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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    2010 NCAA Fave/Over - Dog/Under % Correlation Parlays Thread

    «First Previous 151617 ... 656667 Next Last»
    Magicbet
    kkirby99
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    «First Previous 151617 ... 656667 Next Last»
     
    Magicbet
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2010 - 12:43 PM ET #351

    Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

    Your first game if you can play it (and so far my book has not allowed it) would be two seperate parlay bets.  TCU -33 to the over AND Col St. +33 to the under. I don't know what you did.

    I bet TCU -33 and OVER

    And

    COL ST. +33 and UNDER

    correct?

    I don't think there's books online that makes betting in this way. There are?

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    Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

    Your first game if you can play it (and so far my book has not allowed it) would be two seperate parlay bets.  TCU -33 to the over AND Col St. +33 to the under. I don't know what you did.

    I bet TCU -33 and OVER

    And

    COL ST. +33 and UNDER

    correct?

    I don't think there's books online that makes betting in this way. There are?

     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2010 - 12:47 PM ET #352

    Correct, mb
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    Correct, mb
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2010 - 4:43 PM ET #353

    Quote Originally Posted by Magicbet:

    I bet TCU -33 and OVER

    And

    COL ST. +33 and UNDER

    correct?

    I don't think there's books online that makes betting in this way. There are?



    as far as we know, only locals accept these bets...
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    Quote Originally Posted by Magicbet:

    I bet TCU -33 and OVER

    And

    COL ST. +33 and UNDER

    correct?

    I don't think there's books online that makes betting in this way. There are?



    as far as we know, only locals accept these bets...
     
    tonymoda
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2010 - 9:54 PM ET #354

    So...Instead of parley....Can you also action reverves bets?

    Thank you...

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    So...Instead of parley....Can you also action reverves bets?

    Thank you...

     
    tonymoda
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2010 - 9:57 PM ET #355

    Action reverse is basically 2 seperate bets

    say you bet 100 action reverse you are risking 220 to win 400

    If your teams split you lose -120

    Both lose = -220

    Both win = +400
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    Action reverse is basically 2 seperate bets

    say you bet 100 action reverse you are risking 220 to win 400

    If your teams split you lose -120

    Both lose = -220

    Both win = +400
     
    tonymoda
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2010 - 10:01 PM ET #356

    Action reverse of 2 bets at -110
    Lose both bets => -1.0000 units
    Lose 1, Win 1 => -0.5455 units
    Win both bets => +1.8182 units
    EV at 4.545% juice per bet => -6.8182%

    Parlay of 2 bets at -110
    Lose both bets => -1.0000 units
    Lose 1, Win 1 => -1.0000 units
    Win both bets => +2.6446 units
    EV at 4.545% juice (per bet) => -8.8843%
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    Action reverse of 2 bets at -110
    Lose both bets => -1.0000 units
    Lose 1, Win 1 => -0.5455 units
    Win both bets => +1.8182 units
    EV at 4.545% juice per bet => -6.8182%

    Parlay of 2 bets at -110
    Lose both bets => -1.0000 units
    Lose 1, Win 1 => -1.0000 units
    Win both bets => +2.6446 units
    EV at 4.545% juice (per bet) => -8.8843%
     
    tonymoda
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2010 - 10:12 PM ET #357

    Kirby and Milkman,
    Sent you a PM.  Please add me as a friend.  Just had a few questions for you.
    Thanks
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    Kirby and Milkman,
    Sent you a PM.  Please add me as a friend.  Just had a few questions for you.
    Thanks
     
    dish
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2010 - 10:18 PM ET #358

    anyone try using an IF BET

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    anyone try using an IF BET

     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2010 - 11:55 PM ET #359

    would the ten lsu game fall under this system??

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    would the ten lsu game fall under this system??

     
    powerade
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 12:08 AM ET #360

    Quote Originally Posted by tonymoda:

    Action reverse is basically 2 seperate bets

    say you bet 100 action reverse you are risking 220 to win 400

    If your teams split you lose -120

    Both lose = -220

    Both win = +400

    i guess so but when you lose you are going to lose more than in parlays

    In this system, under what you said you are risking 440 a game to win 200
    underr the way we play them, that same 440 is risked to win 360

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    Quote Originally Posted by tonymoda:

    Action reverse is basically 2 seperate bets

    say you bet 100 action reverse you are risking 220 to win 400

    If your teams split you lose -120

    Both lose = -220

    Both win = +400

    i guess so but when you lose you are going to lose more than in parlays

    In this system, under what you said you are risking 440 a game to win 200
    underr the way we play them, that same 440 is risked to win 360

     
    powerade
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 12:10 AM ET #361

    Quote Originally Posted by JFISH:

    would the ten lsu game fall under this system??

    no, only 38%

    and games when the spread is under 20 =

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    Quote Originally Posted by JFISH:

    would the ten lsu game fall under this system??

    no, only 38%

    and games when the spread is under 20 =

     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 12:18 AM ET #362

    this works for halftime lines?? Thanks alot powerade
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    this works for halftime lines?? Thanks alot powerade
     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 12:22 AM ET #363

    Jfish, The Tenn/LSU game fits my parameters for a 1ST HALF play only. Full game is a no go as powerade said.
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    Jfish, The Tenn/LSU game fits my parameters for a 1ST HALF play only. Full game is a no go as powerade said.
     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 12:25 AM ET #364

    kirby im going to send you a pm for the first half parameters. My local accepts this shit
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    kirby im going to send you a pm for the first half parameters. My local accepts this shit
     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 12:34 AM ET #365

    If he accepts it now, he won't by the end of the season. So start looking for another already. 
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    If he accepts it now, he won't by the end of the season. So start looking for another already. 
     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 12:35 AM ET #366

    so kirby for instance tulane/rutgers game, ten/lsu game. Basically you play it if the difference is over 40%? in your opinion is this system pretty money? Thinking of pounding my local this weekend
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    so kirby for instance tulane/rutgers game, ten/lsu game. Basically you play it if the difference is over 40%? in your opinion is this system pretty money? Thinking of pounding my local this weekend
     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 12:39 AM ET #367

    I don't really care about the %difference for the 1st halves. I use that as a filter for full games only.  
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    I don't really care about the %difference for the 1st halves. I use that as a filter for full games only.  
     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 12:40 AM ET #368

    so what are your parameters for 1halves ??
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    so what are your parameters for 1halves ??
     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 12:43 AM ET #369

    go check out thread started by whitakp  from last year starting about post #150 for my 1st half stuff. That thread can be found on the second page list of this forum. or PM me.
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    go check out thread started by whitakp  from last year starting about post #150 for my 1st half stuff. That thread can be found on the second page list of this forum. or PM me.
     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 12:52 AM ET #370

    kirby sent a request.
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    kirby sent a request.
     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 1:03 AM ET #371

    kirby a little confused about the 1H. would u play a game with -7 21 total?? and why. beacuse it is 1/3 or do you use a %. thanks

     

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    kirby a little confused about the 1H. would u play a game with -7 21 total?? and why. beacuse it is 1/3 or do you use a %. thanks

     

     
    kkirby99
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 1:04 AM ET #372

    -7 is the key because then the favorite has to score twice to beat you and that boosts the total. I don't care about the %.

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    -7 is the key because then the favorite has to score twice to beat you and that boosts the total. I don't care about the %.

     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 1:15 AM ET #373

    so for college football next week some plays would be:

    ball state/central mich(-10/24)

    tulane/rutgers             (-10/21)

    tennesee/lsu               (-9/21)

    DOG and the UNDER. FAV and the OVR? is this correct?? thanks

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    so for college football next week some plays would be:

    ball state/central mich(-10/24)

    tulane/rutgers             (-10/21)

    tennesee/lsu               (-9/21)

    DOG and the UNDER. FAV and the OVR? is this correct?? thanks

     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 2:15 AM ET #374

    just locked in:      Ball st/Cen mich for 2u a game

                               Tulane/Rutgers for 2 u a game

                                Tenn/LSU for 2 u a game

    Lets get paid this weekend   

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    just locked in:      Ball st/Cen mich for 2u a game

                               Tulane/Rutgers for 2 u a game

                                Tenn/LSU for 2 u a game

    Lets get paid this weekend   

     
     
    JFISH
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2010 - 2:47 AM ET #375

    first half NFL plays would be

    Greenbay/Det    Carolina/NO  ....

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    first half NFL plays would be

    Greenbay/Det    Carolina/NO  ....

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