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    All Forums | Streak Survivor

    Hedging

    bucky207
    THE1425N0
    Phillippe
    Toples
    braves5795
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 933
    Posts: 7
     
    bucky207
    bucky207
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2012
    Posts: 45
    Posted: Nov. 13, 2017 - 1:55 PM ET #1

    Anyone got any good hedging ideas? Ive got 2 picks left to get to 17 and the $1000 payday. I've already knocked on wood so I'm pretty sure this post won't jinx me.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Anyone got any good hedging ideas? Ive got 2 picks left to get to 17 and the $1000 payday. I've already knocked on wood so I'm pretty sure this post won't jinx me.
     
    THE1425N0
    THE1425N0
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2016
    Posts: 6
    Posted: Nov. 13, 2017 - 3:55 PM ET #2

    I'm currently at 12. Just pray and hit the submit button lol. I'm 17-1-0 in last 18 streak picks. Tonight I'm on the over 38 on Monday Night Football. I wish you the best dude. an_wink

    Reply

    I'm currently at 12. Just pray and hit the submit button lol. I'm 17-1-0 in last 18 streak picks. Tonight I'm on the over 38 on Monday Night Football. I wish you the best dude. an_wink

     
    Phillippe
    Phillippe
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2015
    Posts: 5
    Posted: Nov. 13, 2017 - 10:56 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by THE1425N0:

    I'm currently at 12. Just pray and hit the submit button lol. I'm 17-1-0 in last 18 streak picks. Tonight I'm on the over 38 on Monday Night Football. I wish you the best dude. an_wink


    congrats on the win tonight The1425NO
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by THE1425N0:

    I'm currently at 12. Just pray and hit the submit button lol. I'm 17-1-0 in last 18 streak picks. Tonight I'm on the over 38 on Monday Night Football. I wish you the best dude. an_wink


    congrats on the win tonight The1425NO
     
    Toples
    Toples
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2005
    Posts: 616
    Posted: Nov. 14, 2017 - 9:24 AM ET #4

    there is optimum (best) strategy in which case you will win equal amount no matter what the outcomes of last 2 picks are.

    this means you can win at least 330 or more depending on odds you get betting in your sportsbook.

    This is how it works.

    Your bet is opposite of your pick, and your bet is + money. Exaplem for today: you bet Minnesota over 5.5 (+110 even better in some books), but you survivor pick is UNDER 5.5

    you bet 300 to win 330

    if your survivor pick loses, you win 330, game over
    if your survivor pick wins, you lose 300. you go on to pick 17

    so you do same for pick 17, bettting + 110 money for 300 and choosing opposite for your survivor pick. 

    if your survivor pick loses, you win 330, game over
    if your survivor pick wins, you lose 300 (total 600) and get 1K. you win 400 this way.

    if you make it to17, there is strategy from pick 17 to pick 21 to win at least  2K (i think 2700+), but bets will be increasing as you go until pick 20. we can discuss when it happens
    Reply
    there is optimum (best) strategy in which case you will win equal amount no matter what the outcomes of last 2 picks are.

    this means you can win at least 330 or more depending on odds you get betting in your sportsbook.

    This is how it works.

    Your bet is opposite of your pick, and your bet is + money. Exaplem for today: you bet Minnesota over 5.5 (+110 even better in some books), but you survivor pick is UNDER 5.5

    you bet 300 to win 330

    if your survivor pick loses, you win 330, game over
    if your survivor pick wins, you lose 300. you go on to pick 17

    so you do same for pick 17, bettting + 110 money for 300 and choosing opposite for your survivor pick. 

    if your survivor pick loses, you win 330, game over
    if your survivor pick wins, you lose 300 (total 600) and get 1K. you win 400 this way.

    if you make it to17, there is strategy from pick 17 to pick 21 to win at least  2K (i think 2700+), but bets will be increasing as you go until pick 20. we can discuss when it happens
     
    bucky207
    bucky207
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2012
    Posts: 45
    Posted: Nov. 16, 2017 - 7:08 AM ET #5

    Thanks Toples this is what I'm looking for. However I don't think your way works. If I lose 300 on pick 16 and only bet 300 on pick 17 if I win my bet I will only be ahead slightly.

    If I start with 600 in my account.

    Bet 1 bet 300 lose 300 

    My account is now at 300

    Bet 2 bet 300 win 330

    My account is now at 630

    If I only win 330 on my second bet I will just be recovering my losses from the first bet plus 30

    Am I missing something?
    Reply
    Thanks Toples this is what I'm looking for. However I don't think your way works. If I lose 300 on pick 16 and only bet 300 on pick 17 if I win my bet I will only be ahead slightly.

    If I start with 600 in my account.

    Bet 1 bet 300 lose 300 

    My account is now at 300

    Bet 2 bet 300 win 330

    My account is now at 630

    If I only win 330 on my second bet I will just be recovering my losses from the first bet plus 30

    Am I missing something?
     
    braves5795
    braves5795
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2008
    Posts: 577
    Posted: Jan. 22, 2018 - 11:41 AM ET #6

    you are always betting 110 to win 100, think of it in terms of 11 to win 10
    Reply
    you are always betting 110 to win 100, think of it in terms of 11 to win 10
     
     
    braves5795
    braves5795
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2008
    Posts: 577
    Posted: Jan. 22, 2018 - 11:43 AM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by bucky207:

    Anyone got any good hedging ideas? Ive got 2 picks left to get to 17 and the $1000 payday. I've already knocked on wood so I'm pretty sure this post won't jinx me.
     

    use nhl lines to hedge, when there is not baseball lines
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bucky207:

    Anyone got any good hedging ideas? Ive got 2 picks left to get to 17 and the $1000 payday. I've already knocked on wood so I'm pretty sure this post won't jinx me.
     

    use nhl lines to hedge, when there is not baseball lines
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