Phat's NRL Picks

Thought I'd make my own thread for once and post my bets for this round.

Already taken: 

Dragons SU @1.70

Dragons -2.5 @1.90

Leaning Dragons 1-12 margin which I may take later today.

Just think Dragons will take this as Tigers defense hasn't been the best the last 2 games. Liking the Dragons in finals footy.

Other leans this week:

Warriors +2.5

Broncos without Thaiday and Hoffman and Warriors on a roll woooo!

Sea Eagles & Storm to win. Haven't looked at the lines bt these 2 teams should win by more than a few.

Dont like the play phatmaori

Tigers with benji running the show and chris back this week. keep in mind the last time they won the finished 4th so could history be repeating its self.

Haha I'm usually with you each week but this week we'll be against each other.. may the best man win

GL phatty but I'm on the other side tonight...

GL Phatmaori but think u shud buy out of ur saints play tonight. They will not compete tonight with this tigers team who since beating them has gottn better imo.

Lucky you guys talked me out of putting another bet on Drags haha I made a net profit last night though so all is well

Dragons SU

Dragons -2.5

Won some good money on tennis and AB's so all is well.

Todays picks so far..

Scotland/Romania 1st scoring play - Scotland Penalty $2.65

Cowboys +7.5 @ $1.82

Arg/Eng under 43.5 @ $1.85

Warriors +2.5 @$1.85

Japan +44.5 @$1.80

Australia -31.5 @$1.87

Multi with Romania +34.5 @$1.87 / Fiji -25.5 @$1.50

 

GL mate 

Romania looking alright early...

Thanks Boydy

Romania are keeping it closer than I expected which is making me feel a whole lot safer

Their kicker is having a shocker though... 2 from 5 all fairly easy kicks...

Yep but all is still well. Scotland can't finish so I'm not too fussed atm.

 

If the odds are still around 9bux I may take Romania to win lol

Romania +34.5 is probably the easiest money you'll ever make. Nice call bro...

 emkee

Only problem is it's multied with Fiji -25.5

Can someone explain to me the correct way to hedge a bet?? I'm kinda new to all this terminology..

So in my Romania Fiji multi, say I wanted to hedge the Fiji game, do the odds have to be at a certain number for it to be a worth while hedge? Or is it just as simple as betting on Namibia?

Multi with Romania +34.5 @$1.87 / Fiji -25.5 @$1.50

always better hedging in live games cos you get pretty generous odds. Who did you take? Fiji line bet? I see the live score and they look to be up by 27 with minutes to go

basically it's a way of breaking even if you choose right time and right price to bet if you have a good feeling the original bet will lose. I usually do parlays and if I have hit say 4 out 5 so far and waiting on one more game. I'll wait till I get a live bet that offers very good odds or I'll bite the bullet and decide to thrown cash on the 1 game I'm awaiting on in my parlay so at least you can look to tomorrow games to bet on

well' at least that's the way I do my hedging but everyone has different method's

Thanks Geelong, got it.

Yea well I needed 2 more points and Fiji had a penalty to finish and instead of taking the shot at goal they just kicked it out... mean

Going to add..

1st scoring play France Penalty goal @$3.00

1st scoring play France Penalty goal @$3.00

Well Japan got dominated in that 1st few mins..

Let's hope +44.5 pays off