[24-23] System Play 1/16/2011

NFL
NYJ +9.5

I've been waiting for this one all week. Lets hope Sanchez and company get it done today. I hate betting against Brady but you gotta do whatcha gotta do. J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Jets Bounce back today from their previous game Vs Pats

brady is a fire sign; so keep it a mid play at most

Gold baby gold.

J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

--->Jets

Nice win, tafter.  That appears to be the strongest of all the plays, dont you think?  The NBA 2 gamer is probably strong as well.  I backtracked the NHL, and it doesn't look that good to me.  Whats your take on the totals now for NBA?  I have lost confidence in them. 

I'm liking a 3/4 or more approach to NBA games. 

that is each team's two previous games is a total of 4 games.

3/4 go over our target score then go under

3/4 go under our target score then go over


I found another strategy for NHL, and I'll be posting a video explaining it a little bit later. 

Yes, this deviated back to back fade play is the strongest. 

Sounds good, tafter. 

 

Tophat, did you have any of those college hoops plays today?  I didn't even check the slate as I was locked into the Bears/Jets today and totally focused on them. 

I had 3, but not strong enough to post. I will post the strong plays.

FYI, I had Wright St. again outright. Bradley lost by 1.  and now the Spurs (pending). I am also working on a first half total system that went 3-0 today. I like the looks of this system. Once I have everything worked out I will gladly pass the plays on. I will post the plays tomorrow if there are any right here if Taft doesn't mind. After all the plays come from his system.

Thanks. This week will be a good one.

I'm going to be uploading NHL strategies for Over / Unders. 

Any plays you see today guys?  I went over all the slates and didn't see anything, but we all miss some.  Let me know. 

I believe NBA Houston Sac would be a play, but look at my video first. 

I have an excel spreadsheet with each teams avg total per game thus far.  We don't seem to be getting much value in houst / sac

there does seem to be value in the bulls over 188 however

That does seem to be the strongest play of them all.  over unders from now on for me are going to be more for at least one team going back to back under and the other looking at least "due" to go over, then I'll take the over. 

I've refined my deviated plays a little to help us eliminate more total games and only play the most likely swing scenarios.

Houston played Milwaukee not Sacramento.  Even so, I'm not seeing why that game was even targeted.  Milwaukee's previous two games totaled 177 and 189 so it was nowhere near the 210 point mark.  So really only Houston was the focus point of there last totals.  I'm really confused by that today.  I also looked at your other 3 selections and they are baffling as well to why they even were a play.   I looked at your videos as well. 

1-0 for the system. 

I wrote (system) next to the one that was it. 

it was sac / atl .   200.5 sorry for the confusion. 

As far as NBA goes, from now on, I'll be using each teams average total.  Feel free to use the video to your advantage as well.  

The NHL play w/ boston is another way of finding over / unders. Check out my NHL video.  Mean regression is about going over or under the mean, not at the mean.  In other words, we can cross of 5's or 6's as determining what a team has been doing as of late. 

Example.

7-4, 1-4, 3-4, 2-4, 2-3, 8-1

so only look at 11, 7, 9

we'd look to take the under for this team if their previous games were as noted.

Okay, so before I post my plays, let's take a look at what I saw...

how bout these?  shoot em down if you want...let's double check these together. .. .

NHL
Col / TB under
SJ SU
Carolina SU

SJ was last night; I must've typed the wrong date in for that one. 

I'll be keeping track of three system plays from now on . .

I'll be posting the record of each from now on. 


1. system line

2. system totals with crossover

3. system totals SU


#3 will be small plays going forward.

#1 & #2 are 3-5% of bankroll

#3 is 2-3% at the most of bankroll 

You've done so much tweaking every day, it kind of has thrown me off.  Glad to see your going to post the plays and record from now on. 

Good luck. 

yeah, I gotcha.  thx for your patience.  .. .However, the only tweak has been more of a realization on NBA/NCAAB being to widespread to conform to an entire rule for the league.  We need to look at each teams average.  I've posted the NBA video, Big Ten, and Big East.  NHL looks golden.