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    All Forums | Rugby

    Biggest play of the year

    MVPease
    RichmondTigers
    snake2710
    Luckylunchbox
    rod_steel
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    MVPease
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2012 - 10:08 AM ET #1

    At first glance some may disagree with me when I say this but let this be known that Sydney Swans +8.5 represents value. You can say this and you can say that but for those who follow my AFL picks, you will see that I've been running hot.

    First of all, Sydney losing to Geelong last week was not a surprise considering Geelong have only lost one or two there in their last 30-something games. with that result you can expect bettors to dive in head first on Adelaide. Little do they realise thay Adelaide have had a cupcake schedule this season and despite them being a good side they are not as battle-tested as Sydney. And although Sydney have lost a few lately they have been too top competition in Hawthorn (2 points), collingwood (11 pointz) and Geelong by a fair bit but in my opinion Geelong will be playing in the grand final so no shame there.

    Sydney have been there and done that and have a host of experienced campaigners and while Adelaide are no slouches I expect the moment to be too big for them. Sydney have been the best side for the most of the year and on Saturday they will add to their 
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    At first glance some may disagree with me when I say this but let this be known that Sydney Swans +8.5 represents value. You can say this and you can say that but for those who follow my AFL picks, you will see that I've been running hot.

    First of all, Sydney losing to Geelong last week was not a surprise considering Geelong have only lost one or two there in their last 30-something games. with that result you can expect bettors to dive in head first on Adelaide. Little do they realise thay Adelaide have had a cupcake schedule this season and despite them being a good side they are not as battle-tested as Sydney. And although Sydney have lost a few lately they have been too top competition in Hawthorn (2 points), collingwood (11 pointz) and Geelong by a fair bit but in my opinion Geelong will be playing in the grand final so no shame there.

    Sydney have been there and done that and have a host of experienced campaigners and while Adelaide are no slouches I expect the moment to be too big for them. Sydney have been the best side for the most of the year and on Saturday they will add to their 
     
    MVPease
    MVPease
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2012 - 10:10 AM ET #2

    impressive record in day games ans away games this season and win straight up. but i will take the plus odds instead just to be on the safe side.

    Sydney +8.5 @ 1.92 for 6 units
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    impressive record in day games ans away games this season and win straight up. but i will take the plus odds instead just to be on the safe side.

    Sydney +8.5 @ 1.92 for 6 units
     
    MVPease
    MVPease
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2012 - 10:13 AM ET #3

    And left my record out but for those who haven't been checking in it's 16-9 +21.12 units
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    And left my record out but for those who haven't been checking in it's 16-9 +21.12 units
     
    RichmondTigers
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2012 - 10:20 AM ET #4

     I Agree only underdog ill be taking in the finals this week
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     I Agree only underdog ill be taking in the finals this week
     
    MVPease
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2012 - 10:23 AM ET #5

    Yeah some tough spreads on the other games I think. well, hard because they're those awkward twenty point spreads and it is finals
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    Yeah some tough spreads on the other games I think. well, hard because they're those awkward twenty point spreads and it is finals
     
    snake2710
    snake2710
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2012 - 5:02 PM ET #6

    BOL bud
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    BOL bud
     
    Luckylunchbox
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2012 - 7:01 PM ET #7

     I thought the swans were disappointing last week so for me they need to lift a bit, 1st game they played this year was a ripper so i expect another close one
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     I thought the swans were disappointing last week so for me they need to lift a bit, 1st game they played this year was a ripper so i expect another close one
     
    MVPease
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2012 - 8:05 PM ET #8

    Cheers snake. and yeah I expect them to lift against the Crows. I wouldn't say Crows aren't deserving of their second spot, but they had a soft schedule and Sydney should be too much
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    Cheers snake. and yeah I expect them to lift against the Crows. I wouldn't say Crows aren't deserving of their second spot, but they had a soft schedule and Sydney should be too much
     
    rod_steel
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2012 - 10:38 PM ET #9

    I'm concerned with the absence of Grundy. He and Teddy Richards have easily been the best defensive combination this season
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    I'm concerned with the absence of Grundy. He and Teddy Richards have easily been the best defensive combination this season
     
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2012 - 10:43 PM ET #10

    Especially against an in form Crows forward line. Tex Walker and Tipett have been kicking goals for fun of late
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    Especially against an in form Crows forward line. Tex Walker and Tipett have been kicking goals for fun of late
     
    MVPease
    MVPease
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    Posted: Sep. 4, 2012 - 2:35 AM ET #11

    I would not exactly call Melbourne and Gold Coast defense impressive so understandably they have been kicking goals the last couple of weeks. Before that they lost a head scratcher to Brisbane. I hear they are challenging the grundy charge today. if he cant play i would say LRT would go down back
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    I would not exactly call Melbourne and Gold Coast defense impressive so understandably they have been kicking goals the last couple of weeks. Before that they lost a head scratcher to Brisbane. I hear they are challenging the grundy charge today. if he cant play i would say LRT would go down back
     
    MVPease
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2012 - 2:58 AM ET #12

    I have 2 units on Hawthorn -20.5 @1.93 and 2 units on Canterbury @ 1.98. If you guys want reasoning I am happy to provide it. Otherwise BOL to all
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    I have 2 units on Hawthorn -20.5 @1.93 and 2 units on Canterbury @ 1.98. If you guys want reasoning I am happy to provide it. Otherwise BOL to all
     
    MVPease
    MVPease
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2012 - 8:39 AM ET #13

    got the choccies tonight boys with the two plays. record is 18-9 +24.94 units
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    got the choccies tonight boys with the two plays. record is 18-9 +24.94 units
     
    MVPease
    MVPease
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2012 - 1:49 AM ET #14

    good start. going to be a dour but close affair
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    good start. going to be a dour but close affair
     
    MVPease
    MVPease
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2012 - 3:41 AM ET #15

    Running really hot right now. 19-9 +30.46 units after the swans win
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    Running really hot right now. 19-9 +30.46 units after the swans win
     
    MVPease
    MVPease
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2012 - 3:44 AM ET #16

    going to the cowboys game in an hour. should be a good atmosphere. will be posting a play on that soon
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    going to the cowboys game in an hour. should be a good atmosphere. will be posting a play on that soon
     
     
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2012 - 4:37 AM ET #17

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