This Guy Deserves a Tail

This probably the best handicapper I've ever seen in the survivor contest. His last 50 picks run from Jan 30 2007 thru April 19 2007. His current win streak is 8 games. His record for his last 50 picks over an 11 week period is an absolutely, positively amazing 37-12-1!!! That's a whopping 75.5% success rate. If you wagered $1,100 per pick w/ 10% juice, you'd be up $23,800 or $2,164 a week!!! His record isn't in the stratosphere because of an extra long lucky streak. He has not had more than 1 loss in a row in his last 50 picks!!! That's absolutely unheard of. To give you an idea of just how good this fella is, here's a list of his Wins and Losses, starting from his Jan 31 pick thru to his April 19 pick. I'll make it really attractive by showing accumulative dollar amounts instead of just W's and L's: W +$1,000 W +$2,000 L +$900 W +$1,900 W +$2,900 W +$3,900 L +$2,800 W +$3,800 W +$4,800 W +$5,800 W +$6,800 L +$5,700 W +$6,700 W +$7,700 L +$6,600 W +$7,600 L +$6,500 W +$7,500 W +$8,500 L +$7,400 W +$8,400 W +$9,400 W +$10,400 L +$9,300 W +10,300 W +$11,300 L +$10,200 W +$11,200 W +$12,200 L +$11,100 W +$12,100 L +$11,000 W +$12,000 W +$13,000 L +$11,900 W +$12,900 W +$13,900 W +$14,900 W +$15,900 W +$16,900 L +$15,800 W +$16,800 W +$17,800 W +$18,800 W +$19,800 W +$20,800 W +$21,800 W +$22,800 W +$23,800 Here's how much you made each week: 1st week: +$2,800 2nd week: +$2,900 3rd week: +$900 4th week: (-$100) 5th week: +$3,900 6th week: +$1,800 7th weeK: (-$300) 8th week: +$900 9th week: +$1,900 10th week:+$4,000 11th week:+$4,000 His name is, cantcme08. Do you know of ANYONE that's not lost 2 picks in a row in their last 50??? I'm in complete awe. After my wagers come thru tonight I will tail him. If he really starts tanking I'll simply abandon ship. If 'we' win I'll reinvest about 50+% of my winnings and increase my wagers. Sure would be awesome to make over $23,000 the next 2 1/2 mths! Of course, I know that'd be a hard performance to repeat, but whent somebody is 37-12 and their picks are 1 at a time over a long period of time and at a rate of about 2 every three days, that's MUCH more meaningful than someone w/ a similar record that was accrued in about a 5 day span with an average of 10 picks a day!!! Anyone care to join me? cantcme08 is on the front page of Survivor. ||an_clap.gif' border=0> cantcme08 ||an_clap.gif' border=0> Stats: 01-31-07 thru 04-19-07: 37-12-1; 75.5% NBA + MLB: 13-3; 81.3% Tailing at $1,000/pick = +$23,800 ($2,164/week) No more than 1 loss in a row in last 50 picks If you wagered $1,000/pick 1st 10 picks $1,500/pick 2nd 10 picks $2,000/pick 3rd 10 picks $2,500/pick 4th 10 picks $3,000/pick last 10 picks: 1st 10 W +$1,000 W +$2,000 L +$900 W +$1,900 W +$2,900 W +$3,900 L +$2,800 W +$3,800 W +$4,800 W +$5,800 2nd 10 W +$7,300 L +$5,650 W +$7,150 W +$8,650 L +$7,000 W +$8,500 L +$6,850 W +$8,350 W +$9,850 L +$8,200 3rd 10 W +$10,200 W +$12,200 W +$14,200 L +$12,000 W +$14,000 W +$16,000 L +$13,800 W +$15,800 W +$17,800 L +$15,600 4th 10 W +$18,100 L +$15,350 W +$17,850 W +$20,350 L +$17,600 W +$20,100 W +$22,600 W +$25,100 W +$27,600 W +$30,100 5th 10 (9, 1 push) L +$26,800 W +$29,800 W +$32,800 W +$35,800 W +$38,800 W +$41,800 W +$44,800 W +$47,800 W +$50,800 That's $4,618/week!!! or $240,136/year!!! I know. I know. You can take any winning streak or pile of luck and project to any amount of winnings you want as long as you're doing more that breaking even. I just like numbers, ok. Also, you gotta admit that's some incredible work by Mr. Cantcme! Ya'll have any records I can check out? I like to consult w/ certain top cappers before pulling the trigger. One person ya'll should consider for the NBA is ups-drvr. Hes at about 65% since mid-early Feburary, the date at which he joined the office pool - Who Dares Beat This Vegasman (or something like that). He's been on a cold streak last 3 days. Everyone has been. Prior to playoffs you don't know what kinda basketball team is gonna show up, w/ many of the best benching their starters while playing against some of the worst teams in the league - and losing!

See now thats a strong post !! dudes hitting 75% which is sick and it doesnt cost anyone 90k ||thumbs_up.gif' border=0>

That is awesome! ||an_clap.gif' border=0> I did go 69 picks in a row without losing 3 in a row. I would like to know if anyone has a longer streak than that. ||cool.gif' border=0> I posted about it back on 2/5/2007.

And looking at his survivor record I see that he made 71 picks in a row without losing 3 in a row. Nice job! ||win.gif' border=0> Anyone else?

This guy "cotts16" is not bad either. But not as good as cantcme08. Anyone else?

thats one of the few useful threads on this forum... good job

31-13-2 in my 1st 47, just found out about this place a few months back, got 7 in a row right now, and im on cleveland tommorrow

Take the Wizards then. lol

Check out "terrytactics" too. 62.6%

Sheer Luck!!

is there anyway to get more than one play every few days or so outta this guy? he seems amazing! ||moneybag.gif' border=0>||moneybag.gif' border=0>||moneybag.gif' border=0>

if you look at his league contests he's down many many many units. explain sum1!!

the way u explain it....this guy is fuckin sick....but with his streak going up...he's going to be limiting his plays. so that kinda screws up. i'm about to get with a new bookie next week and i wanna open up an account with him and just blind tail this guys picks....i want some more picks tho...ya kno?

Heres some cappers i keep in my favorites folder. cantcme08 37-12 mikegig3 35-14 thanxalot 32-13 Dgiova4 27-8 cotts16 40-15 UNLVSTAR 31-13

i'll put my name on a decent streak so far. 25-7 last 32

I dont known why you keep saying cantcme08 didnt lose 3 in a row. HE DIDNT LOSE MORE THAN 1 IN A ROW IN LAST 71 PICKS!!!! Well, hes made a pick today and I HAAATTTEEE his pick! Its Under 182.5 Orlando vs Detroit. Last time they met, just a few days ago, they scored low 190's. 182 would be unusually low for both teams. I was hoping sooooo bad hed make a pick i could halfway agree with. You guys know of any reason the total should be so low? Ive looked up some 60%+ capper on NBA totals and the majority have chosen the under as well. I understand the scoring has been really low in the playoffs this year, but Orlandos and Detroits was 192 pts vs the lines 180.5!!! If hed bet the over I wouldve been a TON on it. CRAPPPP!!!!

texas, ill put you in my favs folder and if you win a few more ill put you in my 'best' folder! ||an_wink.gif' border=0>

how i ended up finding some good cappers (and i havent spent a ton of time looking, so im sure theres plenty more) was looking at the martingale system. Ive found a bunch of consistent cappers with limited losing streaks. After the lose like 2 or 3 in a row Ill begin to tail them. If we lose ill double my next bet. But if youll be patient and sift thru your favs list and wait until that cold streak has about run its course, you can time some good wins. I usually limit my favs list to no more than 1 4-game losing streak per 50 picks and 2-3 3-game losing streaks per 50 picks, depending on the win %. If theyre REAL consistent w/ VERY short losing streaks, Ill consider tailing them after a couple losses even if their win % is 'only' 55-57%, but I prefer about 62-64% and up.

pairunoyd, i was at 8 in a row and couldn't decide on over in the dallas arena game or dallas. i made a dumbass choice, first one in awhile i was really upset at myself with, but bounced back last night with the steal of the year gs+9.5

so who has blind tailed some1 and made bunches of money and explain please....im new to this

Yall looking for a looooong term capper to tail? I have found THE man, and hes very active too! Its perfect. Just put away all your capping tools, grab a beer, sit back and tail. If you bet $1,100 per bet to win $1,000, you'd win $73,000/year!!!! Hes 62.7% over the last 13 mths, so you know THATS not a fluke!!! 338 picks in about 400 days. Thats about 6 picks a week! WOW! Most people wait and wait if theyre any good. I iamgine if youd check his picks, he might be better when he waits 3-4 days rather than back-to-back days. Also, though the $1100 per bet might be above some of yalls heads, if youll rebet a smallish percentage of your earnings, you could go from betting about 2-300 to 1100 in about a year im sure. And if your betting 1000 now, im sure you could go to 3 or 4 and start making what, a quarter mill a year???? TerryTactics is his name. As always, tail at your own risk. He might 42% this year! Bahahahahah! NOT!

SBlazinX69, tailing is simply finding someone w/ an impressive, hopefully long term winning streak and betting on whatever they bet on. Just like I mention above. You just go to the survivor leaderboard, scroll down to the search window and enter his name. Then you can bookmark the link. Just check it several times a day, ESPECIALLY near game time so you dont miss his pick. After you see his pick you bet on his pick thru whomever you use. Of course, no matter how good someone is, theres NO guarantee. The higher their number of picks and the higher their win % along w/ shorter loser streaks, the better they are. Sometimes you have to be patient. They might have won you 2,500 last mth if youd started then, but you might start on their losing streak and actually lose. I dont typically blindly follow. If theyre REAL good, the only time i wont tail is if i feel strongly against their pick. If im slightly against it ill lower my bet amt. If im neutral ill bet a good bit. If i like their pick ill bet quite a bit. But always assume the worst. It shouldnt happen, but assume youre gonna lose 5 in a row. Only bet what you can afford to lose 5 times in a row. As you win, put some of the winnings into your bets so that youre reinvesting, but only around 10-30%, depending on your personality, etc.