Have been having a hard time of it lately maybe this can be my weekend,
Picks:
Hurricanes/Brumbies over 51.5 1 unit @ $1.90
This game today should fly into the over. Both these teams have been over machines in games outside their confrence and really cant find a reason to suggest otherwise tonight. The Canes are 5-0 on totals in games outside the confrence games and the Brumbies are 5-2 on totals in games outside their confrence. So as you can see the stats line up to the over and really like it in this game as well.
BOL
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Super 15 YTD 48-52 +0.80 units
Have been having a hard time of it lately maybe this can be my weekend,
Picks:
Hurricanes/Brumbies over 51.5 1 unit @ $1.90
This game today should fly into the over. Both these teams have been over machines in games outside their confrence and really cant find a reason to suggest otherwise tonight. The Canes are 5-0 on totals in games outside the confrence games and the Brumbies are 5-2 on totals in games outside their confrence. So as you can see the stats line up to the over and really like it in this game as well.
This game today should fly into the over. Both these teams have been over machines in games outside their confrence and really cant find a reason to suggest otherwise tonight. The Canes are 5-0 on totals in games outside the confrence games and the Brumbies are 5-2 on totals in games outside their confrence. So as you can see the stats line up to the over and really like it in this game as well.
I can give you a reason... Christian Lealiifano.
Tread with caution. The Brumbies numbers you highlighted above were with an extremely competent fly half. You can chuck the stats out of the window now he's out.
Good luck nonetheless.
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Quote Originally Posted by snake2710:
This game today should fly into the over. Both these teams have been over machines in games outside their confrence and really cant find a reason to suggest otherwise tonight. The Canes are 5-0 on totals in games outside the confrence games and the Brumbies are 5-2 on totals in games outside their confrence. So as you can see the stats line up to the over and really like it in this game as well.
I can give you a reason... Christian Lealiifano.
Tread with caution. The Brumbies numbers you highlighted above were with an extremely competent fly half. You can chuck the stats out of the window now he's out.
Have you ever watched any kind of Pro sport, When a great player is out of a team the rest step up and play hard. Think that could be the case tonight.
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Alistair
Have you ever watched any kind of Pro sport, When a great player is out of a team the rest step up and play hard. Think that could be the case tonight.
By which I mean, overreaction to a bit of inclement weather is no basis for a bet - that's not saying this can't yet go Under, but its not a ticket I'd want to be holding.
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Yep, suckers got sucked in by the weather.
By which I mean, overreaction to a bit of inclement weather is no basis for a bet - that's not saying this can't yet go Under, but its not a ticket I'd want to be holding.
Well good start to the weekend 1-0. Thats 100% which is about the only time all season can say that. Any way have a good night and will be back trmw arvo with more plays.
Betcrimes
Alistair
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Super 15 YTD 49-52 +1.70 units
Over
Well good start to the weekend 1-0. Thats 100% which is about the only time all season can say that. Any way have a good night and will be back trmw arvo with more plays.
Have been looking over the games for tonight and here goes with my card for the night,
Picks:
Bulls -1.0 1 unit @ $1.90
I believe that you cant really look past the Bulls this week, They have been one of the better teams in the comp to date and have been playing very well. The Bulls are 8-2 Su and 6-4-0 ATS on the season. The Bulls are 5-1 Su and 3-3-0 ATS in games outside their confrence. The Highlanders on the other hand are 7-4 Su and 5-6-0 ATS on the season. In games outside their confrence they are 3-3 Su and 2-4-0 ATS. The Bulls have the advantage on the stats side of the game and in my opinion have more than enough to get the win here.
Highlanders/Bulls over 49.5 1 unit @ $1.90
This would not be the play that most would expect on this game but the stats do suggest that we should see some points today. They will be indoors so weather will play not effect and both teams can score points in a hurry. The Bulls are 7-3 on totals overall and 5-0 in games outside their confrence. The Highlanders are 5-6 on totals over all and 3-3 in games outside the confrence. That is enough for me to suggest we will see points here this arvo.
Crusaders/Blues over 48.5 2 unit @ $1.90
Not sure what more to say than massive bounce back this week for the saders. I think we will see them come out and throw the ball around. They know they need to be getting bonus points and that means tries. They are 5-6 on totals overall and 2-2 in confence games. The Blues are 8-3 on totals overall and 4-1 in confernce games and have been an overs best friend all season with their lack of ability on D and have the ability to score all over the park. Should see some good running rugby in this game tonight.
Lions +18.5 1 unit @ $1.90
This play is not based in facts but the sole ability of the Lions to keep games close and be in to win. We did see them get this many points in the Chiefs game and they covered with points to spare. I do beleive this game is going to be a let down spot for the Reds after a big win for them last week and taking this game lightly. The Lions are 2-8-0 ATS on the season and 1-4-0 ATS in games outside their confrence. So no real support there, the Reds are 6-5-0 ATs overall and 3-3-0 ATS in games outside the confrence so have not exactly been blowing the competition away.
Cheetahs/Sharks under 51.5 1 unit @ $1.90
Another play for tonights card that many would not expect but the stats do suggest that the under will be the play here and to boot the SA teams seem to play eachother hard and games won by great D rather than great attack. The Cheetahs are 5-6 on totals overall and 1-3 in confrence games. The sharks are 7-4 on totals overall however in confrence games they are 1-2. That tells you tat both teams play the SA games hard on D and dont leak many points.
BOL
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Have been looking over the games for tonight and here goes with my card for the night,
Picks:
Bulls -1.0 1 unit @ $1.90
I believe that you cant really look past the Bulls this week, They have been one of the better teams in the comp to date and have been playing very well. The Bulls are 8-2 Su and 6-4-0 ATS on the season. The Bulls are 5-1 Su and 3-3-0 ATS in games outside their confrence. The Highlanders on the other hand are 7-4 Su and 5-6-0 ATS on the season. In games outside their confrence they are 3-3 Su and 2-4-0 ATS. The Bulls have the advantage on the stats side of the game and in my opinion have more than enough to get the win here.
Highlanders/Bulls over 49.5 1 unit @ $1.90
This would not be the play that most would expect on this game but the stats do suggest that we should see some points today. They will be indoors so weather will play not effect and both teams can score points in a hurry. The Bulls are 7-3 on totals overall and 5-0 in games outside their confrence. The Highlanders are 5-6 on totals over all and 3-3 in games outside the confrence. That is enough for me to suggest we will see points here this arvo.
Crusaders/Blues over 48.5 2 unit @ $1.90
Not sure what more to say than massive bounce back this week for the saders. I think we will see them come out and throw the ball around. They know they need to be getting bonus points and that means tries. They are 5-6 on totals overall and 2-2 in confence games. The Blues are 8-3 on totals overall and 4-1 in confernce games and have been an overs best friend all season with their lack of ability on D and have the ability to score all over the park. Should see some good running rugby in this game tonight.
Lions +18.5 1 unit @ $1.90
This play is not based in facts but the sole ability of the Lions to keep games close and be in to win. We did see them get this many points in the Chiefs game and they covered with points to spare. I do beleive this game is going to be a let down spot for the Reds after a big win for them last week and taking this game lightly. The Lions are 2-8-0 ATS on the season and 1-4-0 ATS in games outside their confrence. So no real support there, the Reds are 6-5-0 ATs overall and 3-3-0 ATS in games outside the confrence so have not exactly been blowing the competition away.
Cheetahs/Sharks under 51.5 1 unit @ $1.90
Another play for tonights card that many would not expect but the stats do suggest that the under will be the play here and to boot the SA teams seem to play eachother hard and games won by great D rather than great attack. The Cheetahs are 5-6 on totals overall and 1-3 in confrence games. The sharks are 7-4 on totals overall however in confrence games they are 1-2. That tells you tat both teams play the SA games hard on D and dont leak many points.
God i hate playing unders and thats why, i misses it by 3 points but i gues had some luck early this weekend so cant complain to much and have one game remaining to win it back.
ROD
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Super 15 YTD 51-55 +1.40 units
Under
God i hate playing unders and thats why, i misses it by 3 points but i gues had some luck early this weekend so cant complain to much and have one game remaining to win it back.
The Force should get a good win in the game this arvo. They have been playing well i think and the Rebels are in a massive let down spot in my opinion. After a big win like they just had i cant be sure they will turn up this week. The force are 2-8 Su and 4-6-0 ATS on then season and in confrence they are 2-4 Su and 3-3-0 ATS so have there only 2 wins against Aussie teams. The Rebels are 3-7 Su and 4-6-0 ARS on the season and in confence are 1-4 Su and 3-2-0 ATS so have been able to keep them close but not get the win, With all this in mind like the force a lot today.
BOL
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Davoz
here goes my best thoughts on tonights game,
Pick:
Force Su 1 unit @ $1.90
The Force should get a good win in the game this arvo. They have been playing well i think and the Rebels are in a massive let down spot in my opinion. After a big win like they just had i cant be sure they will turn up this week. The force are 2-8 Su and 4-6-0 ATS on then season and in confrence they are 2-4 Su and 3-3-0 ATS so have there only 2 wins against Aussie teams. The Rebels are 3-7 Su and 4-6-0 ARS on the season and in confence are 1-4 Su and 3-2-0 ATS so have been able to keep them close but not get the win, With all this in mind like the force a lot today.
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