Hassania Agadir - FUS Rabat / 0:1
FUS Rabat +0.5 (1.29/-345) / +0.29
Chabab Mohammedia - Berkane / 0:1
Berkane +0.5 (1.28/-357) / +0.28
Valencia - Athletic Bilbao / 1:3
Athletic Bilbao +0.75 (1.29/-345) / +0.29
Real Madrid - Atletico Madrid / 1:1
Real Madrid 0 (1.37/-270) / Push
3 - 0 - 1 / +0.86 units
Total: 82 - 19 - 13 / +9.325 units
(+46.625% of BR / 1 unit = 5% of Bankroll)
January 28
Germany 1 / Hertha Berlin - Union Berlin
Union Berlin +0.25 (1.36/-278)
Germany 1 / Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg +0.5 (1.35/-286)
OVER 2 (1.34/-294)
Netherlands 1 / Heerenveen - Vitesse
Heerenveen +0.5 (1.39/-256)
Italy 1 / Atalanta - Sampdoria
Atalanta -0.5 (1.34/-294)
Spain 1 / Getafe - Betis
Betis +0.5 (1.38/-263)
Until the middle of the month it looked like I will go easy over 50% of bankroll gain in a full month, but in the last 10 days - 2 weeks things have switched to making zero gains overall. On the 19th I had +9.05 units, so since then I'm treading water, which is very frustrating.
Days when I went 4-0 many times seems that were ages ago and not happening any more (or 4 - 0 - 1, 4 - 0 - 2 type days), and every single day I hit at least one dud team, which is shitting the bed big time (like Wofsburg and Heerenveen yesterday).
Funny is I have not changed the slightest thing in my capping, having 5, 6 plays in many days (in the first 2 weeks had usually no more than 4 daily) I don't think is the reason for regression.
Yeah, it's a marathon not a sprint... and I've been betting almost my whole life, so let's see what brings the next 2 weeks, and next month.
Adding:
England - FA Cup / Brighton - Liverpool
OVER 2.25 (1.39/-256)
France 1 / Brest - Angers
Brest +0.5 (1.33/-303)
Germany 1 / Schalke - FC Koln
FC Koln +0.5 (1.32/-313)
Italy 1 / Lazio - Fiorentina
Lazio +0.5 (1.33/-303)
Spain 1 / Celta Vigo - Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao +0.75 (1.28/-357)
Italy 1 / AC Milan - Sassuolo / 2:5
AC Milan -0.25 (1.33/-303) / -1
Valladolid - Valencia / 1:0
Valencia +0.5 (1.38/-263) / -1
Brighton - Liverpool / 2:1
OVER 2.25 (1.39/-256) / +0.39
Brest - Angers / 4:0
Brest +0.5 (1.33/-303) / +0.33
Schalke - FC Koln / 0:0
FC Koln +0.5 (1.32/-313) / +0.32
Lazio - Fiorentina / 1:1
Lazio +0.5 (1.33/-303) / +0.33
Celta Vigo - Athletic Bilbao / 1:0
Athletic Bilbao +0.75 (1.28/-357) / -0.5
4 - 3 / -1.13 units
January 30
Poland 1 / Cracovia - Gornik Z.
Cracovia +0.5 (1.36/-278)
Romania 1 / FC Voluntari - CFR Cluj
CFR Cluj 0 (1.42/-238)
Netherlands 2 / Jong PSV - Willem II
Willem II +0.25 (1.35/-286)
Spain 1 / Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal 0 (1.33/-303)
Spain 2 / Zaragoza - Ponferradina
Zaragoza 0 (1.30/-333)
Portugal 1 / Vitoria Guimaraes - Chaves
Chaves +1 (1.38/-263)
Cracovia - Gornik Z. / 2:0
Cracovia +0.5 (1.36/-278) / +0.36
FC Voluntari - CFR Cluj / 0:1
CFR Cluj 0 (1.42/-238) / +0.42
Jong PSV - Willem II / 3:2
Willem II +0.25 (1.35/-286) / -1
Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano / 0:1
Villarreal 0 (1.33/-303) / -1
Zaragoza - Ponferradina / 0:0
Zaragoza 0 (1.30/-333) / Push
Vitoria Guimaraes - Chaves / 2:1
Chaves +1 (1.38/-263) / Push
2 - 2 - 2 / -1.22 units
Total: 96 - 27 - 15 / +6.695 units
January 31
Turkey 1 / Alanyaspor - Sivasspor
Alanyaspor +0.5 (1.31/-323)
OVER 2 (1.30/-333)
Turkey 1 / Karagumruk - Besiktas
Besiktas 0 (1.41/-244)
Portugal 1 / Pacos Ferreira - Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente +0.5 (1.38/-263)
England 2 / Luton - Cardiff
Luton 0 (1.42/-238)
France 2 / Guingamp - Nimes
Guingamp 0 (1.40/-250)
Alanyaspor - Sivasspor / 0:3
Alanyaspor +0.5 (1.31/-323) / -1
OVER 2 (1.30/-333) / +0.30
Karagumruk - Besiktas / 1:1
Besiktas 0 (1.41/-244) / Push
Pacos Ferreira - Gil Vicente / 2:1
Gil Vicente +0.5 (1.38/-263) / -1
Luton - Cardiff / 1:0
Luton 0 (1.42/-238) / +0.42
Guingamp - Nimes / 1:2
Guingamp 0 (1.40/-250) / -1
2 - 3 - 1 / -2.28 units
Total: 98 - 30 - 16 / +4.415 units
(+22.075% of BR / 1 unit = 5% of Bankroll)
There were total crap last 4 days, all losing days, in which I lost a total of 5.21 units. In this rhythm in max 6 days I would be back to square zero, lol.
So obviously things are not working like this, I need to change stuff because I need to protect my bankroll.
My plan was to make every month at least 20% gain on my BR, and at least I have done that in January (actually my real gain was 22.712%, the difference coming from that I'm wagering just at Pinnacle, and the odds I have posted with here were average odds - Pinny has almost always better odds than this average).
I said I had not modified my capping at all after the first 10 days or so, but I needed to go back and look at every wager I made in that first part, because it may be still a little difference which may prove being too important (I have a strong clue what that is, just need to check more if there is no other stuff too.).
I have drawn a line here ending with January, and I will continue with changed details.
Maybe only from tomorrow, because in the last hours since I'm checking my first part plays, I had not came up with any final conclusions yet.
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