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Euro 2012....

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Veteran
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Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 2702
Posted: #1101
Just took it for -130 ML  5  Dimes.   I don't know anything about soccer, but you guys sure seem to know your stuff.

Thank you!!                    viva France!!
 
Legend
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Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 60107
Posted: #1102

Trying to figure out these line moves will drive you bezerk.

Sometimes they go with you, and sometimes against - but there is no predicting it - no pattern.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 15
Posted: #1103
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Trying to figure out these line moves will drive you bezerk.

Sometimes they go with you, and sometimes against - but there is no predicting it - no pattern.


Appreciate all the work you have put into this Tourny - Much appreciated.

One question

You really like France at took them at -150, now that they are at -128, are you going to be putting more on it, or staying put?

Thanks
 
Prospect
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Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 329
Posted: #1104
Now france is -125 on 5 dimes.


I can't pass this up! 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 329
Posted: #1105
Quote Originally Posted by BostonGeorge24:

Now france is -125 on 5 dimes.


I can't pass this up! 

-123 Now.

This line is moving so much it's almost scary now.

Something is going on that we don't know....
 
Captain
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Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 5291
Posted: #1106
Quote Originally Posted by BostonGeorge24:


-123 Now.

This line is moving so much it's almost scary now.

Something is going on that we don't know....
I like to think the same but my book only went from -170 to -165 and now it's been shot back up to -190 and holding.  Very strange, but most of the tourney has seen a lot of line movement.
 
Legend
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Joined: Jan, 2004
Posts: 45613
Posted: #1107
Appreciate your thoughts, van. Just a few stats that may or may not be useful.

-----

The first 13 games had 5 draws.

The last 9 games have had 0 draws.

-----

The first 13 games saw only 2 teams shutout.

The last 9 games have seen 5 teams shutout.

As the tourney has worn on, early excitment has I'd guess given way to the inertia of quality starting to make itself felt, obv. combined with teams setting their stall for specific outcomes.

-----

Group D's first 4 games saw 1st halves total 3 goals in all (incl. 2 0-0 draws), vs 2nd halves which totaled 9 goals in all.

None of the other 3 group's first 4 matches had 1st halves combining to total less than 5 goals, and no 2nd halves total more than 7 goals.

-----

The first 16 matches from all groups saw 10 multi goal halves by individual teams (5 1st h/5 2nd h).

Since we've begun the crucial 3rd game matches (6 so far), not one single team has scored 2 goals in a single half.
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1326
Posted: #1108
Look at the first Russia match.  The line moved crazy in Czech direction and they got killed. 
 
Legend
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Posts: 60107
Posted: #1109
Quote Originally Posted by regalbliss:


Appreciate all the work you have put into this Tourny - Much appreciated.

One question

You really like France at took them at -150, now that they are at -128, are you going to be putting more on it, or staying put?

Thanks

Personally - Im not adding on.  I have some futures tied to these results that I have to take in to play.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
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Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 60107
Posted: #1110
Quote Originally Posted by BostonGeorge24:


-123 Now.

This line is moving so much it's almost scary now.

Something is going on that we don't know....

What?  Like some rich dude in Macau has a nephew in Sweden so he put a million bucks on them?

Please.  Conspiracies are for people who cant accept the most obvious logical reasons - that lines move because of money - and more money is currently coming in on Sweden than France.  Do you think Ribery or Benzema have heard of this 25 cent line swing and will miss that one on one today accordingly?

Come on.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Prospect
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Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 329
Posted: #1111
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

What?  Like some rich dude in Macau has a nephew in Sweden so he put a million bucks on them?

Please.  Conspiracies are for people who cant accept the most obvious logical reasons - that lines move because of money - and more money is currently coming in on Sweden than France.  Do you think Ribery or Benzema have heard of this 25 cent line swing and will miss that one on one today accordingly?

Come on.


 
Legend
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Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 60107
Posted: #1112

Quote Originally Posted by BetCrimes1984:

Appreciate your thoughts, van. Just a few stats that may or may not be useful.

-----

The first 13 games had 5 draws.

The last 9 games have had 0 draws.

-----

The first 13 games saw only 2 teams shutout.

The last 9 games have seen 5 teams shutout.

As the tourney has worn on, early excitment has I'd guess given way to the inertia of quality starting to make itself felt, obv. combined with teams setting their stall for specific outcomes.

-----

Group D's first 4 games saw 1st halves total 3 goals in all (incl. 2 0-0 draws), vs 2nd halves which totaled 9 goals in all.

None of the other 3 group's first 4 matches had 1st halves combining to total less than 5 goals, and no 2nd halves total more than 7 goals.

-----

The first 16 matches from all groups saw 10 multi goal halves by individual teams (5 1st h/5 2nd h).

Since we've begun the crucial 3rd game matches (6 so far), not one single team has scored 2 goals in a single half.

Good stuff...

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Hall of Fame
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Joined: Nov, 2004
Posts: 22557
Posted: #1113
ROCK ON---- >VAN!!
 
Rookie
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Joined: May, 2012
Posts: 757
Posted: #1114
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

What?  Like some rich dude in Macau has a nephew in Sweden so he put a million bucks on them?

Please.  Conspiracies are for people who cant accept the most obvious logical reasons - that lines move because of money - and more money is currently coming in on Sweden than France.  Do you think Ribery or Benzema have heard of this 25 cent line swing and will miss that one on one today accordingly?

Come on.

Exactly This!

Whatever the result, it'll either lead to confirmation bias (If France doesn't win), or the books used reverse line movement to scare people off an easy France ML win.

In any ONE instance of a game, the results can be random and conter-intuitive.  Most people can't just chalk up the result to good or bad luck, but instead will look for some inside fix, or conspiracy to explain the results.

 
Captain
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Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 6725
Posted: #1115

There is a rumour that France tries to aim second spot in their group. They would play Spain, but they would be playing/practising at the same stadium they have been playing so far. If they win their group, France needs to travel 450 miles to play Italy.

sounds pretty risky plan to me  

 

 
Legend
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Posts: 60107
Posted: #1116
Quote Originally Posted by Snafu68:

There is a rumour that France tries to aim second spot in their group. They would play Spain, but they would be playing/practising at the same stadium they have been playing so far. If they win their group, France needs to travel 450 miles to play Italy.

sounds pretty risky plan to me  

 

I literally just snorted my drink out of my nose reading this.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Rookie
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Joined: May, 2012
Posts: 757
Posted: #1117
Haha... you do realize that these guys travel ALL THE TIME right!!?
and 450 miles aint shit.  It's not like their next match would be in Uruguay if they won lol.
 
Captain
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Posts: 6725
Posted: #1118
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

I literally just snorted my drink out of my nose reading this.

hope you didn't spoil your keyboard  that was in papers over here and i was like WTF ?

 

 

 
Captain
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Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #1119

France sandbagging today to play Spain.  Very logical.
 
Prospect
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Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 329
Posted: #1120
My cousin is the sidekick to one of the chefs where France is staying and he told me they fed the entire team Kangaroo jiz this morning for breakfast. If it works out like they have planned the entire France squad will have upset stomachs by 2pm eastern time. 

Take it with a grain of salt but he does not usually BS about this stuff.

Good luck to all.  
 
MVP
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Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 17830
Posted: #1121
Quote Originally Posted by SkySky:



It's in the 170s everywhere right now.
And they canceled your +180 wager ?

I don't get it.


What's not to get? It was in the MINUS 170's, not +. It was clearly a line error.
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 15
Posted: #1122
Quote Originally Posted by BostonGeorge24:

My cousin is the sidekick to one of the chefs where France is staying and he told me they fed the entire team Kangaroo jiz this morning for breakfast. If it works out like they have planned the entire France squad will have upset stomachs by 2pm eastern time. 

Take it with a grain of salt but he does not usually BS about this stuff.

Good luck to all.  

If taken in large quantities, roo splooge can be deadly....
 
Legend
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Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 41623
Posted: #1123
hey captain what do you think of this?

Pending6/19/12 2:45pm  International Soccer  18904 England 0 / Ukraine 0 1st Half +188* vs Any other result 
 
Legend
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Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 60107
Posted: #1124

Quote Originally Posted by Professional1:

hey captain what do you think of this?

Pending6/19/12 2:45pm  International Soccer  18904 England 0 / Ukraine 0 1st Half +188* vs Any other result 

Looks good to me.  But what do I know.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
 
Captain
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Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6142
Posted: #1125
I got France -1  +116 last night for a unit. Woke up this morning and the line moved to +149. Blah.

Anyways, the ML is at -128 now. Seems like a gift. GL with all your plays everyone.
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