State of Origin II

Conspiracy analysis.

The NRL would love nothing more that to see a tied series heading up to QLD. It would generate more interest all around. Especially as the TV rights are getting negotiated , the ratings for game 3 would go through the roof with a tied series.

The refs, even though NSW got more penalties in game 1, it feels as though NSW are "owed" from the refs, especially because of that Inglis try. I would expect NSW to get the refereeing favouritism tomorrow night.

Game analysis

In terms of the football teams. QLD without a doubt, have a much better team. QLD in game 1, for the most part looked like they didnt really want to be there, especially the first 20 minutes of the game where NSW were all over them. It was only when Jennings got sent to the bin that QLD woke up and did there damage. Smith looked off colour, Slater was dropping bombs.

In the second half, QLD i believe didnt have a tackle in the NSW 20 until there was about 10 mins left in the game. NSW for the most part were attacking, but lacked cohesion. QLD, it seemed were just trying to defend the lead which was strange.

Todd Carney will have a better game IMO, but so will Billy and especially Cooper. Dont under estimate the loss of Thaiday, he does alot for that team, especially in attack.

The NSW team looks better, more grunt with Tim Grant and Watmough will add some good footwork and power in the middle.

TO me, the key is Mitchell Pearce and what composure he will show. He is not a pup anymore and had a fair bit of experience, but in the last few weeks has shown ZERO composure.

QLD @$2.00 , when you look at that roster, look incredibly tasty, very very tasty, however, the conspiracy theorist inside me makes me think NSW will win.

No Thaiday is massive IMO, his work around the rucks and link play with Smith is very underrated in QLD's success over the past few years

With wet conditions, QLD's superior kicking game will be a big advantage which is why there is so much more pressure on Carney to deliver tomorrow night. He needs to take some pressure off Pearce otherwise they have no chance.

NSW have the better looking forward pack, they dominated in Game 1 and if they can get the same yardage advantage over the QLD pack that they had in Game 1 they will win IMO.

Rostos can I be your friend on facebook?

Yep, Simply look up David Gallop, and i will add you.....

Qld all day

Damnit, QLD at $2.00 is looking at me....Its like Jessica Alba looking at me while she is in the nude and telling me she is really horny.....

I know i must resists, i must resist.....This is exactly how the TAB want this set up...

Maroons 9-2 SU last 11 Origin games reffed by the Archer. Tab reckons they've taken over 1 million dollars in bets and where sides are concerned, NSW is getting 60% of the wagers...

who r u taking Emkee?

Quick question for you guys, does what the public have their money on effect what you have your money on?

For me not in aussie sport

No. Fading the public is overrated and you'll end up in poorhouse sooner than later following that method.

Fading perception though has it's merits...

'Situationaly' the Blues are in the 'better spot'. Wet weather and the dragged through the media stink of Game 1 controversy still lingering. Would also think a Game 3 'Decider' brings in more revenue. Thaiday out is huge and his protection on Thurston's kicking game will be sorely missed. Most of this mob are 'mental midgets' though and I can't look past them struggling to close out the deal if they get ahead.

Maroons just ooze class across the paddock and have the steel of big game experience but it does seem the books are asking for Queensland money more-so to counter the NSW $ I'd assume. As soon as they hit $2.05, there were apparently bets of 30k, 10k and 6k almost immediately which brought it back to $2.00.

In a nutshell I'm leaning Blues...