #17

    Keep going.  Tell us more.  Thanks.

    Reply

    Keep going.  Tell us more.  Thanks.

     
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 30, 2010 - 7:27 AM ET #18

    Nothing more to tell. The plays are listed. The rules are there for you to read.

    2-1 last night +.80 units

    Special thanks to cwin32 for finding the many errors in my spreadsheet resulting in over 5 units to the plus side. They are highlighted in blue on the tally sheet. (All in April/May.)
    When I was on vacation in the states I kept it up daily but I forgot to save the info on my flash drive. Thanks again cwin32!

    5 games today-

    Reply

    Nothing more to tell. The plays are listed. The rules are there for you to read.

    2-1 last night +.80 units

    Special thanks to cwin32 for finding the many errors in my spreadsheet resulting in over 5 units to the plus side. They are highlighted in blue on the tally sheet. (All in April/May.)
    When I was on vacation in the states I kept it up daily but I forgot to save the info on my flash drive. Thanks again cwin32!

    5 games today-

     
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 30, 2010 - 7:34 AM ET #19

    Link so you won't have to scroll to the top.

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdFlfOGdCYlNrNV9DaHo3akNMb2RpSmc&hl=en#gid=0

    Reply

    Link so you won't have to scroll to the top.

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdFlfOGdCYlNrNV9DaHo3akNMb2RpSmc&hl=en#gid=0

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 30, 2010 - 11:43 AM ET #20

    If you went 2-1 last night you must be playing the games "action" because Oak pitching change cancelled play if you had Braden listed.
    Reply
    If you went 2-1 last night you must be playing the games "action" because Oak pitching change cancelled play if you had Braden listed.
     
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 30, 2010 - 3:29 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    If you went 2-1 last night you must be playing the games "action" because Oak pitching change cancelled play if you had Braden listed.

    It's a system pick and the system doesn't care who's pitching, who's playing, who's hurt, who the umpire is, what the weather is like, who got drunk last night or who didn't get laid last night. The system picked Oakland and I'm happy for those who bet with Mazarro.

    Can you believe the system picked Cincy to beat Halladay today?

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    If you went 2-1 last night you must be playing the games "action" because Oak pitching change cancelled play if you had Braden listed.

    It's a system pick and the system doesn't care who's pitching, who's playing, who's hurt, who the umpire is, what the weather is like, who got drunk last night or who didn't get laid last night. The system picked Oakland and I'm happy for those who bet with Mazarro.

    Can you believe the system picked Cincy to beat Halladay today?

     

     
    cisco
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    Posted: Jun. 30, 2010 - 3:34 PM ET #22

    (Too bad we cant edit the posts)

    Can you believe the system picked Cincy to beat Halladay today?

    The answer is no. The system picked Cincy to beat Philadelphia.

     

    Reply

    (Too bad we cant edit the posts)

    Can you believe the system picked Cincy to beat Halladay today?

    The answer is no. The system picked Cincy to beat Philadelphia.

     

     
    cisco
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    Posted: Jul. 1, 2010 - 9:35 AM ET #23

    First 2-gm loss in 2 weeks. Dodgers a -4.19 unit loss.
    -134 yesterday & -2.52 today.

    3-2 -0.10 today

    Cincinnati +136
    Baltimore +106
    Minnesota +100
    White Sox -100
    San Francisco -252

    Now +59.17 units

    Only play Thursday is on the Angels.

    Link to spreadsheet:
    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?k...mc&hl=en#gid=0



    Reply
    First 2-gm loss in 2 weeks. Dodgers a -4.19 unit loss.
    -134 yesterday & -2.52 today.

    3-2 -0.10 today

    Cincinnati +136
    Baltimore +106
    Minnesota +100
    White Sox -100
    San Francisco -252

    Now +59.17 units

    Only play Thursday is on the Angels.

    Link to spreadsheet:
    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?k...mc&hl=en#gid=0



     
    cisco
    cisco
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2000
    Posts: 11995
    Posted: Jul. 1, 2010 - 9:39 AM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by cisco:

    First 2-gm loss in 2 weeks. Dodgers a -4.19 unit loss.
    -134 yesterday & -2.85 today.

    correction

    3-2 -0.43 today

    Cincinnati +136
    Baltimore +106
    Minnesota +100
    White Sox -100
    San Francisco -285

    Now +59.17 units

    Only play Thursday is on the Angels.

    Link to spreadsheet:
    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?k...mc&hl=en#gid=0



    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by cisco:

    First 2-gm loss in 2 weeks. Dodgers a -4.19 unit loss.
    -134 yesterday & -2.85 today.

    correction

    3-2 -0.43 today

    Cincinnati +136
    Baltimore +106
    Minnesota +100
    White Sox -100
    San Francisco -285

    Now +59.17 units

    Only play Thursday is on the Angels.

    Link to spreadsheet:
    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?k...mc&hl=en#gid=0



     
     
    smitler
    smitler
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Jul. 6, 2010 - 12:07 AM ET #25

    What is going on with this cisco?
    Reply
    What is going on with this cisco?
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