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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    2010 NCAA Fave/Over - Dog/Under % Correlation Parlays Thread

    «First Previous 678 ... 656667 Next Last»
    coolcat690
    kkirby99
    gasman33
    JMon
    powerade
    ...
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    Views: 150610
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    «First Previous 678 ... 656667 Next Last»
     
    coolcat690
    coolcat690
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 9:53 AM ET #126

    Nice going so far, I am in Iraq and I don't have the use of a local!! Please PM me if you know of a online book taking these bets, I could really use the extra cash. Thanks
    Reply
    Nice going so far, I am in Iraq and I don't have the use of a local!! Please PM me if you know of a online book taking these bets, I could really use the extra cash. Thanks
     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:05 AM ET #127

    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:



    my fault TCU was a loser total was set at 56

    Depends on when you bet them. They came out at 53.5 total for the game. I had a buddy that played that and collected. Bet those favorite combos early!!

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:



    my fault TCU was a loser total was set at 56

    Depends on when you bet them. They came out at 53.5 total for the game. I had a buddy that played that and collected. Bet those favorite combos early!!

     
    gasman33
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:19 AM ET #128

    Quote Originally Posted by JMon:

    Are you getting 13/5 (2.6) payouts? 

    I was 6-2 +$1,120 

    14-3 (82%) +$3,280.00  last 2 weeks.  Missed the first week

     




    I bet $100 on each parlay ...Book pays 2.6:1 for win and charges 10% juice on loss...so...
    ...for each WIN I net...$260-110= $150
    ...for each LOSS I net....$110X2= -$220

    Yesterday...6-2
    ...$150X6= $900
    ...-$220X2= -$440
    ...$900-$440= +$460 for the day...
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by JMon:

    Are you getting 13/5 (2.6) payouts? 

    I was 6-2 +$1,120 

    14-3 (82%) +$3,280.00  last 2 weeks.  Missed the first week

     




    I bet $100 on each parlay ...Book pays 2.6:1 for win and charges 10% juice on loss...so...
    ...for each WIN I net...$260-110= $150
    ...for each LOSS I net....$110X2= -$220

    Yesterday...6-2
    ...$150X6= $900
    ...-$220X2= -$440
    ...$900-$440= +$460 for the day...
     
    JMon
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:25 AM ET #129

    Wow...10% juice on a parlay loss.  He is getting you on both ends.
    Reply
    Wow...10% juice on a parlay loss.  He is getting you on both ends.
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:26 AM ET #130

    Quote Originally Posted by CInderellaStory:

    Serves me right for playing the games just under the 40% range.  TCU/Baylor, Org St./Lousville, (38% hard to pass)

    First halves sucked today.  Hopefully rebound next week

    lol its easy to pass....trust me, its doesn't win like 41% and above do

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by CInderellaStory:

    Serves me right for playing the games just under the 40% range.  TCU/Baylor, Org St./Lousville, (38% hard to pass)

    First halves sucked today.  Hopefully rebound next week

    lol its easy to pass....trust me, its doesn't win like 41% and above do

     
    powerade
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:27 AM ET #131

    Quote Originally Posted by gasman33:




    I bet $100 on each parlay ...Book pays 2.6:1 for win and charges 10% juice on loss...so...
    ...for each WIN I net...$260-110= $150
    ...for each LOSS I net....$110X2= -$220

    Yesterday...6-2
    ...$150X6= $900
    ...-$220X2= -$440
    ...$900-$440= +$460 for the day...

    yeah your getting hosed....

    i know a bunch of locals....2 team parlay pays 29 for every $11

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by gasman33:




    I bet $100 on each parlay ...Book pays 2.6:1 for win and charges 10% juice on loss...so...
    ...for each WIN I net...$260-110= $150
    ...for each LOSS I net....$110X2= -$220

    Yesterday...6-2
    ...$150X6= $900
    ...-$220X2= -$440
    ...$900-$440= +$460 for the day...

    yeah your getting hosed....

    i know a bunch of locals....2 team parlay pays 29 for every $11

     
    powerade
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:39 AM ET #132

    Quote Originally Posted by JMon:

    Wow...10% juice on a parlay loss.  He is getting you on both ends.

    the 10% is normal on a loss I think....

    gotta bet increments of 11 with a local, so you lose 110 on a parlay but you should be getting paid 290 on the win
    ...then minus the 110 loss, +180

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by JMon:

    Wow...10% juice on a parlay loss.  He is getting you on both ends.

    the 10% is normal on a loss I think....

    gotta bet increments of 11 with a local, so you lose 110 on a parlay but you should be getting paid 290 on the win
    ...then minus the 110 loss, +180

     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:45 AM ET #133

    i got no juice on a parlay loss, if i bet 100 i lose 100, you should be getting juiced on a parlay
    Reply
    i got no juice on a parlay loss, if i bet 100 i lose 100, you should be getting juiced on a parlay
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:45 AM ET #134

    Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

    Depends on when you bet them. They came out at 53.5 total for the game. I had a buddy that played that and collected. Bet those favorite combos early!!



    i would love to get on them early but my local goes through an online place that doesnt post totals until the morning of the game...so im stuck playing the waiting gm
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

    Depends on when you bet them. They came out at 53.5 total for the game. I had a buddy that played that and collected. Bet those favorite combos early!!



    i would love to get on them early but my local goes through an online place that doesnt post totals until the morning of the game...so im stuck playing the waiting gm
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:46 AM ET #135

    Quote Originally Posted by gasman33:




    I bet $100 on each parlay ...Book pays 2.6:1 for win and charges 10% juice on loss...so...
    ...for each WIN I net...$260-110= $150
    ...for each LOSS I net....$110X2= -$220

    Yesterday...6-2
    ...$150X6= $900
    ...-$220X2= -$440
    ...$900-$440= +$460 for the day...


    hey at least your +460, better than -460, gotta like that
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by gasman33:




    I bet $100 on each parlay ...Book pays 2.6:1 for win and charges 10% juice on loss...so...
    ...for each WIN I net...$260-110= $150
    ...for each LOSS I net....$110X2= -$220

    Yesterday...6-2
    ...$150X6= $900
    ...-$220X2= -$440
    ...$900-$440= +$460 for the day...


    hey at least your +460, better than -460, gotta like that
     
    JMon
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 1:16 PM ET #136

    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

    i got no juice on a parlay loss, if i bet 100 i lose 100, you should be getting juiced on a parlay

    Yep, same with me. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

    i got no juice on a parlay loss, if i bet 100 i lose 100, you should be getting juiced on a parlay

    Yep, same with me. 

     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 2:19 PM ET #137

    nfl not looking good, gnna take a miracle...
    Reply
    nfl not looking good, gnna take a miracle...
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 2:27 PM ET #138

    wow, we might pull it off, lol....lookin good now thanks buffalo
    Reply
    wow, we might pull it off, lol....lookin good now thanks buffalo
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 2:29 PM ET #139

    Reply
     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 2:50 PM ET #140

    Oh ye of little faith Milky.
    Reply
    Oh ye of little faith Milky.
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 4:44 PM ET #141

    this system is money on 2nd half plays also. We had one 1st half play and one 2nd half play and both hit. Might want to start looking at them. I didn't pull the trigger on the 2nd half play though already made a nice profit this weekend
    Reply
    this system is money on 2nd half plays also. We had one 1st half play and one 2nd half play and both hit. Might want to start looking at them. I didn't pull the trigger on the 2nd half play though already made a nice profit this weekend
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:19 PM ET #142

    looking over the early line and we should have about 8 possible plays with spreads of 21or more...
    Reply
    looking over the early line and we should have about 8 possible plays with spreads of 21or more...
     
    coolcat690
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 1:41 AM ET #143

    Hey Milkman0923 can you PM a book that takes these bets? Thanks and good luck
    Reply
    Hey Milkman0923 can you PM a book that takes these bets? Thanks and good luck
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 5:57 AM ET #144

    Quote Originally Posted by coolcat690:

    Hey Milkman0923 can you PM a book that takes these bets? Thanks and good luck



    sorry man i use a local.  not sure any online books take these...
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by coolcat690:

    Hey Milkman0923 can you PM a book that takes these bets? Thanks and good luck



    sorry man i use a local.  not sure any online books take these...
     
    Rgrwalker
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 10:02 AM ET #145

    Since you can get up to 33% online sportsbook, would it be worth taking those if you can't find a local bookie? How accurate are the 30-33% range?
    Reply
    Since you can get up to 33% online sportsbook, would it be worth taking those if you can't find a local bookie? How accurate are the 30-33% range?
     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 10:41 AM ET #146

    Quote Originally Posted by Rgrwalker:

    Since you can get up to 33% online sportsbook, would it be worth taking those if you can't find a local bookie? How accurate are the 30-33% range?

    Not enough. You lose your edge. That's why the online books are OK with it.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Rgrwalker:

    Since you can get up to 33% online sportsbook, would it be worth taking those if you can't find a local bookie? How accurate are the 30-33% range?

    Not enough. You lose your edge. That's why the online books are OK with it.

     
    Rgrwalker
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 10:48 AM ET #147

    I was afraid of that. I did it this weekend and hit every one of them, I think I will put some low units on them again this week and hope for that same luck
    Reply
    I was afraid of that. I did it this weekend and hit every one of them, I think I will put some low units on them again this week and hope for that same luck
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 4:50 PM ET #148

    Quote Originally Posted by Rgrwalker:

    Since you can get up to 33% online sportsbook, would it be worth taking those if you can't find a local bookie? How accurate are the 30-33% range?

    I wouldn't risk too much....like Kirby said, you are losing the mathematic edge on it

    most locals will take these, go find one....ask around if you know other gamblers in your area, or just go to a bar on a sunday and ask around...

    I think locals take them partially because they don't know about the advantage of them
    and becuase most locals are ego driven, they all think you will lose eventually and they know you will bet it back so they take them

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Rgrwalker:

    Since you can get up to 33% online sportsbook, would it be worth taking those if you can't find a local bookie? How accurate are the 30-33% range?

    I wouldn't risk too much....like Kirby said, you are losing the mathematic edge on it

    most locals will take these, go find one....ask around if you know other gamblers in your area, or just go to a bar on a sunday and ask around...

    I think locals take them partially because they don't know about the advantage of them
    and becuase most locals are ego driven, they all think you will lose eventually and they know you will bet it back so they take them

     
    HappyKane
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 5:03 PM ET #149

    My local also charge juice on parlays. Its a shame.



    They know it doesn't make sense but they do it anyway. They know Vegas doesn't charge juice on parlays but they do it anyway.


    Reply
    My local also charge juice on parlays. Its a shame.



    They know it doesn't make sense but they do it anyway. They know Vegas doesn't charge juice on parlays but they do it anyway.


     
     
    Rgrwalker
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    Posts: 34
    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 5:14 PM ET #150

    So to find a local I should go to Buffalo Wild Wings this weekend to watch the games and rub elbows with the people in there drinking and find out who is betting with a local bookie.

    lol, man that sounds fun, I could just imagine how this would work out. I just don't see how anyone is going to give up their bookie off a first impression. Hey, I'll damn sure do it though.

    What kind of luck could I have had to of hit EVERY SINGLE one of the parlays I picked this weekend?

    I think I will play all the 30-33% plays again this weekend and go to BWW to watch how they unfold and try to find me a local bookie.

    Thanks for all the help guys
    Reply
    So to find a local I should go to Buffalo Wild Wings this weekend to watch the games and rub elbows with the people in there drinking and find out who is betting with a local bookie.

    lol, man that sounds fun, I could just imagine how this would work out. I just don't see how anyone is going to give up their bookie off a first impression. Hey, I'll damn sure do it though.

    What kind of luck could I have had to of hit EVERY SINGLE one of the parlays I picked this weekend?

    I think I will play all the 30-33% plays again this weekend and go to BWW to watch how they unfold and try to find me a local bookie.

    Thanks for all the help guys
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