Survivor picks - when to fade

Does anyone have any strategies on fading picks when a survivor user gets very high on the board? Surely betting against these picks at these high streaks would be wiser to fade than follow?

... I mean, there's gotta be some stats on this? What is the success rate after 11, 15, 17 picks???

2 people are proving this wrong right now

I wish everyone success and would love to see JB get to 25.

Many users here have made it to 11, 15, 17, but what are the peak points, and what are the stats on the "tipping point" for the general public?

though I think shawnawaters (who I've tailed for years) chose a real coin toss today. I had to fade, mets gonna show up the rest of the year

its 50% for the 17th pick... I used to keep track a couple of years ago.   I've seen Cover members pick right after winning 16th picks and I've seen really taking their time until the last moment for the 17th pick.   so really its a coin flip.  

finishing one below the milestone absolutely sucks. 

Can this data be downloaded?