Only small profit yesterday because Mainz got trashed...lol
Premier League: Chelsea vs Man United Pick: Chelsea ML (1X2) Odds: 2,04 (Coolbet) Rating: GRADE A Reasoning: The Draw No Bet on Man United can be found at 2.70 on Coolbet, while Man U +0.25 is 2.12. The positive EV% is between 8 to 17% on Man U depending if you play ML or DNB. It’s a deliberate trap to get the public to bet on Manchester United, because the last thing bookmakers are is generous.
Bundesliga: Werder vs Hoffenheim Pick: Hoffenheim ML (1X2) Odds: 2.40 (Coolbet) Rating: GRADE A Reasoning: Werder sit 7th and are on a six-match unbeaten Bundesliga streak, buuuut...Hoffenheim have been a tactical bogey team for Werder Bremen, winning six of the last seven meetings and scoring freely in this fixture (averaging 3.4 goals per match). Werder Bremen are playing with a patched-up backline missing Niklas Stark, Felix Agu, and Olivier Deman. If Hoffenheim exploit Werder's defensive vulnerabilities early on transitions, Hoffenheim could take an early lead and sit in a low block and could counter in number two and three.
Championship: Burnley vs Portsmouth Pick: Portsmouth +0.00 (DNB) Odds: 2.35 (Coolbet) Rating: GRADE C Reasoning: Burnley possess significant squad talent (Kyle Walker, Lucas Pires, Maxime Estève, Reo Hatate, Largie Ramazani) that theoretically belongs at the top of the Championship, but the reality is that they are in acute disarray: sitting 22nd in the relegation zone with just 1 win from 12 games, having fired their manager, and thrusting new coach Fabio Celestini into his debut match. Portsmouth sit 10 points higher in 12th and are unbeaten in demanding away trips to Norwich and Wolves.Burley will turn this around sooner or later and start winning, but I’ll take the 2.35 on it not happening tomorrow specifically.
Premier League: Hull vs Ipswich Pick: Ipswich +0.00 (DNB) Odds: 1.98 (Coolbet) Rating: GRADE A Reasoning: Hull are on a 6-match winless streak in the league (D4, L2) under Sergej Jakirovic, leaning heavily on a low-block counter-attacking setup where their low-possession counter-attacking approach (averaging just 33% possession and 3.5 shots on target. Ipswich sucks too, they don't know what a clean-sheet is, but they never give up, and have demonstrated the ability of late scoring (league-high 6 goals scored after the 80th minute). A tight, contested 1-1 stalemate or a late 1-2 Ipswich snatch is substantially more probable than the odds suggest.
Premier League: Brentford vs. Nottingham Forest Pick: Under 2.5 Goals Odds: 2.14 (Coolbet) Rating: GRADE A Reasoning: Sub-1.0 Poisson attack ratings (Brentford 0.92, Forest 0.73) paired with above-average defensive ratings (1.05 and 1.08) point to a low-possession, compressed fixture. Glasner sets Forest up in an ultra-pragmatic 5-4-1 mid-block away from home that chokes central progression and limits overall match tempo.Forest's frontline is severely depleted with starting striker Igor Jesus (calf) out and lead creator Dan Ndoye (hamstring) doubtful to feature. Brentford remain without playmaker Fabio Carvalho and suspended midfielder Yehor Yarmoliuk, but regain screening anchor Vitaly Janelt to protect an intact central defense.
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Only small profit yesterday because Mainz got trashed...lol
Premier League: Chelsea vs Man United Pick: Chelsea ML (1X2) Odds: 2,04 (Coolbet) Rating: GRADE A Reasoning: The Draw No Bet on Man United can be found at 2.70 on Coolbet, while Man U +0.25 is 2.12. The positive EV% is between 8 to 17% on Man U depending if you play ML or DNB. It’s a deliberate trap to get the public to bet on Manchester United, because the last thing bookmakers are is generous.
Bundesliga: Werder vs Hoffenheim Pick: Hoffenheim ML (1X2) Odds: 2.40 (Coolbet) Rating: GRADE A Reasoning: Werder sit 7th and are on a six-match unbeaten Bundesliga streak, buuuut...Hoffenheim have been a tactical bogey team for Werder Bremen, winning six of the last seven meetings and scoring freely in this fixture (averaging 3.4 goals per match). Werder Bremen are playing with a patched-up backline missing Niklas Stark, Felix Agu, and Olivier Deman. If Hoffenheim exploit Werder's defensive vulnerabilities early on transitions, Hoffenheim could take an early lead and sit in a low block and could counter in number two and three.
Championship: Burnley vs Portsmouth Pick: Portsmouth +0.00 (DNB) Odds: 2.35 (Coolbet) Rating: GRADE C Reasoning: Burnley possess significant squad talent (Kyle Walker, Lucas Pires, Maxime Estève, Reo Hatate, Largie Ramazani) that theoretically belongs at the top of the Championship, but the reality is that they are in acute disarray: sitting 22nd in the relegation zone with just 1 win from 12 games, having fired their manager, and thrusting new coach Fabio Celestini into his debut match. Portsmouth sit 10 points higher in 12th and are unbeaten in demanding away trips to Norwich and Wolves.Burley will turn this around sooner or later and start winning, but I’ll take the 2.35 on it not happening tomorrow specifically.
Premier League: Hull vs Ipswich Pick: Ipswich +0.00 (DNB) Odds: 1.98 (Coolbet) Rating: GRADE A Reasoning: Hull are on a 6-match winless streak in the league (D4, L2) under Sergej Jakirovic, leaning heavily on a low-block counter-attacking setup where their low-possession counter-attacking approach (averaging just 33% possession and 3.5 shots on target. Ipswich sucks too, they don't know what a clean-sheet is, but they never give up, and have demonstrated the ability of late scoring (league-high 6 goals scored after the 80th minute). A tight, contested 1-1 stalemate or a late 1-2 Ipswich snatch is substantially more probable than the odds suggest.
Premier League: Brentford vs. Nottingham Forest Pick: Under 2.5 Goals Odds: 2.14 (Coolbet) Rating: GRADE A Reasoning: Sub-1.0 Poisson attack ratings (Brentford 0.92, Forest 0.73) paired with above-average defensive ratings (1.05 and 1.08) point to a low-possession, compressed fixture. Glasner sets Forest up in an ultra-pragmatic 5-4-1 mid-block away from home that chokes central progression and limits overall match tempo.Forest's frontline is severely depleted with starting striker Igor Jesus (calf) out and lead creator Dan Ndoye (hamstring) doubtful to feature. Brentford remain without playmaker Fabio Carvalho and suspended midfielder Yehor Yarmoliuk, but regain screening anchor Vitaly Janelt to protect an intact central defense.
Premier League: Coventry vs Sunderland Pick: Sunderland -0.25 (Asian Handicap) Odds: 1.99 (Betsson) Rating: GRADE A Reasoning: Coventry have suffered a catastrophic structural injury cluster: top scorer Haji Wright is out, regular centre-backs Luke Woolfenden and Aurèle Amenda are out, midfielder Josh Eccles is out, and their best remaining centre-back Bobby Thomas was forced off injured last weekend and is doubtful. Coventry may have to start 18-year-old Stephen Mfuni in the heart of defense. On top of that, they have conceded 15 goals in 8 games.
La Liga: Rayo Vallecano vs. Celta de Vigo Pick: Celta de Vigo AH 0.00 (Asian Handicap) Odds: 2.17(Coolbet) Rating: GRADE A Reasoning: Celta hold a clear tactical advantage through higher Poisson attack potency (0.94 vs. Rayo's 0.71) and an elite defensive baseline (1.17 strength). Giráldez's 3-4-2-1 structure away from home is exceptionally disciplined, conceding just 0.7 goals per game in league play and remaining undefeated in four away fixtures this season and kept a clean sheets in 7 of the last 10 meetings with Rayo.
Premier League: Coventry vs Sunderland Pick: Sunderland -0.25 (Asian Handicap) Odds: 1.99 (Betsson) Rating: GRADE A Reasoning: Coventry have suffered a catastrophic structural injury cluster: top scorer Haji Wright is out, regular centre-backs Luke Woolfenden and Aurèle Amenda are out, midfielder Josh Eccles is out, and their best remaining centre-back Bobby Thomas was forced off injured last weekend and is doubtful. Coventry may have to start 18-year-old Stephen Mfuni in the heart of defense. On top of that, they have conceded 15 goals in 8 games.
La Liga: Rayo Vallecano vs. Celta de Vigo Pick: Celta de Vigo AH 0.00 (Asian Handicap) Odds: 2.17(Coolbet) Rating: GRADE A Reasoning: Celta hold a clear tactical advantage through higher Poisson attack potency (0.94 vs. Rayo's 0.71) and an elite defensive baseline (1.17 strength). Giráldez's 3-4-2-1 structure away from home is exceptionally disciplined, conceding just 0.7 goals per game in league play and remaining undefeated in four away fixtures this season and kept a clean sheets in 7 of the last 10 meetings with Rayo.
Oddsmakers still overrating Man United. Cant understand the line again. Bournemouth was easy money last weekend. Until United brass can Carrick I will fade ManUre every weekend . The team has quit on Carrick
Oddsmakers still overrating Man United. Cant understand the line again. Bournemouth was easy money last weekend. Until United brass can Carrick I will fade ManUre every weekend . The team has quit on Carrick
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