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    All Forums | Streak Survivor

    make money tailing in survivor?

    123 Next Last»
    stickbit
    Chevyguy24
    nc1capper
    ROY29
    bilsonx_nc
    ...
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    123 Next Last»
     
    stickbit
    stickbit
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 11:30 PM ET #1

    Has anyone tried tailing the best survivor contestants and successfully made $$ longterm? Just curious.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Has anyone tried tailing the best survivor contestants and successfully made $$ longterm? Just curious.
     
    Chevyguy24
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2009 - 1:51 PM ET #2

    its possible
    Reply
    its possible
     
    nc1capper
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2009 - 9:11 PM ET #3

    would seem to make sense
    Reply
    would seem to make sense
     
    ROY29
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2009 - 5:56 PM ET #4

    Hard to win just tailing.
    Reply
    Hard to win just tailing.
     
    stickbit
    stickbit
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2009 - 11:46 PM ET #5

    why not just tail the top survivor player every time that person enters a pick...would think you win more often than lose.
    Reply
    why not just tail the top survivor player every time that person enters a pick...would think you win more often than lose.
     
    bilsonx_nc
    bilsonx_nc
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    Posted: Mar. 4, 2009 - 10:39 AM ET #6

    Lol you would think.... you try it and let us know how much money you lose.. lol jk
    Reply
    Lol you would think.... you try it and let us know how much money you lose.. lol jk
     
    stickbit
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    Posted: Mar. 4, 2009 - 1:13 PM ET #7

    haha! yea too ez to do...i'm sure it probably doesn't work...but worth tracking for a while.
    Reply
    haha! yea too ez to do...i'm sure it probably doesn't work...but worth tracking for a while.
     
    maritimemac
    maritimemac
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2009 - 3:46 PM ET #8

     going to go 75% in my survivor  picks this month for sure and i will be placing 2 units on each pick my pick will be out 2 hours before the games start
    Reply
     going to go 75% in my survivor  picks this month for sure and i will be placing 2 units on each pick my pick will be out 2 hours before the games start
     
    Bad_Andy
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2009 - 4:44 PM ET #9

    wait til someone gets to 13 wins and go against...make u money over the long haul based on law of averages

    Reply

    wait til someone gets to 13 wins and go against...make u money over the long haul based on law of averages

     
    Perfecta
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2009 - 6:01 PM ET #10

    I've tried it at times.  NO, you don't make money.  it's about 50-50 at best.  You'd think you would make money.  Normally the top guy ALWAYS has 12 or 13 wins.  At the point you start tailing them they usually never get on an extended streak.  Then the next guy in line has 12...and he's usually out by before he hits 14.
    Reply
    I've tried it at times.  NO, you don't make money.  it's about 50-50 at best.  You'd think you would make money.  Normally the top guy ALWAYS has 12 or 13 wins.  At the point you start tailing them they usually never get on an extended streak.  Then the next guy in line has 12...and he's usually out by before he hits 14.
     
    Perfecta
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2009 - 6:04 PM ET #11

    On another note....I never make any money tailing ANYONE on covers or any other forum.  Some people just "seem" to be an all knowing "God."   Some of the writeups are well written but I've learned  a long time ago that a "good writeup" doesn't mean shit.
     
     
    Just bet your OWN picks....OR follow some hot participant that's in a DOCUMENTED contest.  
     
    There is no easy money in this game.  Everyone gets on hot streaks and cold streaks...and if you get too cocky the gambling gods will strike you down.
    Reply
    On another note....I never make any money tailing ANYONE on covers or any other forum.  Some people just "seem" to be an all knowing "God."   Some of the writeups are well written but I've learned  a long time ago that a "good writeup" doesn't mean shit.
     
     
    Just bet your OWN picks....OR follow some hot participant that's in a DOCUMENTED contest.  
     
    There is no easy money in this game.  Everyone gets on hot streaks and cold streaks...and if you get too cocky the gambling gods will strike you down.
     
    prof8t
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2009 - 1:04 AM ET #12

    Don't these contests qualify as "documented contests"?  It is possible to make money tailing, even at a 50% win rate, depending on your method of money management.
    Reply
    Don't these contests qualify as "documented contests"?  It is possible to make money tailing, even at a 50% win rate, depending on your method of money management.
     
    clkclass
    clkclass
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2009 - 8:37 AM ET #13

    Ill try anything right now!!!!!!!!!
    Reply
    Ill try anything right now!!!!!!!!!
     
    prof8t
    prof8t
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2009 - 4:38 PM ET #14

    Follow a top capper in a contest.  Take the NCAAB daily double for instance.  Top capper currently hitting almost 60%.  Run two lines using a money management system like the Labourchere system, and you'll see profits.

    Key is to follow top cappers in contests that offer small selections like one to three per day.

    Crazy as it may sound, I'm currently running three lines in the MLB Triple Play contest.  Even though it's only Spring Training the top two cappers are currently around 70%.
    Reply
    Follow a top capper in a contest.  Take the NCAAB daily double for instance.  Top capper currently hitting almost 60%.  Run two lines using a money management system like the Labourchere system, and you'll see profits.

    Key is to follow top cappers in contests that offer small selections like one to three per day.

    Crazy as it may sound, I'm currently running three lines in the MLB Triple Play contest.  Even though it's only Spring Training the top two cappers are currently around 70%.
     
    mattsaleman
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2009 - 1:00 AM ET #15

    When I have nearly made my mind up about my bets I use the concensus page on NBA and NHL and focus mainly on what the top 10% of bettors are going.  If they are also going my pick then I pretty much go it.  Is very profitable, average win percentage 66-80%.  Dont worry about huge public concensus percentages

    Reply

    When I have nearly made my mind up about my bets I use the concensus page on NBA and NHL and focus mainly on what the top 10% of bettors are going.  If they are also going my pick then I pretty much go it.  Is very profitable, average win percentage 66-80%.  Dont worry about huge public concensus percentages

     
    mattsaleman
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2009 - 1:05 AM ET #16

    Heres a quick tip:
     
    After you've nearly decided on your banker bets go to the main concensus page for NBA or NHL.  Click on Top 10% only and see if they are going the same, this eliminates many losers. Finally check to see what the #1 bettors on each team are going. Games where both the #1 bettors are choosing opposite outcomes are to be avoided unless youre feeling clutch.
    Reply
    Heres a quick tip:
     
    After you've nearly decided on your banker bets go to the main concensus page for NBA or NHL.  Click on Top 10% only and see if they are going the same, this eliminates many losers. Finally check to see what the #1 bettors on each team are going. Games where both the #1 bettors are choosing opposite outcomes are to be avoided unless youre feeling clutch.
     
    bigggjohnson
    bigggjohnson
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2009 - 6:54 PM ET #17

    One thing for sure everybody loses.pick a player bet against, he wins thats ok. next time doulbe up bet against him. he wins thats ok. am i missing something. yes. you got to be on your toes to track one player must less two or three. it works, thank you.
    Reply
    One thing for sure everybody loses.pick a player bet against, he wins thats ok. next time doulbe up bet against him. he wins thats ok. am i missing something. yes. you got to be on your toes to track one player must less two or three. it works, thank you.
     
    stickbit
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    Posted: Mar. 14, 2009 - 11:32 AM ET #18

    wow great info guys! I just got back to this thread and appreciate all the comments. i definitely agree a great system is tailing the top guys in the contests that are 1 or 3 picks max.
    Reply
    wow great info guys! I just got back to this thread and appreciate all the comments. i definitely agree a great system is tailing the top guys in the contests that are 1 or 3 picks max.
     
    stickbit
    stickbit
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    Posted: Mar. 14, 2009 - 11:33 AM ET #19

    profit  whatcha mean run 2 lines?
    Reply
    profit  whatcha mean run 2 lines?
     
    KsE73
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    Posted: Mar. 14, 2009 - 12:45 PM ET #20

    If you're going with people w/ good records who bet on the spread or o/u, maybe. But when people are betting on games w/ a moneyline...you will not come out ahead.
    Reply
    If you're going with people w/ good records who bet on the spread or o/u, maybe. But when people are betting on games w/ a moneyline...you will not come out ahead.
     
    stickbit
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    Posted: Mar. 14, 2009 - 5:07 PM ET #21

    KS...why so you say that? not sure i agree.
    Reply
    KS...why so you say that? not sure i agree.
     
    VenomLugz
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 3:23 AM ET #22

    Wow, I didn't know until I research in streak survivor because I didn't join, but I did.   I think it could be possible to make money tailing in streak survivor.   I will try it out.   
    Reply
    Wow, I didn't know until I research in streak survivor because I didn't join, but I did.   I think it could be possible to make money tailing in streak survivor.   I will try it out.   
     
    JB13372
    JB13372
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 6:10 AM ET #23

    One thing I've noticed about SURVIVOR...when someone gets up to the 14-15 games in a row, it's like hitting a wall.  Usually they're soon to be done...
     
    I like my own picks...That way, I can ONLY blame myself,,,or a (he-he) extremely bad call. 
    Reply
    One thing I've noticed about SURVIVOR...when someone gets up to the 14-15 games in a row, it's like hitting a wall.  Usually they're soon to be done...
     
    I like my own picks...That way, I can ONLY blame myself,,,or a (he-he) extremely bad call. 
     
    stickbit
    stickbit
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 5:09 PM ET #24

    yea after reading posts i agree 100% tailing in survivor osn't worth it...you will lose more than win. best to pick a couple really good guys hitting 60% in the office pools.
    Reply
    yea after reading posts i agree 100% tailing in survivor osn't worth it...you will lose more than win. best to pick a couple really good guys hitting 60% in the office pools.
     
     
    S_A_I_N_T_S
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:06 PM ET #25

    Tailing won't make you money long term. How do you actually know the capper you're tailing isn't tailing someone else who's tailing someone else? The tailing could go on for several layers, keep that in mind.  Now you're on a play that many people/levels are tailing and have found yourself on the wrong side based on one person's opinion that has spread like wildfire.  

    When you put all the time in figuring out a process of who and when to tail, from which contest, w8n on plays throughout the day, and for how much, you could've already developed a process to cap games yourself.   

    That's the only way to make money is to build your skill by capping your own games or find a profitable system or 2 and ride them until they shift. Once they shift, you adjust them to make them work best for you based on your level of risk.  


    Reply
    Tailing won't make you money long term. How do you actually know the capper you're tailing isn't tailing someone else who's tailing someone else? The tailing could go on for several layers, keep that in mind.  Now you're on a play that many people/levels are tailing and have found yourself on the wrong side based on one person's opinion that has spread like wildfire.  

    When you put all the time in figuring out a process of who and when to tail, from which contest, w8n on plays throughout the day, and for how much, you could've already developed a process to cap games yourself.   

    That's the only way to make money is to build your skill by capping your own games or find a profitable system or 2 and ride them until they shift. Once they shift, you adjust them to make them work best for you based on your level of risk.  


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