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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    2010 NCAA Fave/Over - Dog/Under % Correlation Parlays Thread

    «First Previous 252627 ... 656667 Next Last»
    MILKMAN0923
    kkirby99
    ERBATIZ
    JFISH
    bwcareer
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    «First Previous 252627 ... 656667 Next Last»
     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 10:23 PM ET #601

    i don't like to celebrate early but this is lookin good. Yes i bet the same way as 1st half. Both sides.
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    i don't like to celebrate early but this is lookin good. Yes i bet the same way as 1st half. Both sides.
     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 10:24 PM ET #602

    Quote Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

    a question,, first time i bet 2h, do you bet same as 1h fave/over dog/und  , i just parlay nebraska and over,, i did not see kansas cover this game same thing as yesterday game,

    Don't start handicapping games, especially at halftimes. You don't know what adjustments are going to be made at the half. Let the percentages work for you. Bet both sides. But good call on this one. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

    a question,, first time i bet 2h, do you bet same as 1h fave/over dog/und  , i just parlay nebraska and over,, i did not see kansas cover this game same thing as yesterday game,

    Don't start handicapping games, especially at halftimes. You don't know what adjustments are going to be made at the half. Let the percentages work for you. Bet both sides. But good call on this one. 

     
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 10:31 PM ET #603

    ok, understood thanks guys
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    ok, understood thanks guys
     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 10:39 PM ET #604

    ya thats risky betting one side but it if you hit you are alll good. nice pick

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    ya thats risky betting one side but it if you hit you are alll good. nice pick

     
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 11:00 PM ET #605

    nice win 1-1 nite , and yes is a diferent game  2h, see you tomorrow guys, im going to watch san pancho and los bravos de atlanta
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    nice win 1-1 nite , and yes is a diferent game  2h, see you tomorrow guys, im going to watch san pancho and los bravos de atlanta
     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 11:01 PM ET #606

    nice win guys on to saturday... Milk Lincecum sure is rollin right now
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    nice win guys on to saturday... Milk Lincecum sure is rollin right now
     
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 4:00 PM ET #607

    well,,, i got 1h okst -14   31 total for tonite 
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    well,,, i got 1h okst -14   31 total for tonite 
     
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 4:02 PM ET #608

    Quote Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

    well,,, i got 1h okst -14   31 total for tonite 
    okst -14 and over 31
    ul lafayet +14 and und 31
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    Quote Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

    well,,, i got 1h okst -14   31 total for tonite 
    okst -14 and over 31
    ul lafayet +14 and und 31
     
    bwcareer
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 5:05 PM ET #609

    on it as well
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    on it as well
     
    gentruchi
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 5:18 PM ET #610

    Me too, Full game as well.

    Will be my first plays of the week as both Nebraska and Central Florida didn't qualify under my parameters.

    BOL Everyone!
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    Me too, Full game as well.

    Will be my first plays of the week as both Nebraska and Central Florida didn't qualify under my parameters.

    BOL Everyone!
     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 5:24 PM ET #611

    gen, full game with OK St. is dangerous.
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    gen, full game with OK St. is dangerous.
     
    gentruchi
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 5:36 PM ET #612

    Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

    gen, full game with OK St. is dangerous.


    I know...but remember, we shouldn't Handicap the games...we should stick to the system even if it looks dangerous. (Or at least under everyone's parameters).

    It qualifies for me and I'm playing it... but thanks a lot for the advice. .


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    Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

    gen, full game with OK St. is dangerous.


    I know...but remember, we shouldn't Handicap the games...we should stick to the system even if it looks dangerous. (Or at least under everyone's parameters).

    It qualifies for me and I'm playing it... but thanks a lot for the advice. .


     
    JMon
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 6:11 PM ET #613

    Quote Originally Posted by gentruchi:

    Me too, Full game as well.

    Will be my first plays of the week as both Nebraska and Central Florida didn't qualify under my parameters.

    BOL Everyone!


    Playing full game as well.  GL to us
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    Quote Originally Posted by gentruchi:

    Me too, Full game as well.

    Will be my first plays of the week as both Nebraska and Central Florida didn't qualify under my parameters.

    BOL Everyone!


    Playing full game as well.  GL to us
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 6:22 PM ET #614

    Quote Originally Posted by gentruchi:



    I know...but remember, we shouldn't Handicap the games...we should stick to the system even if it looks dangerous. (Or at least under everyone's parameters).

    It qualifies for me and I'm playing it... but thanks a lot for the advice. .




    it technically doesnt qualify is what he is saying, its under 40%
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    Quote Originally Posted by gentruchi:



    I know...but remember, we shouldn't Handicap the games...we should stick to the system even if it looks dangerous. (Or at least under everyone's parameters).

    It qualifies for me and I'm playing it... but thanks a lot for the advice. .




    it technically doesnt qualify is what he is saying, its under 40%
     
    homedogs77
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 6:39 PM ET #615

    I think Boise must be a first half play only, they pull there starters in the 3rd quarter and coast home almost every week.  Are there any other teams this week that you guys feels are better first half plays then whole game plays? I was thinking maybe Oregon?
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    I think Boise must be a first half play only, they pull there starters in the 3rd quarter and coast home almost every week.  Are there any other teams this week that you guys feels are better first half plays then whole game plays? I was thinking maybe Oregon?
     
    gentruchi
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 6:40 PM ET #616

    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:



    it technically doesnt qualify is what he is saying, its under 40%


    Yeah I understand that. It qualifies for my parameters, and I'm hitting around 69% TYD. So I guess is worth the risk.

     I know we're all playing different games and percentages but I rather risk my money on 39.51% (like tonight -24.5/62 FG) than the 29.16% -7/24 1st H that some guys played during the week. ( I know some are limited by their locals too)
    I just think there is more correlation. Just my 2cents...
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    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:



    it technically doesnt qualify is what he is saying, its under 40%


    Yeah I understand that. It qualifies for my parameters, and I'm hitting around 69% TYD. So I guess is worth the risk.

     I know we're all playing different games and percentages but I rather risk my money on 39.51% (like tonight -24.5/62 FG) than the 29.16% -7/24 1st H that some guys played during the week. ( I know some are limited by their locals too)
    I just think there is more correlation. Just my 2cents...
     
    bwcareer
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 6:52 PM ET #617

    Quote Originally Posted by homedogs77:

    I think Boise must be a first half play only, they pull there starters in the 3rd quarter and coast home almost every week.  Are there any other teams this week that you guys feels are better first half plays then whole game plays? I was thinking maybe Oregon?


    TCU might be a better first half play seeing as the Wyoming QB is out. They might not pass midfield.
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    Quote Originally Posted by homedogs77:

    I think Boise must be a first half play only, they pull there starters in the 3rd quarter and coast home almost every week.  Are there any other teams this week that you guys feels are better first half plays then whole game plays? I was thinking maybe Oregon?


    TCU might be a better first half play seeing as the Wyoming QB is out. They might not pass midfield.
     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 7:05 PM ET #618

    For tonite I was thinking that instead of playing the full game as well as the first half, play the first half and if it fails, then play the second half. Playing the full game you run the risk of a blowout the first half and that could put the full game in jeopardy. This way you keep your options open if the first half is a winner. You can stop there or then risk what you want based on the competitiveness of the game at halftime. BOL Gen.
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    For tonite I was thinking that instead of playing the full game as well as the first half, play the first half and if it fails, then play the second half. Playing the full game you run the risk of a blowout the first half and that could put the full game in jeopardy. This way you keep your options open if the first half is a winner. You can stop there or then risk what you want based on the competitiveness of the game at halftime. BOL Gen.
     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 7:07 PM ET #619

    hd, My opinion is that all the full game qualifiers are better played first halves only no matter who it is.
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    hd, My opinion is that all the full game qualifiers are better played first halves only no matter who it is.
     
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 7:23 PM ET #620

    its -24.5  62.5   39.2% geting closer to 40%
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    its -24.5  62.5   39.2% geting closer to 40%
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 8:46 PM ET #621

    Quote Originally Posted by gentruchi:



    Yeah I understand that. It qualifies for my parameters, and I'm hitting around 69% TYD. So I guess is worth the risk.

     I know we're all playing different games and percentages but I rather risk my money on 39.51% (like tonight -24.5/62 FG) than the 29.16% -7/24 1st H that some guys played during the week. ( I know some are limited by their locals too)
    I just think there is more correlation. Just my 2cents...


    i agree, i usually play them if there close, usually cant play added games, but for some reason my book is allowing me tonight but not the 1H, so full game it is....lets make that money!!!!
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    Quote Originally Posted by gentruchi:



    Yeah I understand that. It qualifies for my parameters, and I'm hitting around 69% TYD. So I guess is worth the risk.

     I know we're all playing different games and percentages but I rather risk my money on 39.51% (like tonight -24.5/62 FG) than the 29.16% -7/24 1st H that some guys played during the week. ( I know some are limited by their locals too)
    I just think there is more correlation. Just my 2cents...


    i agree, i usually play them if there close, usually cant play added games, but for some reason my book is allowing me tonight but not the 1H, so full game it is....lets make that money!!!!
     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 9:06 PM ET #622

    Quote Originally Posted by gentruchi:



    Yeah I understand that. It qualifies for my parameters, and I'm hitting around 69% TYD. So I guess is worth the risk.

     I know we're all playing different games and percentages but I rather risk my money on 39.51% (like tonight -24.5/62 FG) than the 29.16% -7/24 1st H that some guys played during the week. ( I know some are limited by their locals too)
    I just think there is more correlation. Just my 2cents...

     

    there is no percentage for 1h. Just simply system plays. And the system kriby has works like a charm

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    Quote Originally Posted by gentruchi:



    Yeah I understand that. It qualifies for my parameters, and I'm hitting around 69% TYD. So I guess is worth the risk.

     I know we're all playing different games and percentages but I rather risk my money on 39.51% (like tonight -24.5/62 FG) than the 29.16% -7/24 1st H that some guys played during the week. ( I know some are limited by their locals too)
    I just think there is more correlation. Just my 2cents...

     

    there is no percentage for 1h. Just simply system plays. And the system kriby has works like a charm

     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 9:22 PM ET #623

    Quote Originally Posted by JFISH:

     

    there is no percentage for 1h. Just simply system plays. And the system kriby has works like a charm



    im like 15-3 playing 1H with -7, -7.5, -8, -8.5  dont use a percentage for halfs only full games...
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    Quote Originally Posted by JFISH:

     

    there is no percentage for 1h. Just simply system plays. And the system kriby has works like a charm



    im like 15-3 playing 1H with -7, -7.5, -8, -8.5  dont use a percentage for halfs only full games...
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 9:22 PM ET #624

    i also played 2 that were borderline 40% plays last week and did fine, its personal perference...im on it tonight for the whole game
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    i also played 2 that were borderline 40% plays last week and did fine, its personal perference...im on it tonight for the whole game
     
     
    ERBATIZ
    ERBATIZ
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    Posts: 2179
    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 10:05 PM ET #625

    guys are having a drink watching the game? o just praying or both like me LOL
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    guys are having a drink watching the game? o just praying or both like me LOL
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