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    All Forums | Streak Survivor

    Overall odds of getting to 21 straight.

    pinebox32
    gthing25
    espnzoneboy
    bestnbapicks
    PainsMyName
    ...
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    Views: 814
    Posts: 23
     
    pinebox32
    pinebox32
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2006 - 3:36 PM ET #1

    If you ever wondered the real odds of flipping a coin 21 right times and choosing the right side 21 times in a row, or in this case the correct team to win 21 times in a row here is how ya do it. To find the answer all you need to do is multiply 2 by the previous odds, as the correct choice is 1 of 2. thus to get 1 correct you odds are 1/2 then to get two straight you would multiply the previous streak of 1/2 by 2 to get odds of 1/4 to catch a streak of 2. and as follows. 1 straight 1/2 2 straight 1/4 3 straight 1/8 4 straight 1/16 5 straight 1/32 6 straight 1/64 7 straight 1/128 8 straight 1/256 9 straight 1/512 10 straight 1/1,024 11 straight 1/2,048 12 straight 1/4,096 13 straight 1/8,192 14 straight 1/16,384 15 straight 1/32,768 16 straight 1/65,536 17 straight 1/131,072 18 straight 1/262,144 19 straight 1/524,288 20 straight 1/1,048,576 21 straight 1/2,097,152 In my case I have a current streak of 3 going so my odds to win the whole thing and get 21 in a row is now a mere 1 in 262,144. However I think I will(21 in a row) will be hit sooner than most think. Cappers these days are better. Look at the previous years contests. To make top 5 in any given sport a few years ago you didnt need more than 10k in units, now you need near 20k in units, obviously points differ for sports but seems like it will be sooner than later. Maybe before the snow all comes and goes in the northeast. My guess is before tax season.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    If you ever wondered the real odds of flipping a coin 21 right times and choosing the right side 21 times in a row, or in this case the correct team to win 21 times in a row here is how ya do it. To find the answer all you need to do is multiply 2 by the previous odds, as the correct choice is 1 of 2. thus to get 1 correct you odds are 1/2 then to get two straight you would multiply the previous streak of 1/2 by 2 to get odds of 1/4 to catch a streak of 2. and as follows. 1 straight 1/2 2 straight 1/4 3 straight 1/8 4 straight 1/16 5 straight 1/32 6 straight 1/64 7 straight 1/128 8 straight 1/256 9 straight 1/512 10 straight 1/1,024 11 straight 1/2,048 12 straight 1/4,096 13 straight 1/8,192 14 straight 1/16,384 15 straight 1/32,768 16 straight 1/65,536 17 straight 1/131,072 18 straight 1/262,144 19 straight 1/524,288 20 straight 1/1,048,576 21 straight 1/2,097,152 In my case I have a current streak of 3 going so my odds to win the whole thing and get 21 in a row is now a mere 1 in 262,144. However I think I will(21 in a row) will be hit sooner than most think. Cappers these days are better. Look at the previous years contests. To make top 5 in any given sport a few years ago you didnt need more than 10k in units, now you need near 20k in units, obviously points differ for sports but seems like it will be sooner than later. Maybe before the snow all comes and goes in the northeast. My guess is before tax season.
     
    pinebox32
    pinebox32
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    Posts: 515
    Posted: Nov. 10, 2006 - 11:07 PM ET #2

    I have current odds of 1 in 1,048,576 to win 21 in a row right now. what are your odds currently??
    Reply
    I have current odds of 1 in 1,048,576 to win 21 in a row right now. what are your odds currently??
     
    gthing25
    gthing25
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2006 - 5:21 PM ET #3

    1 in 524,288
    Reply
    1 in 524,288
     
    gthing25
    gthing25
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2006 - 2:51 PM ET #4

    1 in 262,144
    Reply
    1 in 262,144
     
    pinebox32
    pinebox32
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2006 - 4:12 PM ET #5

    1/524,288
    Reply
    1/524,288
     
    pinebox32
    pinebox32
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2006 - 9:06 PM ET #6

    1/262,144 now
    Reply
    1/262,144 now
     
    espnzoneboy
    espnzoneboy
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    Posts: 565
    Posted: Nov. 18, 2006 - 12:18 AM ET #7

    zilch I'm on a bad streak 1 win in last 11 games. Horrible pinebox32.. How do I break this terrible streak?||confused.gif' border=0>
    Reply
    zilch I'm on a bad streak 1 win in last 11 games. Horrible pinebox32.. How do I break this terrible streak?||confused.gif' border=0>
     
    pinebox32
    pinebox32
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2006 - 2:16 PM ET #8

    espnzoneboy, odd lines today in college basketball, look at my league pending picks for today in college basketball, got 6 or 7 plays all should win based on odd lines, they are all overs in the games, however another player on the site here tipped me off to the biggest odd line with texas A&M game over under at 129, true line on that game is 154, so pound the over, clearing 129 will happen with about 8 minutes left in the game, lock of the day definately.
    Reply
    espnzoneboy, odd lines today in college basketball, look at my league pending picks for today in college basketball, got 6 or 7 plays all should win based on odd lines, they are all overs in the games, however another player on the site here tipped me off to the biggest odd line with texas A&M game over under at 129, true line on that game is 154, so pound the over, clearing 129 will happen with about 8 minutes left in the game, lock of the day definately.
     
    bestnbapicks
    bestnbapicks
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    Posts: 536
    Posted: Nov. 18, 2006 - 10:36 PM ET #9

    to get 21 straight the odds are 1:10 lol
    Reply
    to get 21 straight the odds are 1:10 lol
     
    pinebox32
    pinebox32
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    Posts: 515
    Posted: Nov. 20, 2006 - 10:53 PM ET #10

    I'm on to something, wish I didn't play the damn indi over but oh well, had a good thing rolling new strategy. Started another streak tonight. WIll stick to my strategy till I lose thats a promise. Will make the leaderboard in less than a week mark this post.
    Reply
    I'm on to something, wish I didn't play the damn indi over but oh well, had a good thing rolling new strategy. Started another streak tonight. WIll stick to my strategy till I lose thats a promise. Will make the leaderboard in less than a week mark this post.
     
    pinebox32
    pinebox32
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    Posted: Nov. 22, 2006 - 6:34 PM ET #11

    Its workign so far. up to 2. looking for number 3 tonight. New formula says siena and dartmouth over. wohooo here we go.
    Reply
    Its workign so far. up to 2. looking for number 3 tonight. New formula says siena and dartmouth over. wohooo here we go.
     
    pinebox32
    pinebox32
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    Posted: Nov. 22, 2006 - 8:40 PM ET #12

    winner on to tomorrow
    Reply
    winner on to tomorrow
     
    gthing25
    gthing25
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    Posted: Nov. 22, 2006 - 8:55 PM ET #13

    GL pinebox32, see you are at three in a row. Getting into the groove here with 5 in a row. I'm still trying to get that damn hat! Hopefully I can get it this time.||an_cheers.gif' border=0>
    Reply
    GL pinebox32, see you are at three in a row. Getting into the groove here with 5 in a row. I'm still trying to get that damn hat! Hopefully I can get it this time.||an_cheers.gif' border=0>
     
    pinebox32
    pinebox32
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2006 - 10:29 AM ET #14

    patience patience you got it in ya. Im gunna get me another real soon.
    Reply
    patience patience you got it in ya. Im gunna get me another real soon.
     
    pinebox32
    pinebox32
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2006 - 10:42 AM ET #15

    gthing. check my pending pick for today gunna be a monster just watch.
    Reply
    gthing. check my pending pick for today gunna be a monster just watch.
     
    gthing25
    gthing25
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2006 - 9:07 PM ET #16

    Took Hofstra / Hawaii OVER 141 , for 6 in a row||clover.gif' border=0>
    Reply
    Took Hofstra / Hawaii OVER 141 , for 6 in a row||clover.gif' border=0>
     
    PainsMyName
    PainsMyName
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2006 - 2:14 AM ET #17

    I got 9 in a row!!! Wooo Hooo... LOL
    Reply
    I got 9 in a row!!! Wooo Hooo... LOL
     
    gthing25
    gthing25
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2006 - 5:31 PM ET #18

    7 in a row! 2 to go!
    Reply
    7 in a row! 2 to go!
     
    JustDoIt
    JustDoIt
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2006 - 9:52 PM ET #19

    i'm at 10...pounding the NBA lately...knock on wood
    Reply
    i'm at 10...pounding the NBA lately...knock on wood
     
    gthing25
    gthing25
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    Posted: Nov. 25, 2006 - 3:14 PM ET #20

    Up to 8. One more Piney and I'll be wearing the hat proudly! ||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
    Reply
    Up to 8. One more Piney and I'll be wearing the hat proudly! ||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
     
    spocsstocks
    spocsstocks
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    Posts: 1263
    Posted: Nov. 26, 2006 - 10:12 PM ET #21

    by tommorow you guarenteed to be on the leaderboard ideas on how your going to accomplish that now that you have zero ||confused.gif' border=0> guess the "systems" didnt work
    Reply
    by tommorow you guarenteed to be on the leaderboard ideas on how your going to accomplish that now that you have zero ||confused.gif' border=0> guess the "systems" didnt work
     
    gthing25
    gthing25
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2006 - 6:47 PM ET #22

    Didn't get the hat! Lost last night took Michigan -2 vs N.C. St. Oh well, I'll try again. So close yet so far. Streak ends at 8.||an_brick.gif' border=0>
    Reply
    Didn't get the hat! Lost last night took Michigan -2 vs N.C. St. Oh well, I'll try again. So close yet so far. Streak ends at 8.||an_brick.gif' border=0>
     
     
    IrishCoffee
    IrishCoffee
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2006 - 2:19 PM ET #23

    Ouch gthing.....no hat, eh? I saw alot of people take Michigan over NC State on Survivor picks. Alot of people went down because of that pick.
    Reply
    Ouch gthing.....no hat, eh? I saw alot of people take Michigan over NC State on Survivor picks. Alot of people went down because of that pick.
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