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    All Forums | Rugby

    Battler's NRL Round 1

    «First Previous 234 ... 91011 Next Last»
    Jive_Turkey
    Ace77
    Aussie Battler
    OzFactor
    FarQue
    ...
    Participants:
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    «First Previous 234 ... 91011 Next Last»
     
    Jive_Turkey
    Jive_Turkey
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 7:36 AM ET #26

     Your pack is a real worry.

    The Broncos really struggled in that dept last season at various times. After that initial 20 min opening period where everyone is energised ect, they battled to really roll forward in a lot of games last season.

    Even watching that charity shield game the other night I was looking at those forward packs (esp Souths) wondering how the Broncos will stack up against them physically 

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     Your pack is a real worry.

    The Broncos really struggled in that dept last season at various times. After that initial 20 min opening period where everyone is energised ect, they battled to really roll forward in a lot of games last season.

    Even watching that charity shield game the other night I was looking at those forward packs (esp Souths) wondering how the Broncos will stack up against them physically 

     
    Jive_Turkey
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 7:40 AM ET #27

    Quote Originally Posted by Aussie Battler:

    NSW to win Origin.

     

    Lock that shit up

    wouldn't be surpised at all, infact I would be surprised if QLD is a pronounced series favourite again.

    Not sure how focused Jonathon Thurston is at the moment and Price and Civonacieva can't keep driving that ship forever. Felt there were a few signs during last year's series to suggest the worm was starting to turn at least slightly in the BLUE direction.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Aussie Battler:

    NSW to win Origin.

     

    Lock that shit up

    wouldn't be surpised at all, infact I would be surprised if QLD is a pronounced series favourite again.

    Not sure how focused Jonathon Thurston is at the moment and Price and Civonacieva can't keep driving that ship forever. Felt there were a few signs during last year's series to suggest the worm was starting to turn at least slightly in the BLUE direction.

     
    Ace77
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 7:41 AM ET #28

    You read my mind Battler re Storm 16-10

    Thats why i didn't wanna bet that game,i don't wanna be on the Rothfields but i also don't wanna lay 7.5 with the Melbourne Travelledhalfwayaroundtheworldorms





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    You read my mind Battler re Storm 16-10

    Thats why i didn't wanna bet that game,i don't wanna be on the Rothfields but i also don't wanna lay 7.5 with the Melbourne Travelledhalfwayaroundtheworldorms





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    Jive_Turkey
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 7:41 AM ET #29

    ^ besides which its just fcuking hard to fathom one state winning origin 5 times in a row !?
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    ^ besides which its just fcuking hard to fathom one state winning origin 5 times in a row !?
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 7:43 AM ET #30

    Yup, although Thurston hasn't been our problem..

     

    But I do think NSW take this year. Dead rubber or not, NSW got it right game 3 and save for a few cases of individual brilliance from you brilliant pricks, could easily have snatched another game.

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    Yup, although Thurston hasn't been our problem..

     

    But I do think NSW take this year. Dead rubber or not, NSW got it right game 3 and save for a few cases of individual brilliance from you brilliant pricks, could easily have snatched another game.

     
    Ace77
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 7:45 AM ET #31

    Lord Hayne will bring the origin trophy back to NSW
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    Lord Hayne will bring the origin trophy back to NSW
     
    Ace77
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 7:47 AM ET #32

    Ace's 2010 origin series odds


    NSW $1.01
    QLD $17.00





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    Ace's 2010 origin series odds


    NSW $1.01
    QLD $17.00





     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 7:51 AM ET #33

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    Jive_Turkey
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 8:10 AM ET #34

    Quote Originally Posted by Ace77:

    Ace's 2010 origin series odds


    NSW $1.01
    QLD $17.00





    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3a6ZZPLsio&feature=related 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ace77:

    Ace's 2010 origin series odds


    NSW $1.01
    QLD $17.00





    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3a6ZZPLsio&feature=related 

     
    OzFactor
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 9:10 AM ET #35

    You would be doing fantastic if you even achieved half your goal AB.

    BOL this year mate


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    You would be doing fantastic if you even achieved half your goal AB.

    BOL this year mate


     
    FarQue
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 4:11 PM ET #36

    Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:

    I know everyone around here is excited and running around humping their furniture ect in anticipation of the upcoming NRL season but personally, I'll be making very few plays on this because imo it is an extremely difficult competition to bet.

    The way the game is played nowadays / the way its officiated make it a real coin toss with most games hanging on a knife edge / exchanging tries before a frantic final few minutes where anything goes.

    Once the season is a few rounds old, bookmakers are getting their lines very sharp nowadays imo.    

     



    that's why it's better to play the dogs and the plus and ML

    the line setters are pretty sharp round 1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:

    I know everyone around here is excited and running around humping their furniture ect in anticipation of the upcoming NRL season but personally, I'll be making very few plays on this because imo it is an extremely difficult competition to bet.

    The way the game is played nowadays / the way its officiated make it a real coin toss with most games hanging on a knife edge / exchanging tries before a frantic final few minutes where anything goes.

    Once the season is a few rounds old, bookmakers are getting their lines very sharp nowadays imo.    

     



    that's why it's better to play the dogs and the plus and ML

    the line setters are pretty sharp round 1
     
    FarQue
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 4:13 PM ET #37

    Quote Originally Posted by Ace77:





    True



    I don't trust Parra in that match but the Dragons are not enough value for me to bite on


    I was seriously expecting the following odds in that match

    Dragons $2.60
    Eels $1.50


    Dragons +4.5
    Eels -4.5


    Lucky im not a odds maker


    Ace's bookie business

    Gimme $2.50 bitches


    I had it 1.90. the 2 most popular teams in the comp. Money comes for the dragons no matter how they play. Dragons supporters are delusional
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ace77:





    True



    I don't trust Parra in that match but the Dragons are not enough value for me to bite on


    I was seriously expecting the following odds in that match

    Dragons $2.60
    Eels $1.50


    Dragons +4.5
    Eels -4.5


    Lucky im not a odds maker


    Ace's bookie business

    Gimme $2.50 bitches


    I had it 1.90. the 2 most popular teams in the comp. Money comes for the dragons no matter how they play. Dragons supporters are delusional
     
    FarQue
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 4:24 PM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by Aussie Battler:

    Yup, although Thurston hasn't been our problem..

     

    But I do think NSW take this year. Dead rubber or not, NSW got it right game 3 and save for a few cases of individual brilliance from you brilliant pricks, could easily have snatched another game.



    Why NSW? Qld have Price, Hannant and the Fridge and Freezer up front. NSW have Justin Poore, Luke Perry and Brent White

    Qld have Thurston or Lockyer or Prince or Cronk in the halves. NSW have Wallace or Barret or Kimmorley or Pierce

    Qld have Slater and Inglis and Falou and Boyd and Hodges in the backs. NSW have Hayne, Jennings, Morris and Morris.

    can't see a NSW series win. This maybe the last year of Qld dominance though, as i think Price and the Fridge won't go around in it next year


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    Quote Originally Posted by Aussie Battler:

    Yup, although Thurston hasn't been our problem..

     

    But I do think NSW take this year. Dead rubber or not, NSW got it right game 3 and save for a few cases of individual brilliance from you brilliant pricks, could easily have snatched another game.



    Why NSW? Qld have Price, Hannant and the Fridge and Freezer up front. NSW have Justin Poore, Luke Perry and Brent White

    Qld have Thurston or Lockyer or Prince or Cronk in the halves. NSW have Wallace or Barret or Kimmorley or Pierce

    Qld have Slater and Inglis and Falou and Boyd and Hodges in the backs. NSW have Hayne, Jennings, Morris and Morris.

    can't see a NSW series win. This maybe the last year of Qld dominance though, as i think Price and the Fridge won't go around in it next year


     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 6:08 PM ET #39

    Quote Originally Posted by FarQue:



    I had it 1.90. the 2 most popular teams in the comp. Money comes for the dragons no matter how they play. Dragons supporters are delusional

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    Quote Originally Posted by FarQue:



    I had it 1.90. the 2 most popular teams in the comp. Money comes for the dragons no matter how they play. Dragons supporters are delusional

     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 7:16 PM ET #40

    Quote Originally Posted by FarQue:



    Why NSW? Qld have Price, Hannant and the Fridge and Freezer up front. NSW have Justin Poore, Luke Perry and Brent White

    Qld have Thurston or Lockyer or Prince or Cronk in the halves. NSW have Wallace or Barret or Kimmorley or Pierce

    Qld have Slater and Inglis and Falou and Boyd and Hodges in the backs. NSW have Hayne, Jennings, Morris and Morris.

    can't see a NSW series win. This maybe the last year of Qld dominance though, as i think Price and the Fridge won't go around in it next year


    Price and F & F are another year older. Surely these pricks will have to slow down soon. Poore, Weyman, White aren't great, but they could do. Throw in TLL. Where's Aiden Tolman from? We can find a pack.

    I can't remember the last blinder Lockyer played at rep level. He may not even go around this year.

    Slater, Inglis and Falou are a major fucking headache, I'll concede that. Hodges mightn't be fit by Origin.

    The gap is closing. They just need to sack the selectors and have a little bit of luck.

     

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by FarQue:



    Why NSW? Qld have Price, Hannant and the Fridge and Freezer up front. NSW have Justin Poore, Luke Perry and Brent White

    Qld have Thurston or Lockyer or Prince or Cronk in the halves. NSW have Wallace or Barret or Kimmorley or Pierce

    Qld have Slater and Inglis and Falou and Boyd and Hodges in the backs. NSW have Hayne, Jennings, Morris and Morris.

    can't see a NSW series win. This maybe the last year of Qld dominance though, as i think Price and the Fridge won't go around in it next year


    Price and F & F are another year older. Surely these pricks will have to slow down soon. Poore, Weyman, White aren't great, but they could do. Throw in TLL. Where's Aiden Tolman from? We can find a pack.

    I can't remember the last blinder Lockyer played at rep level. He may not even go around this year.

    Slater, Inglis and Falou are a major fucking headache, I'll concede that. Hodges mightn't be fit by Origin.

    The gap is closing. They just need to sack the selectors and have a little bit of luck.

     

     

     
    Jive_Turkey
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2010 - 12:11 AM ET #41

    Quote Originally Posted by FarQue:



    that's why it's better to play the dogs and the plus and ML

    the line setters are pretty sharp round 1

    Read so many posts like this prior to every season. Dogs and + points don't guarantee +ve. You gotta bet dogs where dogs are the play and vice versa when favourites appeal.

    My main point is that any play you do make in this stuff needs to be very strong in your own reasonings. Betting every game on the board or even most games on the slate each weekend will get you nowhere imo.  

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    Quote Originally Posted by FarQue:



    that's why it's better to play the dogs and the plus and ML

    the line setters are pretty sharp round 1

    Read so many posts like this prior to every season. Dogs and + points don't guarantee +ve. You gotta bet dogs where dogs are the play and vice versa when favourites appeal.

    My main point is that any play you do make in this stuff needs to be very strong in your own reasonings. Betting every game on the board or even most games on the slate each weekend will get you nowhere imo.  

     
    xcrap
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2010 - 12:25 AM ET #42

    The "Hayne Rule" will disadvantage the Dragons greatly as Sowards stands deep when taking kicks, every fucking player will be offside when he takes the kick from now on .

    Yeap I agree AB, Boyd was impressive in the Charity shield, set up some tries and is actually passing the ball now. Looks like Wayno will be working on his attack this season.
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    The "Hayne Rule" will disadvantage the Dragons greatly as Sowards stands deep when taking kicks, every fucking player will be offside when he takes the kick from now on .

    Yeap I agree AB, Boyd was impressive in the Charity shield, set up some tries and is actually passing the ball now. Looks like Wayno will be working on his attack this season.
     
    norseman67
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2010 - 12:35 AM ET #43

    Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:

    I know everyone around here is excited and running around humping their furniture ect in anticipation of the upcoming NRL season but personally, I'll be making very few plays on this because imo it is an extremely difficult competition to bet.

    The way the game is played nowadays / the way its officiated make it a real coin toss with most games hanging on a knife edge / exchanging tries before a frantic final few minutes where anything goes.

    Once the season is a few rounds old, bookmakers are getting their lines very sharp nowadays imo.    

     




    Bullseye and ditto. This will be my 10th season and I'm aiming at about 85% of my straight bets - give or take -  being totals only, with the majority of those being overs.

    I'm convinced teams just don't give a shit if they lose 2-3 matches in a row out of the 26.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:

    I know everyone around here is excited and running around humping their furniture ect in anticipation of the upcoming NRL season but personally, I'll be making very few plays on this because imo it is an extremely difficult competition to bet.

    The way the game is played nowadays / the way its officiated make it a real coin toss with most games hanging on a knife edge / exchanging tries before a frantic final few minutes where anything goes.

    Once the season is a few rounds old, bookmakers are getting their lines very sharp nowadays imo.    

     




    Bullseye and ditto. This will be my 10th season and I'm aiming at about 85% of my straight bets - give or take -  being totals only, with the majority of those being overs.

    I'm convinced teams just don't give a shit if they lose 2-3 matches in a row out of the 26.
     
    norseman67
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2010 - 12:37 AM ET #44

    Quote Originally Posted by Aussie Battler:

    Lock that shit up 





    You got sphincter muscle probs already this season? 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aussie Battler:

    Lock that shit up 





    You got sphincter muscle probs already this season? 
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2010 - 12:53 AM ET #45

    Quote Originally Posted by norseman67:





    You got sphincter muscle probs already this season? 

    It's an ongoing condition, nothing new

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    Quote Originally Posted by norseman67:





    You got sphincter muscle probs already this season? 

    It's an ongoing condition, nothing new

     
    Jive_Turkey
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2010 - 1:36 AM ET #46

    Quote Originally Posted by norseman67:




    Bullseye and ditto. This will be my 10th season and I'm aiming at about 85% of my straight bets - give or take -  being totals only, with the majority of those being overs.

    I'm convinced teams just don't give a shit if they lose 2-3 matches in a row out of the 26.

       Sounds like every two-bit NRL capper from Bondi to Bunbury should just down-tools and tail you all season if that's your strike rate ?!

    If you can win even 55% of your plays on totals over the course of this season I will issue a media release in your honour !  

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    Quote Originally Posted by norseman67:




    Bullseye and ditto. This will be my 10th season and I'm aiming at about 85% of my straight bets - give or take -  being totals only, with the majority of those being overs.

    I'm convinced teams just don't give a shit if they lose 2-3 matches in a row out of the 26.

       Sounds like every two-bit NRL capper from Bondi to Bunbury should just down-tools and tail you all season if that's your strike rate ?!

    If you can win even 55% of your plays on totals over the course of this season I will issue a media release in your honour !  

     
    FarQue
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2010 - 5:14 AM ET #47

    Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:

    Read so many posts like this prior to every season. Dogs and + points don't guarantee +ve. You gotta bet dogs where dogs are the play and vice versa when favourites appeal.

    My main point is that any play you do make in this stuff needs to be very strong in your own reasonings. Betting every game on the board or even most games on the slate each weekend will get you nowhere imo.  



    taking dogs in the right game

    taking favourites in the NRL is a fast way to the poor house. Slight reverse longshot favourite bias exists in the NRL
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:

    Read so many posts like this prior to every season. Dogs and + points don't guarantee +ve. You gotta bet dogs where dogs are the play and vice versa when favourites appeal.

    My main point is that any play you do make in this stuff needs to be very strong in your own reasonings. Betting every game on the board or even most games on the slate each weekend will get you nowhere imo.  



    taking dogs in the right game

    taking favourites in the NRL is a fast way to the poor house. Slight reverse longshot favourite bias exists in the NRL
     
    FarQue
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2010 - 5:16 AM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by norseman67:




    Bullseye and ditto. This will be my 10th season and I'm aiming at about 85% of my straight bets - give or take -  being totals only, with the majority of those being overs.

    I'm convinced teams just don't give a shit if they lose 2-3 matches in a row out of the 26.


    if you go 85% I can get you a job at any book in Australia, your choice of which one
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    Quote Originally Posted by norseman67:




    Bullseye and ditto. This will be my 10th season and I'm aiming at about 85% of my straight bets - give or take -  being totals only, with the majority of those being overs.

    I'm convinced teams just don't give a shit if they lose 2-3 matches in a row out of the 26.


    if you go 85% I can get you a job at any book in Australia, your choice of which one
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2010 - 5:35 AM ET #49

    'Slight reverse longshot favourite bias exists in the NRL'

     

    A fucking what-what?

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    'Slight reverse longshot favourite bias exists in the NRL'

     

    A fucking what-what?

     
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2010 - 5:37 AM ET #50

    I was just reading about Art Schlichter Farqhead.

     

    Jesus

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    I was just reading about Art Schlichter Farqhead.

     

    Jesus

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