# Man Utd -1/Cardiff PK/R. Madrid -1 (+118) 14*
United with two straight draws, but both have been on the road where they have been struggling to win this year and also one of them was against the boring City (im a big City fan, but they play f'n boring soccer and I don't get Manchini at all -- 0-0 vs Birm and he takes out Tevez for Barry, WTF!!).
Their 1-6-0 road record shows those road struggles I talked about , but at home they got a strong 5-1-0..
Wigan stands with a 1-2-2 road record after suprisingly winning vs Spurs before playing two draws vs Birmingham and Newcastle, but with their two last matches on the road ending in no points the form arrow on the road is pointing in the wrong way and this isn't a place to turn that around..
I'v been a long time Cardiff supporter now and it's nice to finaly see them as a serious contender for a promotion and now also the championship (especialy after the dissapointing Playoff Final loss vs Blackpool last year..).
After their first home loss of the year in the "Wales Derby" they now got a 5-2-1 record at home.
Forest have been decent this year and as their 1-4-3 record shows, they like to tighten things in the back and hope for the best something that might and have worked against some teams, but I don't like their chances here for a verry good reason (3 is more right..) -- Cardiff's "3 headed monster"...
Chopra have always been solid for Cardiff and continues this year with 4 goals in 10 matches, then there is Bellamy who we all know and even though he got only 2 goals this year (8 matches) he's great at setting up goals for his teammates, but then there is the guy that have realy broken out and deserved his chance for England this mid-week in Bothroy..
To start the season I was always hoping for Bellamy to be the scorer when Cardiff got a goal, but what did I see -- Bothroyd, Bothroyd and Bothroyd, something that have resulted in an impressive 13 goals in 14 matches (4 goals ahead of Commons and Iwelumo who also got 3 more played..).
With all that said, I could put it simple -- to much offense for Forest to handle..
Real Madrid, let's see -- 5-0-0 at home (8-0-0 including CL and Copa), with -1 in hc their 4-1-0 (7-1-0 including CL and Copa) with the 1 goal win coming in the home opener vs Osasuna..
Atletic is 1-1-3 on the road with the win coming vs Hercules in the season opener and the draw vs Gijon in their 2nd road match..
The first two losses was by only 1 goal vs Valencia and Sevilla, but in their last match on the road they got crushed 1-4 by Villareal..
Real with full controll on their CL group and don't have to worrie about that heading into this one and should should have no troubbles in this one..
Also Atl. Bilbao got 3 players out with suspension..
# Man Utd -2.0 (+105) 1*
# Cardiff Win (-120) 3*
# Real -2.0 (+105) 2*
# AC Milan Win (-175) 1*
AC is playing some impressive soccer since missing out on the win vs Real while Fiore's road record isn't anything to brag about along with Mutu is out, but with CL beeing on the line for Milan this coming week im a bit worried about how high the priority is on this one -- that along with both Inzaghi and Pato out made this a 1* play instead of a 2*....
Other leans..:
# Arsenal o2.5
# Blackpool o2.5
# Bolton Win
# Bolton o2.5
# Roma Win
BOL to all