NRL Finals

Dragons win by 1-12 margin @ 3.05 centrebet
Two very good sides here with the Tigers have been on a roll for a long time with 8 straight wins while the Dragons are starting to build some momentum for this game. Both have got good sets of forwards while the Dragons have the edge in the backs, as player for player, they look better than the Tigers. What I have liked about the Dragons in the last couple of weeks is that there defence is starting to get much better and they are not missing as many tackles as they did on their losing streak.

Not much separates the two sides in their recent clashes, as the Dragons won by a point last year in the semi finals while the Tigers won by 2 points in round 22, when the Tigers were peaking and the Dragons were struggling. The Dragons have the experience from last year's triumph and beleive that Bennett has got them gaining momentum at the right time.

GL Crow but I'm on the other side tonight...

Dragons win by 1-12 margin @ 3.05

Warriors win by 1-12 margin @ 3.35 Centrebet
Both sides are near full strength as they have had some good recent form leading up to the semi finals. The Broncos do lose Hoffman at fullback as well as Thaiday in the forwards which are blows for them, while the Warriors do get Vatuvei, Berrigan and Heremaia back for them. The Warriors have gone against recent form in seasons gone by when they play on the road, as they have scored some good wins over sides like the Storm, the Rabbitohs and the Knights, and nearly topped the Broncos a few weeks ago.

An interesting stat is the Broncos have won just 1 of their 7 home semi finals and with a young inexperienced side, some nerves could take hold of them. Believe that players like Mateo could be the difference here as he has the ability to pop a pass and break open a pretty good defence. Expect this to be another close game just like when the Broncos beat them by a point, but this time, like the Warriors to edge them

Cowboys win by 1-12 margin @ 4.10 Centrebet
The Sea Eagles are expected to win this comfortably, so the Cowboys can go into this game without too much pressure. This should suit their little men and expect them to throw the ball around a bit more and look to carve up the Sea Eagles around the rucks, as the home sides big men can get lazy at times, around there. They are without Stewart and his work rate, while the the Cowboys get back Johnson, who has a very good work rate, and this may tip the balance in their favour. The Cowboys have a forward pack that more than matches what the Sea Eagles have, and in the best halfback in the game, they have a leader who can get them going. He has yet to hit his straps in the weeks after his comeback from injury, but it is occasions like this, when he tends to assert himself. With the game being plaeyd away from Brookvale, the Sea Eagles are not as dominant as they would appear, and the Cowboys are a live dog here in upsetting them.

Riding the dogs aye... GL big fella

Warriors win by 1-12 margin @ 3.35

Cowboys win by 1-12 margin @ 4.10 


Well, 0-3 so far and can't seem to get a read on these teams. Try again here.

Storm win by 1-12 margin @ 2.95 Centrebet
Storm have lost their last 2 games as they had already secured top spot, they were looking to keep injury free and fresh for the semi finals. The Knights did the job against the Rabbitohs but while they are good side when going forward, their defence has question marks over it. The Storm are a side that can expose this, and they should do so, but the Knights overall, are not to be underestimated as they have a good honest pack of forwards and a bit of flair in the backline. Though the Storm have won the 2 encounters over the Knights at AAMI Park by 30 points in each game, believe this one will be closer and the Storm doing enough to win this

That's a good bet, may go 13+ though. Let's hope not for your sake

Storm win by 1-12 margin @ 2.95 

Nice

Good call

Tigers win by 1-12 margin @ 3.00 centrebet
With 6 teams left, hard to see any blowouts and expect the games to be much closer. From this, finally have come around to like the form of the Tigers where before i thought it was a purple patch they were going through and that it would soon finish, but they continue to produce the goods. Where they have the edge over the Warriors is in Marshall and Farah as these two players have been pulling the strings for them over the last couple of months, and it seems, from this, they are very focused and determined to win the big one.

While the Warriors pack has some big forwards who can cart the ball forward, the Tigers rely more on speed to cut them down, and when they have the ball, they look to play the ball quickly after being tackled. This will see them create some holes for Marshall to slice through or he will find someone else to run through them. In the backs, the Tigers have a good, honest set of players who are not that flashy but do well to link up with their halves Marshall and Lui. Like the form team here and they do enough to edge this, and though the Warriors have a good side, not enough to beat the Tigers.

Record: 1-3 (-1.05)

Tigers win 1-12 margin @ 3.00

The one time i pick them they choke on me as they give up a try with 2 minutes to go to lose the game by 2 points.

Record: 1-4 (-2.05)

Sea Eagles win by 1-12 margin @ 2.95 Centrebet
Like the Sea Eagles here as they are without Lockyer, and though Gillett is a good player, they will miss his experience and composure. Both sets of forwards can make good yardage and set it up for their halves to bring the backs into it, but feel the Sea Eagles have the edge in the backs without Lockyer there. Also was impessed with the Sea Eagles performance when they went to Brisbane a few weeks ago and were very competitive against the Broncos even though they were missing quite a few players, so now in Sydney, with the Broncos not as strong away from Suncorp, they will have the crowd advantage to help them win this game. Looking at both squads, there is not much between them, but without Lockyer, feel that the Broncos are weakened where it matters at this time of the year.

Record: 1-4 (-2.05)

Sea Eagles win by 1-12 margin @ 2.95

Record: 2-4 (-0.10)

Storm win by 1-12 margin @ 2.90 Centrebet
Storm are a team that grinds away at the opposition and when they get the lead they rely on their defence to contain the opposition. They are steady and consistent in their game while the big three of Slater, Cronk and Smith give them that edge over teams. The Warriors are more cavalier in their approach and will look to offload as much as possible. They have a couple of pretty smart halves in Johnson and Maloney and a good forward pack that is the pretty similar to the Storm pack of forwards. Not much to separate these two sides, and with the Warriors having won their last meeting in Melbourne earlier this year, 18-14, they will have no fears playing there. But this Storm side did beat them 16-8 in NZ later in the season, and have been consistent all year and at home, where they are very hard to beat, like them to edge this one.

Record: 2-4 (-0.10)

Storm win by 1-12 margin @ 2.90

Record: 2-5 (-1.10)

Warriors (Toyota Cup) win by 13+ margin @ 2.15 Centrebet
The Junior Warriors side has been smashing the opposition all year, as they have won 16 of their 22 regular season games by 13+ points. They already have beaten the Cowboys 28-20 in the last round of the season at home and are now looking to win successive grand finals. They beat the Knights 54-6 in the Qualifying Final and then they beat the Bulldogs 64-0 to make to the grand final yet again. They are on a huge roll and hard to see them not winning by plenty here

Warriors win by 1-12 margin @ 3.85 Centrebet
Should be a pretty even game with not much separating the two sides but like the Warriors to edge this one. They come into this game by beating probably the team with the best form coming into the semis, the Tigers, and then beating the most consistent side all year, the Storm, so they have been beating the best teams to get here. The Sea Eagles have been efficient in getting here but weather looks to be the main factor here as it has been raining pretty hard all morning. With both teams likely to play it tight and run the ball down the middle, expect this part of the field to be pretty chopped up, and this is where Johnson and Maloney, with their elusiveness and speed off the mark, can cause problems for the Sea Eagles forwards. Hence, like these two players to be the difference in this game, with the conditions suiting the Warriors much more than the Sea Eagles.

GL mate 

Warriors (Toyota Cup) win by 13+ margin @ 2.15
Led by 14 points with 10 minutes to go, and then they threw it away by conceding 3 late tries. Fortunately for them they won in extra time.

Warriors win by 1-12 margin @ 3.85
Manly too good on the day