rugby union

italians +30
over  53.5

ok i was on the italians last week at +32.5 and this week i will jump on the italians again. as u can c by the stats, in 11 meetings b/w the 2 sides, the wallabies have beaten the azzurri over 30 pts three times. there will be alot of support for the italians tonite at idiot stadium in melbourne. I expect wallabies to win by 20 to 28 pts. Also with a hard fast ground (indoor), i expect the score will go over.

Sat, 13 Jun 2009	ST	1	Australia v Italy	31-8	5:1	6-0	Bruce Stadium, Canberra	H
Sat, 08 Nov 2008	AI		Australia v Italy	30-20	2:1	8-0	Padua	A
Sat, 11 Nov 2006	AI		Australia v Italy	25-18	3:0	8-1	Stadio Flaminio, Rome	A
Sat, 25 Jun 2005	ST		Australia v Italy	69-21	11:3	6-0	Colonial Stadium, Melbourne	H
Sat, 23 Nov 2002	AI		Australia v Italy	34-3	5:0	8-0	Genoa	A

I believe the only reason why the Italian's covered that start last game was due to the greasy and slippery conditions at Bruce Stadium. 

but the wallabies have made 9 changes with a pretty young forward pack.

yeh im thinking italians will score 20

italians +30
over  53.5dumb pick inexperience wallabies asking too much too score tries.