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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    5 game chase to Thanksgiving

    12 Next Last»
    Spreader777
    smitler
    myvoice
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    Views: 1150
    Posts: 37
    12 Next Last»
     
    Spreader777
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2009 - 10:04 AM ET #1

    i'm just posting this for a trial run.  i have tons of friends who bet and tell me what they're on.  going against them has been fairly good to me for flat bets.  i think fade chasing them after they win two in a row is going to work out much better!  i will chase up to five of their games with -110 odds on average (range from -140 to +140).  i'll have a up to three plays each day up to thanksgiving.  the chases can cross sports and i will add buying the hook to eliminate pushing.   bets are to win 0.75% roughly.  one series loss would be about a 33% wipeout! ABCDE.  each series is a commitment of 33% of BR.  so for now, no more than three plays a day.  i'm looking to gain 15-25% by thanksgiving.  I don't expect any series losses, but lowering the series win amount percentage from 2.5% to about 0.75% will keep the BR safe from a total wipeout.



    10/8/2009  $10,000 BR


    (A) Red Sox/Angels UNDER 8.5 -122

    risking 96.38 to win 79.00  (0.79%)





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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    i'm just posting this for a trial run.  i have tons of friends who bet and tell me what they're on.  going against them has been fairly good to me for flat bets.  i think fade chasing them after they win two in a row is going to work out much better!  i will chase up to five of their games with -110 odds on average (range from -140 to +140).  i'll have a up to three plays each day up to thanksgiving.  the chases can cross sports and i will add buying the hook to eliminate pushing.   bets are to win 0.75% roughly.  one series loss would be about a 33% wipeout! ABCDE.  each series is a commitment of 33% of BR.  so for now, no more than three plays a day.  i'm looking to gain 15-25% by thanksgiving.  I don't expect any series losses, but lowering the series win amount percentage from 2.5% to about 0.75% will keep the BR safe from a total wipeout.



    10/8/2009  $10,000 BR


    (A) Red Sox/Angels UNDER 8.5 -122

    risking 96.38 to win 79.00  (0.79%)





     
    Spreader777
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2009 - 8:29 PM ET #2

    (A)  Nebraska-3.5 -110
    risking 92.40 to win 84.00
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    (A)  Nebraska-3.5 -110
    risking 92.40 to win 84.00
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2009 - 5:07 PM ET #3

    yesterday 2-0 +163

    10/9/2009 BR 10,163

    (A) Red Sox/Angels OVER 7.5 -125
    risking 100.00 to win 80.00
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    yesterday 2-0 +163

    10/9/2009 BR 10,163

    (A) Red Sox/Angels OVER 7.5 -125
    risking 100.00 to win 80.00
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2009 - 11:09 AM ET #4

    2-1 +63

    10/10/2009 BR 10,063

    (B)  UCLA+3.5 -105
    risking 189.00 to win 180.00


    (A) SYRACUSE+10.5 -120
    risking 96.00 to win 80.00


    (A) MISSISSIPPI+4.5 -105
    risking 91.85 to win 87.00
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    2-1 +63

    10/10/2009 BR 10,063

    (B)  UCLA+3.5 -105
    risking 189.00 to win 180.00


    (A) SYRACUSE+10.5 -120
    risking 96.00 to win 80.00


    (A) MISSISSIPPI+4.5 -105
    risking 91.85 to win 87.00
     
    Spreader777
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2009 - 7:33 AM ET #5

    yesterday

    two titans so far for sunday!  maybe one more lol, everybody i know is on the colts, and i don't blame them.  i expect a tight game.

    (C) TITANS+3.5 -110  405.90 to win 369.00
    (B) TITANS+3.5 -110  193.60 to win 176.00
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    yesterday

    two titans so far for sunday!  maybe one more lol, everybody i know is on the colts, and i don't blame them.  i expect a tight game.

    (C) TITANS+3.5 -110  405.90 to win 369.00
    (B) TITANS+3.5 -110  193.60 to win 176.00
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2009 - 12:57 PM ET #6

    yep, one more on the colts...

    (B) TITANS+3.5-110 196.19 to win 178.35
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    yep, one more on the colts...

    (B) TITANS+3.5-110 196.19 to win 178.35
     
    Spreader777
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2009 - 11:31 AM ET #7

    (D) DOLPHINS+1.5 +110
    risk 800 to win 880


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    (D) DOLPHINS+1.5 +110
    risk 800 to win 880


     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2009 - 11:58 PM ET #8

    alright dolphins!   series record is now 3-0 with two C's coming up.  gains so far total 348.10. 
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    alright dolphins!   series record is now 3-0 with two C's coming up.  gains so far total 348.10. 
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2009 - 10:51 AM ET #9

    Why didn't you use the Fins for your "C" bets?
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    Why didn't you use the Fins for your "C" bets?
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2009 - 7:34 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    Why didn't you use the Fins for your "C" bets?


    all three players were on the colts the night before, then only one was on the jets.  if they all were on the jets then the C's would've been dolphins.  the other two players didn't have anything yesterday or today.  i'm chasing the plays against each player, so it could be the phillies one night, red wings another, bulls another etc.   i know it's a little crazy lol, but it is fun and most likely profitable.  one problem that might come up is when two of the plays are against each other...  not sure what to do about that.  these guys usually pick popular & sweet looking plays, so plays coming up against each other should be rare.  if it does happen, i'm thinking scalping for a middle would be better by laying a little extra juice on both sides as long as it is not an E bet lol.  we'll see what happens over the next month.  i'm working on a 3 game chase system at -110 odds which would make some mighty big gains each play compared to the 5 game chase, but it wouldn't produce as many plays.  i'll post it in another month if it is working out well.   
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    Why didn't you use the Fins for your "C" bets?


    all three players were on the colts the night before, then only one was on the jets.  if they all were on the jets then the C's would've been dolphins.  the other two players didn't have anything yesterday or today.  i'm chasing the plays against each player, so it could be the phillies one night, red wings another, bulls another etc.   i know it's a little crazy lol, but it is fun and most likely profitable.  one problem that might come up is when two of the plays are against each other...  not sure what to do about that.  these guys usually pick popular & sweet looking plays, so plays coming up against each other should be rare.  if it does happen, i'm thinking scalping for a middle would be better by laying a little extra juice on both sides as long as it is not an E bet lol.  we'll see what happens over the next month.  i'm working on a 3 game chase system at -110 odds which would make some mighty big gains each play compared to the 5 game chase, but it wouldn't produce as many plays.  i'll post it in another month if it is working out well.   
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2009 - 7:45 PM ET #11

    2 c's still coming up... probably tmrw.

    (A)  TULSA+10.5 -135

    105.30 to win 78.00
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    2 c's still coming up... probably tmrw.

    (A)  TULSA+10.5 -135

    105.30 to win 78.00
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2009 - 11:37 PM ET #12

    tulsa covered! 

    series ytd 4-0 +426.10

    2 C bets coming up and another A.



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    tulsa covered! 

    series ytd 4-0 +426.10

    2 C bets coming up and another A.



     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 5:14 PM ET #13

    (C) SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS+1.5 -105
    416.85 to win 397.00


    (A) Saint Louis Blues+105
    89.75 to win 94.24


    hopefully i'll have that other C pick yet tonight.
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    (C) SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS+1.5 -105
    416.85 to win 397.00


    (A) Saint Louis Blues+105
    89.75 to win 94.24


    hopefully i'll have that other C pick yet tonight.
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 6:34 PM ET #14

    (C) NASHVILLE PREDATORS+120
    373.00 to win 447.60
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    (C) NASHVILLE PREDATORS+120
    373.00 to win 447.60
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 3:12 PM ET #15

    (D) Boston/Dallas UNDER 5.5 +105
    risking 860.00 to win 903.00


    (B) RUTGERS+6.5 -115
    risking 211.59 to win 183.99


    waiting for another D pick.
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    (D) Boston/Dallas UNDER 5.5 +105
    risking 860.00 to win 903.00


    (B) RUTGERS+6.5 -115
    risking 211.59 to win 183.99


    waiting for another D pick.
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 11:22 PM ET #16

    D: bos/dal under wins

    5-0 series ytd +666.50

    A, C, D picks coming up saturday
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    D: bos/dal under wins

    5-0 series ytd +666.50

    A, C, D picks coming up saturday
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2009 - 12:37 PM ET #17

    (C) GEORGIA TECH+3.5
    risking 435.13 to win 395.57


    (A) Memphis+15.5
    risking 97.90 to win 89.00



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    (C) GEORGIA TECH+3.5
    risking 435.13 to win 395.57


    (A) Memphis+15.5
    risking 97.90 to win 89.00



     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2009 - 1:18 PM ET #18

    purdue+13.5 was a D pick, but i woke up late, so i'll find a replacement
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    purdue+13.5 was a D pick, but i woke up late, so i'll find a replacement
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2009 - 11:18 AM ET #19

    C pick GT+3.5 wins

    6-0 series ytd +760.74

    (A) Tennessee Titans+9.5 -110
    risking 101.20 to win 92.00

    (B) Detroit Lions+14.5 -115
    risking 214.94 to win 186.90


    too bad i was late on yesterday's D pick.  i am going to wait until another one pops up to replace it.  it may be a week or so before it gets here.

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    C pick GT+3.5 wins

    6-0 series ytd +760.74

    (A) Tennessee Titans+9.5 -110
    risking 101.20 to win 92.00

    (B) Detroit Lions+14.5 -115
    risking 214.94 to win 186.90


    too bad i was late on yesterday's D pick.  i am going to wait until another one pops up to replace it.  it may be a week or so before it gets here.

     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2009 - 1:07 PM ET #20

    (C) Dodgers+110 action goes
    402.00 to win 442.20
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    (C) Dodgers+110 action goes
    402.00 to win 442.20
     
    myvoice
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2009 - 2:45 PM ET #21

    very intereting
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    very intereting
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2009 - 6:39 PM ET #22

    (B) San Jose Sharks -110
    212.50 to win 193.20
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    (B) San Jose Sharks -110
    212.50 to win 193.20
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2009 - 6:45 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by myvoice:

    very intereting


    thanks!
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    Quote Originally Posted by myvoice:

    very intereting


    thanks!
     
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 4:37 PM ET #24

    sharks won

    7-0 series ytd +852.74


    A, D, D to come.
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    sharks won

    7-0 series ytd +852.74


    A, D, D to come.
     
     
    Spreader777
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2009 - 7:08 PM ET #25

    (A) LA ANGELS+120 action goes
    88.00 to win 105.60
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    (A) LA ANGELS+120 action goes
    88.00 to win 105.60
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