All Forums | Soccer

Uefa Champions League Betting Guide

...

Participants:

Posts: 213

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Dec. 10, 2014 - 6:34 PM ET #151

12/10

Ajax vs Apoel Nicosia:-

Full Time Result (Ajax) -150 Wager to Win 3U WIN

Asian Handicap (Ajax -1) +105 Wager 2U WIN

Over 2.5 Goals -125 Wager to Win 1U WIN

Goalscorer Anytime (Arkadiusz Milik) +120 Wager .5U WIN

Athletic Bilbao vs BATE:-

Full Time Result (Athletic Bilbao) -333 Wager to Win 2U WIN

Asian Handicap (Athletic Bilbao -1.5) -111 Wager to Win 2U WIN

Over 2.5 Goals -143 Wager to Win 1U LOSE

Barcelona vs PSG:-

Full Time Result (Draw) +375 Wager 3U LOSE

Asian Handicap (PSG +.5) +175 Wager 2U LOSE

Goalscorer Anytime (Zlatan Ibrahimovic) +160 Wager .5U WIN

FC Porto vs Shakhtar Donetsk:-

Full Time Result (Draw) +275 Wager 2U WIN

Goalscorer Anytime (Jackson Martinez) +110 Wager .5U VOID

Roma vs Man City:-

Full Time Result (Roma) +145 Wager 2U LOSE

Asian Handicap (Roma 0) -137 Wager to Win 3U LOSE

Under 2.5 Goals +115 Wager 1U WIN

Goalscorer Anytime (Yao Gervinho) +175 Wager .5U LOSE

GROUP BETTING (WIN ONLY):-

PSG +225 Wager 1U LOSE

= +3.96u

UCL REC:-
66W-96L-2P -49.73U 41% (-$6216.25)

A better night than yesterday, thank the stars the group games are over...hoping my luck changes for the knockout phase.

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Feb. 16, 2015 - 1:15 PM ET #152

2/17

PSG vs Chelsea:-

Full Time Result (PSG) +170 Wager 3U

To Qualify (PSG) +180 Wager 3U

Under 2.5 Goals -163 Wager to Win 1U

Goalscorer Anytime (Zlatan Ibrahimovic) +140 Wager .5U

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Bayern Munich:-

Full Time Result (Bayern Munich) -250 Wager to Win 2U

Asian Handicap (Bayern Munich -1.5) +108 Wager 2U

Over 2.5 Goals -138 Wager to Win 1U

Goalscorer Anytime (Robert Lewandowski) -110 Wager to Win .5U

Campobasso

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 1873

Posted: Feb. 16, 2015 - 1:31 PM ET #153

MakeP, thank you for the early plays

I was hoping you would be back here for this great competition.

A nice Inter win yesterday

I really hope your team takes Lazio's 5th place as soon as possible.

BOL in Scotland on Thursday

PeterBlack

MVP

Joined: Feb, 2013

Posts: 19687

Posted: Feb. 16, 2015 - 3:15 PM ET #154

MakePGood to see you! Have a good CL

Went to see the captain, strangest I could find? Laid my proposition down

shaman007

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 449

Posted: Feb. 16, 2015 - 4:59 PM ET #155

MakeP

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Feb. 16, 2015 - 5:38 PM ET #156

campo

I really hope we can do it but I'm already looking forward to next season with Mancini he can return the glory days.

peter likewise mate

shaman

lets have a good CL week

I'm backing PSG here its there year hoping for a difference in form compared to domestic a bit like dortmund this season.

composite

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 4418

Posted: Feb. 16, 2015 - 6:41 PM ET #157

Is Lewandowski starting? I thought he was a backup to Muller?

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Feb. 16, 2015 - 7:05 PM ET #158

No Lewan is there main striker, they both might play...Muller is +120

mr_bollox

All-Star

Joined: Oct, 2009

Posts: 14397

Posted: Feb. 16, 2015 - 8:52 PM ET #159

GL make, looking forward to that PSG chelsea game for the off the field as well as on the field (mind) games, so many egos.

franz555

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 16303

Posted: Feb. 16, 2015 - 9:16 PM ET #160

MakeP.........Good to see you back around.

BOL Mate

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Feb. 16, 2015 - 9:27 PM ET #161

bollox can't wait we should see a different chelsea under pressure here.

franz i'm just here for the CL nice to see you pal

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Feb. 17, 2015 - 4:50 PM ET #162

2/17

PSG vs Chelsea:-

Full Time Result (PSG) +170 Wager 3U LOSE

To Qualify (PSG) +180 Wager 3U PENDING

Under 2.5 Goals -163 Wager to Win 1U WIN

Goalscorer Anytime (Zlatan Ibrahimovic) +140 Wager .5U LOSE

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Bayern Munich:-

Full Time Result (Bayern Munich) -250 Wager to Win 2U LOSE

Asian Handicap (Bayern Munich -1.5) +108 Wager 2U LOSE

Over 2.5 Goals -138 Wager to Win 1U LOSE

Goalscorer Anytime (Robert Lewandowski) -110 Wager to Win .5U LOSE

= -11.43u

UCL REC:-

67W-102L-2P -61.16U 40% (-$7645.00)

How was that not a penalty? Very confident with PSG going to London and getting a result there, will post tomorrow's plays soon.

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Feb. 18, 2015 - 8:02 AM ET #163

2/18

Basel vs FC Porto:-

Full Time Result (FC Porto) +130 Wager 3U

Asian Handicap (FC Porto -1) +235 Wager 2U

Over 2.5 Goals +120 Wager 1U

Goalscorer Anytime (Jackson Martinez) +140 Wager 1U

Schalke vs Real Madrid:-

Full Time Result (Real Madrid) -225 Wager 3U

Asian Handicap (Real Madrid -1.5) +120 Wager 2U

Over 2.5 Goals -105 Wager to Win 1U

Goalscorer Anytime (Karim Benzema) -120 Wager to Win 1U

MITBstryker

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2015

Posts: 16

Posted: Feb. 18, 2015 - 12:49 PM ET #164

New to the forum and the thread, love what you're doing here. Had a few questions...

1) Do you ever bet draws?

2) Do you ever parlay?

Excited for the games today, good luck!

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Feb. 18, 2015 - 1:53 PM ET #165

Hey thanks I love the big events, had a successful World Cup but Champions League hasn't been kind.

1) Do you ever bet draws? Yes, It's one of my fav bets in football excellent value and very underrated

2) Do you ever parlay? Nope

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Feb. 19, 2015 - 9:05 AM ET #166

2/18

Basel vs FC Porto:-

Full Time Result (FC Porto) +130 Wager 3U LOSE

Asian Handicap (FC Porto -1) +235 Wager 2U LOSE

Over 2.5 Goals +120 Wager 1U LOSE

Goalscorer Anytime (Jackson Martinez) +140 Wager 1U LOSE

Schalke vs Real Madrid:-

Full Time Result (Real Madrid) -225 Wager 3U WIN

Asian Handicap (Real Madrid -1.5) +120 Wager 2U WIN

Over 2.5 Goals -105 Wager to Win 1U LOSE

Goalscorer Anytime (Karim Benzema) -120 Wager to Win 1U LOSE

= -3.85u

UCL REC:-

69W-108L-2P -65.01U 39% (-$8126.25)

Draws galore! Refs are really costing me this week.

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Feb. 19, 2015 - 9:06 AM ET #167

I will continue this to the end despite not having a clue!

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 2:57 PM ET #168

2/24

Juventus vs Borussia Dortmund:-

Full Time Result (Draw) +240 Wager 4U

Under 2.5 Goals -138 Wager to Win 2U

Goalscorer Anytime (Arturo Vidal) +300 Wager 1U

Correct Score (1-1) +500 Wager .5U

Man City vs Barcelona:-

Full Time Result (Barcelona) +115 Wager 4U

Both Teams to Score (Yes) -175 Wager to Win 3U

Over 2.5 Goals -138 Wager to Win 2U

Correct Score (1-3) +1400 Wager .5U

Goalscorer Anytime (Luis Suarez) +140 Wager 2U

Analysis:-

Juventus are a good team at home but Klopp is the better manager out of the two, there is a sense of uprising with the BVB. Reus & Aubameyang can cause a lot of teams problems on the counter and I think both sides will be content with a draw.

I expect it 0-0 or 1-1 and the total to go under, Juventus have a very good defence and Dortmund's backline has been disappointing as of late however I think they can handle The Old Lady's attack.

Man City have had some poor results at the Etihad this season and without Toure I do not expect them to contain Barcelona, I expect 2-3 goals by the Catalan side with Suarez causing all sorts of problems and Messi/Iniesta pulling the strings, the pitch at Manchester isn't far off Camp Nou and I think the jeers Luis receives will spurr him & his team to victory.

BOL

Campobasso

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 1873

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 4:26 PM ET #169

I agree with you that Klopp is a better manager than Allegri

BOL tomorrow

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 5:37 PM ET #170

Campo, Allegri is out of his depth in the Champions League.

Campobasso

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 1873

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 7:35 PM ET #171

Indeed MakeP

A blind crippled donkey could coach Juve when they play in Serie A

MakePwithMe

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2455

Posted: Feb. 23, 2015 - 11:03 PM ET #172

suuma

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 4455

Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 5:37 AM ET #173

Hey MakePwithMe,

I saw your thread. I recognized that your money management is awful. It's hilarious. What's the deal behind your strategy ?

You place four bets and 8.26 units - 12.7% of your losses - on a single game, Juventus vs. Dortmund.

If either team wins 2-1 or more, you lose 8.26 units.
If either team wins 1-0 and Vidal doesn't score, you lose 3.5 units. If Juventus wins 1-0 and Vidal scores, you lose 0.5 units.

So you need this game exactly to end 0-0 or 1-1 to have a winning day, even though it would be a nice payout. How can you place 12.7% of your current losses on a Soccer game to end 0-0 or 1-1 ? There is no chance you will be successful in the long run.

Why don't you bet it this way:

Draw +231 1U
Correct score 0-0 +683 0.5U
Correct score 1-1 +565 0.5U

If the game ends in a draw with under 2.5 goals like you capped it, you will win at least 4.64 units but only lose 2 units if either team wins. In your screnario the -138 for under 2.5 goals have no value.

Ilies

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2014

Posts: 43

Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 6:05 AM ET #174

Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

Hey MakePwithMe,

I saw your thread. I recognized that your money management is awful. It's hilarious. What's the deal behind your strategy ?

You place four bets and 8.26 units - 12.7% of your losses - on a single game, Juventus vs. Dortmund.

If either team wins 2-1 or more, you lose 8.26 units.
If either team wins 1-0 and Vidal doesn't score, you lose 3.5 units. If Juventus wins 1-0 and Vidal scores, you lose 0.5 units.

So you need this game exactly to end 0-0 or 1-1 to have a winning day, even though it would be a nice payout. How can you place 12.7% of your current losses on a Soccer game to end 0-0 or 1-1 ? There is no chance you will be successful in the long run.

Why don't you bet it this way:

Draw +231 1U
Correct score 0-0 +683 0.5U
Correct score 1-1 +565 0.5U

If the game ends in a draw with under 2.5 goals like you capped it, you will win at least 4.64 units but only lose 2 units if either team wins. In your screnario the -138 for under 2.5 goals have no value.

I think it's an awesome advice for me, thanks a lot :)

suuma

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 4455

Posted: Feb. 24, 2015 - 6:44 AM ET #175

Forgot something:

You have a winning day if the game ends in any draw because of the 4U on the draw. But the 2.76U on the under make no sense at the time you would be fine with a 2-2 or 3-3. So because you capped it as a low scoring affair, you are looking for a 0-0/1-1 rather than for a 2-2/3-3 - that's what makes this scenario unlogical from a money management standpoint.

All Forums | Soccer

*****Uefa Champions League Betting Guide*****

Hot Forum Topics

Uefa Champions League Betting Guide