I think Pittsburgh is a good play here. The Reds haven't swept Pittsburgh at home in 8 years. Eric Milton lifetime against Pittsburgh is 1-4 in 10 starts with a 7.20 era. Duke has struggled on the road in the past but pitched a gem in Houston last time out.
Agree or Disagree??
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I think Pittsburgh is a good play here. The Reds haven't swept Pittsburgh at home in 8 years. Eric Milton lifetime against Pittsburgh is 1-4 in 10 starts with a 7.20 era. Duke has struggled on the road in the past but pitched a gem in Houston last time out.
Agree or Disagree??
I don't know, my little system has Pittsburgh as a -111 favorite, not enough of a difference to bet on.
But check out Wagerline's version of Peter Gammons, BuffetGambler's take. It's unreal how much this guy knows. But as I stated elsewhere, even this guru is only winning 50 % of his games lifetime. It shows how nearly impossible it is to beat the Vegas line. Anyhow, he agrees with you:
Pirates @ Reds
Play: Pirates +108
Intrinsic Value: -128
Consider Betting Price: -116
Comment:
Now, I would never expect linesmakers to open this Pirates team a favorite on the road in this game, but I like them in this situation, and think they have a better chance of winning than losing. Don’t let Milton’s perennial low Whip fool you into thinking that one season he could lower that ERA down. He doesn’t need a high Whip to allow a lot of runs, as there are not many people more prone to the long ball than he is. This is the last thing you want when pitching in this park, especially during the day when it is much more live. It is no surprise that he put forth a home ERA well over 5 last season here, and allowed about a home run every five innings. The Pirates tagged him twice last season, and there might not be a team in baseball that has given him more problems in the past, as he comes into today’s game with a career ERA well over seven against this club. It is no surprise that there are a few hitters in Sunday’s lineup that has his number, and even new addition LaRoche is primed for a decent game as Milton has actually be less effective against left handed batters. Milton is also not in pitching shape compared to his counterpart. His spring was cut short and is just now coming off the DL with back problems. Being backed by one of the worst bullpens in the league should allow the Pirates to have scoring opportunities throughout this game.
Duke is a young southpaw with a lot of upside potential. He showed what he can do in this rookie season a couple of years back when his ERA was a mind boggling 1.82 in over 80 innings of work. Last year he went through a sophomore slump, but was actually very good after the break. He looked solid in his first start of the season. He is especially tough on left handed hitters, which is ideal when going up against the Reds, whose power is mostly generated from the left side. The Reds lineup is overrated and not ideal for manufacturing runs, which might be a problem, as Duke does not allow a lot of home runs. He is backed by a deeper and better bullpen and will be on a higher pitch count this time around.
I don't know, my little system has Pittsburgh as a -111 favorite, not enough of a difference to bet on.
But check out Wagerline's version of Peter Gammons, BuffetGambler's take. It's unreal how much this guy knows. But as I stated elsewhere, even this guru is only winning 50 % of his games lifetime. It shows how nearly impossible it is to beat the Vegas line. Anyhow, he agrees with you:
Pirates @ Reds
Play: Pirates +108
Intrinsic Value: -128
Consider Betting Price: -116
Comment:
Now, I would never expect linesmakers to open this Pirates team a favorite on the road in this game, but I like them in this situation, and think they have a better chance of winning than losing. Don’t let Milton’s perennial low Whip fool you into thinking that one season he could lower that ERA down. He doesn’t need a high Whip to allow a lot of runs, as there are not many people more prone to the long ball than he is. This is the last thing you want when pitching in this park, especially during the day when it is much more live. It is no surprise that he put forth a home ERA well over 5 last season here, and allowed about a home run every five innings. The Pirates tagged him twice last season, and there might not be a team in baseball that has given him more problems in the past, as he comes into today’s game with a career ERA well over seven against this club. It is no surprise that there are a few hitters in Sunday’s lineup that has his number, and even new addition LaRoche is primed for a decent game as Milton has actually be less effective against left handed batters. Milton is also not in pitching shape compared to his counterpart. His spring was cut short and is just now coming off the DL with back problems. Being backed by one of the worst bullpens in the league should allow the Pirates to have scoring opportunities throughout this game.
Duke is a young southpaw with a lot of upside potential. He showed what he can do in this rookie season a couple of years back when his ERA was a mind boggling 1.82 in over 80 innings of work. Last year he went through a sophomore slump, but was actually very good after the break. He looked solid in his first start of the season. He is especially tough on left handed hitters, which is ideal when going up against the Reds, whose power is mostly generated from the left side. The Reds lineup is overrated and not ideal for manufacturing runs, which might be a problem, as Duke does not allow a lot of home runs. He is backed by a deeper and better bullpen and will be on a higher pitch count this time around.
Fantastic information, and I have saved him to my favorites. Let's face it, baseball is not easy to bet. Your odds of winning are increased if you do some research, and try to find one game that gives you a better chance. Baseball I like to take the trends but only at the right time of a 3 or 4 game series. I love the information and any game that is taken needs that much thought or we are just guessing.
Fantastic information, and I have saved him to my favorites. Let's face it, baseball is not easy to bet. Your odds of winning are increased if you do some research, and try to find one game that gives you a better chance. Baseball I like to take the trends but only at the right time of a 3 or 4 game series. I love the information and any game that is taken needs that much thought or we are just guessing.
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