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World Cup 2014 Thread....

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Captain
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Posted: #376
Van-

I assume you're factoring in travel and weather-apparently northern locations are killer..USA has it  worst, Belgium best but depth and age is obviously factors..will this hurt European teams that play in cooler temps most time?

Thanks
 
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Posted: #377
Van-

I assume you're factoring in travel and weather-apparently northern locations are killer..USA has it  worst, Belgium best but depth and age is obviously factors..will this hurt European teams that play in cooler temps most time?

Thanks
 
Legend
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Posted: #378
Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:

Van-

I assume you're factoring in travel and weather-apparently northern locations are killer..USA has it  worst, Belgium best but depth and age is obviously factors..will this hurt European teams that play in cooler temps most time?

Thanks

I will be honest and I said this earlier in this thread a little bit...

I am not factoring weather yet.  I want to see how it plays out.  If I see something, I will adjust.  But for me to say that hot weather will have a bigger on a European team than a S American team is not something I am willing to do - YET.

Travel - maybe a little.  But overall - I try not to let speculation on these types of things have an effect on what I bet until I see it and understand what I am seeing.

GL

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Legend
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Posted: #379

A NOTE ABOUT THE LINE MOVES.....

I post lines that are widely available at American facing books at the time I post.  If lines move before you bet, you need to react accordingly.  It is safe to say that I bet relatively more on lines that have moved to make more value on my already placed bets, and grin like a schoolgirl when lines move in favor of my bets.

So today - the Italy line at PK is now available at about +100, and the Japan / Ivory Coast total has gone completely nuts and is now at 2 upwards of -170.

I would not bet the over in the Japan / IC game at -170.  If you missed it at -120ish up to -135ish, you missed it. 

For those that like Italy, you get a few more pennies in your pocket.

GL.

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Prospect
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Posted: #380
problems with italian goalkeeper no1 and 2. maybe italy will start with 3rd goalkeeper. So that is the reason italians odds are drifting.

 
Legend
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Posted: #381

Yeah - I don't know.  It is described as a "very light ankle twist" to Buffon. 

Certainly you would have think I have learned my lesson with being burned by some pretty bad GK so far....  But I am not concerned yet.  I will wait to see the lineup....

 

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Captain
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Posted: #382
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

A NOTE ABOUT THE LINE MOVES.....

I post lines that are widely available at American facing books at the time I post.  If lines move before you bet, you need to react accordingly.  It is safe to say that I bet relatively more on lines that have moved to make more value on my already placed bets, and grin like a schoolgirl when lines move in favor of my bets.

So today - the Italy line at PK is now available at about +100, and the Japan / Ivory Coast total has gone completely nuts and is now at 2 upwards of -170.

I would not bet the over in the Japan / IC game at -170.  If you missed it at -120ish up to -135ish, you missed it. 

For those that like Italy, you get a few more pennies in your pocket.

GL.

A good amt of line disparity here in the Caribbean OVER 2.5 +120 on the oriental/Ivory Coast game - and that is what it openend at.

The other book here yesterday had  2 OVER -130 and I bet I can still get that today...

 

Today I am rooting for Colombia. I do have Greece +1 EV (yes that is correct) and decided to be a fool and hope for that to push and took Colombia (against you Van, sorry! I don't do that often) -125 on the 3WAY 3Units.

GLTA today and the best thing I guess is for those of us who really love this game. This has been a decent looking cup so far (Bad calls not withstanding) with some great passing and ball control, great offense and even Australia and especially Croatia looking great, Mexico who I generally don't like has some cohesion and looks like they may have "flipped the switch".

 

I lost 2 U on Spain but loved seeing the Dutch get revenge on a lousily officiated WC final 4 years ago.

 

I am not sure why Chile didn't just park the bus with 2 goals as Van mentioned - especially since Spain is -4 GD out of the gate.

Lastly I have said it before that Ecuador will give fits to every team it meets. Just a humble opinion from a CONMEBOL junkie.

The pen is mightier than the pigs
 
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Posted: #383
Buffon OUT for England match. Confirmed - Sky Italia. 

Sirigu in net. 

 
Legend
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Posted: #384
Quote Originally Posted by dogcity:

Buffon OUT for England match. Confirmed - Sky Italia. 

Sirigu in net. 

Thanks dogcity.  Keeping my original bet, not adding to it...

 

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Legend
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Posted: #385

GL today Barneybeans.

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Prospect
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Posted: #386
Hey vanzack love your thread . Would u bet Ivory Coast vs Japan over 2.5 for + money? +115?
 
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Posted: #387
Thanks for explaining. Love the thread. Good luck. 
 
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Posted: #388
Buffons performances lately have been average. Sirigu is solid. No drop off in quality at this point in their careers.
 
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Posted: #389
Buffons performances lately have been average. Sirigu is solid. No drop off in quality at this point in their careers.
 
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Posted: #390
Buffons performances lately have been average. Sirigu is solid. No drop off in quality at this point in their careers.
 
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Posted: #391
Quote Originally Posted by BigBaby11:

Buffons performances lately have been average. Sirigu is solid. No drop off in quality at this point in their careers.


Can you repeat that again? 3 times wasnt enough for me...
 
Prospect
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Posted: #392

I am not new to sports betting, but mostly stick to football, basketball, hockey, baseball. I like to play the World Cup and Euro every 2 years and I thought I had a grasp on the Asian lines. I have a question though. I bet with Sports Interaction and this is how there lines are posted for Italy v England

Italy + 0 -110, Italy +.5 -223, Italy -.5 +181, Italy +.25 -165, Italy -.25 + 130

What is the reasoning for a line being .25?

Thanks for any help, and thanks Vanzack for making last world cup so profitable. Lets do the same and good luck this year

 
Prospect
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Posted: #393
Well Colombia showed great attacking capability at the start but kinda just gave it up afterwards and not attacking as much... I will give the Greeks the benefit of the doubt of playing with the sun in their eyes.

I'm curious to see how this ends.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #394
For example:
Italy +.25
England - Italy 0-0 bet half win because of the +.25 handicap
1-0 bet lost
0-1 bet win
 
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Posted: #395
damn vanzack what happened? i thought you were the master of football

another bet that needs a miracle to win :(
 
Prospect
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Posted: #396
Thanks, but is what is the diff between .25 and .5?
 
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Posted: #397
Quote Originally Posted by Debo420:

Thanks, but is what is the diff between .25 and .5?


https://www.betshoot.com/asian-handicap-betting/
 
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Posted: #398
Quote Originally Posted by Debo420:

Thanks, but is what is the diff between .25 and .5?
My slide rule says .25 but it's outdated technology so I'm not completely sure
 
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Posted: #399
!
 
 
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Posted: #400
Quote Originally Posted by Debo420:

Thanks, but is what is the diff between .25 and .5?
But seriously:
.25 is 1/2 bet on Pk and 1/2 bet on .5
.5 is full bet on .5
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