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    All Forums | Rugby

    Need some advice

    Sickpix
    rod_steel
    Davenz
    Shazzadude
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    Sickpix
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    Posted: May. 13, 2014 - 5:00 PM ET #1

    I put $1000 on sharks at $2 at the start of the year. Their 8 points in front with a game in hand on the bulls but have a hard run home in New Zealand and a few derby games in S.A while the bulls have a reasonably easy last 4 games with brumbies in Pretoria being their hardest game. Bulls are paying $8 so if I put 250 on them I secure my bet and still profit $750, am I getting worried for nothing or is it a good idea?
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I put $1000 on sharks at $2 at the start of the year. Their 8 points in front with a game in hand on the bulls but have a hard run home in New Zealand and a few derby games in S.A while the bulls have a reasonably easy last 4 games with brumbies in Pretoria being their hardest game. Bulls are paying $8 so if I put 250 on them I secure my bet and still profit $750, am I getting worried for nothing or is it a good idea?
     
    rod_steel
    rod_steel
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    Posted: May. 13, 2014 - 6:04 PM ET #2

    Sharks @ $2? Is that to top the South African conference?
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    Sharks @ $2? Is that to top the South African conference?
     
    Sickpix
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    Posted: May. 13, 2014 - 7:12 PM ET #3

    Yeah sorry, the bets to top the South African conference at the end of regular season. 
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    Yeah sorry, the bets to top the South African conference at the end of regular season. 
     
    Davenz
    Davenz
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    Posted: May. 13, 2014 - 10:08 PM ET #4

    Better of laying them on betfair at a very short price. If you want to hedge. Might have to put in a slightly higher price than the actual, to get it matched.
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    Better of laying them on betfair at a very short price. If you want to hedge. Might have to put in a slightly higher price than the actual, to get it matched.
     
    Davenz
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    Posted: May. 13, 2014 - 10:17 PM ET #5

    Every serious sportsbettor should be on betfair anyway. Makes making money so much easier, once you get good at it.

    So many of your losing or break even games, will become break even or winning games.
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    Every serious sportsbettor should be on betfair anyway. Makes making money so much easier, once you get good at it.

    So many of your losing or break even games, will become break even or winning games.
     
    rod_steel
    rod_steel
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    Posted: May. 14, 2014 - 8:46 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Sickpix:

    Yeah sorry, the bets to top the South African conference at the end of regular season. 

    Ok, I thought they were paying more than that to start the season. Unless you hopped on later?

    You are right the draw seems a lot more favorable for the Bulls to the point they will start favorites in their remaining games. Brumbies are probably your only realistic chance to upset them at the Fortress.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sickpix:

    Yeah sorry, the bets to top the South African conference at the end of regular season. 

    Ok, I thought they were paying more than that to start the season. Unless you hopped on later?

    You are right the draw seems a lot more favorable for the Bulls to the point they will start favorites in their remaining games. Brumbies are probably your only realistic chance to upset them at the Fortress.
     
    Shazzadude
    Shazzadude
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    Posted: May. 14, 2014 - 9:41 AM ET #7

    I'd wait out the round before looking at a leverage, seeing as the Bulls have a bye. If the Sharks can manage a bonus point (or even an upset win) you'll get an even better price on the Bulls, while I can't see the price adjusting significantly if the Sharks come away empty-handed.

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    I'd wait out the round before looking at a leverage, seeing as the Bulls have a bye. If the Sharks can manage a bonus point (or even an upset win) you'll get an even better price on the Bulls, while I can't see the price adjusting significantly if the Sharks come away empty-handed.

     
    rod_steel
    rod_steel
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    Posted: May. 14, 2014 - 8:23 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by Shazzadude:

    I'd wait out the round before looking at a leverage, seeing as the Bulls have a bye. If the Sharks can manage a bonus point (or even an upset win) you'll get an even better price on the Bulls, while I can't see the price adjusting significantly if the Sharks come away empty-handed.


    Good approach I agree.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shazzadude:

    I'd wait out the round before looking at a leverage, seeing as the Bulls have a bye. If the Sharks can manage a bonus point (or even an upset win) you'll get an even better price on the Bulls, while I can't see the price adjusting significantly if the Sharks come away empty-handed.


    Good approach I agree.
     
    rod_steel
    rod_steel
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    Posted: May. 14, 2014 - 8:25 PM ET #9

    If Sharks beat either the Crusaders or Blues you will be fine. 
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    If Sharks beat either the Crusaders or Blues you will be fine. 
     
    Sickpix
    Sickpix
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    Posted: May. 15, 2014 - 5:00 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by rod_steel:


    Ok, I thought they were paying more than that to start the season. Unless you hopped on later?

    You are right the draw seems a lot more favorable for the Bulls to the point they will start favorites in their remaining games. Brumbies are probably your only realistic chance to upset them at the Fortress.
     
    They were paying $2 after the first round when just the South African teams played
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    Quote Originally Posted by rod_steel:


    Ok, I thought they were paying more than that to start the season. Unless you hopped on later?

    You are right the draw seems a lot more favorable for the Bulls to the point they will start favorites in their remaining games. Brumbies are probably your only realistic chance to upset them at the Fortress.
     
    They were paying $2 after the first round when just the South African teams played
     
    Sickpix
    Sickpix
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    Posted: May. 15, 2014 - 5:04 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by Shazzadude:

    I'd wait out the round before looking at a leverage, seeing as the Bulls have a bye. If the Sharks can manage a bonus point (or even an upset win) you'll get an even better price on the Bulls, while I can't see the price adjusting significantly if the Sharks come away empty-handed.

    Yeah good idea, I'm gonna wait for a bit. Don't think they've got much chance in Christchurch but I've been watching the blues loose at Albany for the last 7 or 8 years so hopefully that continues 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shazzadude:

    I'd wait out the round before looking at a leverage, seeing as the Bulls have a bye. If the Sharks can manage a bonus point (or even an upset win) you'll get an even better price on the Bulls, while I can't see the price adjusting significantly if the Sharks come away empty-handed.

    Yeah good idea, I'm gonna wait for a bit. Don't think they've got much chance in Christchurch but I've been watching the blues loose at Albany for the last 7 or 8 years so hopefully that continues 
     
    Shazzadude
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    Posted: May. 17, 2014 - 5:46 AM ET #12

    Well that sorts that out. :)
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    Well that sorts that out. :)
     
    rod_steel
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    Posted: May. 17, 2014 - 8:01 AM ET #13

    Well done. What an incredible performance by the Sharks, best of the season.
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    Well done. What an incredible performance by the Sharks, best of the season.
     
    Sickpix
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    Posted: May. 17, 2014 - 6:54 PM ET #14

     Can't believe it 
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     Can't believe it 
     
    Shazzadude
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    Posted: May. 17, 2014 - 8:19 PM ET #15

    I think that has to be one of the greatest regular season victories in Super rugby of all time. 

    Not just with 13 men, but away to the greatest super team of all time.
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    I think that has to be one of the greatest regular season victories in Super rugby of all time. 

    Not just with 13 men, but away to the greatest super team of all time.
     
    rod_steel
    rod_steel
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    Posted: May. 17, 2014 - 9:21 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by Shazzadude:

    I think that has to be one of the greatest regular season victories in Super rugby of all time. 

    Not just with 13 men, but away to the greatest super team of all time.

    63min with 14 men in a place where no Saffer team has won there in 14 years. It is up there for sure.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shazzadude:

    I think that has to be one of the greatest regular season victories in Super rugby of all time. 

    Not just with 13 men, but away to the greatest super team of all time.

    63min with 14 men in a place where no Saffer team has won there in 14 years. It is up there for sure.
     
     
    Davenz
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    Posted: May. 17, 2014 - 9:30 PM ET #17

    Crusaders were 1.01 on betfair leading by only 3 points with 55 mins to play in the game on betfair
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    Crusaders were 1.01 on betfair leading by only 3 points with 55 mins to play in the game on betfair
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