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Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 2135
Posted: Dec. 27, 2008 - 8:40 PM ET
#4
Went back the last 5 years for week 17 only and broke
the SU results down by 4 categories.
And before you ask, I have my own library of stats
as I was an odds maker on the strip until I went out
on my own after winning one of the NFL contest here in LV.
HOME FAVS -7 and UP 19-8
HOME FAVS - 6 1/2 and LESS 17-8
ROAD FAVS -4 and up 9-3
ROAD FAVS - 3 1/2 and less 6-10
overall favs are 51-29 su but small road favs are sub .500.
Also note 7 plus favs do have and average loss of 1.6 per wk 17
so which one will flop??
favs will go 10-6 su this week at most 12-4.
I'll set the number at 11 1/2 at UNDER -180 / over plus 140.
I'll group the teams by the lines I got, and put and L next to
the team I believe will lose.
HOME FAVS - 7 AND UP:
BUCCS (L)
PAKCERS (L?)
FALCONS
RAVENS
STEELERS
HOME FAVS - 6 1/2 AND LESS:
EAGLES (L)
VIKINGS (L?)
TEXANS
BENGALS (L)
JETS (L)
CARDINALS
49ERS
CHARGERS
ROAD FAVS -4 AND UP:
PATRIOTS
ROAD FAVS - 3 1/2 AND LESS:
PANTHERS (L)
TITANS
Have a good sunday and best of luck
Went back the last 5 years for week 17 only and broke
the SU results down by 4 categories.
And before you ask, I have my own library of stats
as I was an odds maker on the strip until I went out
on my own after winning one of the NFL contest here in LV.
HOME FAVS -7 and UP 19-8
HOME FAVS - 6 1/2 and LESS 17-8
ROAD FAVS -4 and up 9-3
ROAD FAVS - 3 1/2 and less 6-10
overall favs are 51-29 su but small road favs are sub .500.
Also note 7 plus favs do have and average loss of 1.6 per wk 17
so which one will flop??
favs will go 10-6 su this week at most 12-4.
I'll set the number at 11 1/2 at UNDER -180 / over plus 140.
I'll group the teams by the lines I got, and put and L next to
the team I believe will lose.
HOME FAVS - 7 AND UP:
BUCCS (L)
PAKCERS (L?)
FALCONS
RAVENS
STEELERS
HOME FAVS - 6 1/2 AND LESS:
EAGLES (L)
VIKINGS (L?)
TEXANS
BENGALS (L)
JETS (L)
CARDINALS
49ERS
CHARGERS
ROAD FAVS -4 AND UP:
PATRIOTS
ROAD FAVS - 3 1/2 AND LESS:
PANTHERS (L)
TITANS
Have a good sunday and best of luck