BetCrimes1984

Since the 1st round expanded in 1984 to involve 16 teams, no set of road teams have ever gone 4-0 SU in the four game 1's to start the 2nd round.

@spicycurry

 Last year was almost completely against the trends, but the 8 years before that with them (that's excepting the 2020 postseason for the reason explained in the initial post), the last 2 emphatically so: 19-5 to Under in games 6s & 7s for 2022+2023's postseasons. 

I wouldn't write this off due to one outlier set of results. Show me 3 or 4 2024's in a row and I'd concede it was time to retire this angle. That said, this is still only one angle. Multiple elements go into making for a total result, and I wouldn't say to anyone to use these trends as the lone basis to make a bet. It's something to factor in.

claw, iceman

trends really kick in when the weak teams are eliminated and the better teams match-up from the 2R onwards

@jvarghese

 That gap between the two LA fixtures is where the cut & paste from another site didn't carry over the H/GS game for whatever reason (prob because it was underlined)

Throwing you degenerates a bone.

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Playoff basketball brings the the table sudden-death basketball, which is a scenario perfect for the manifestation of Under results - tight players executing deliberate plays isn't the ground upon which liberal scoring is made.

*An elimination game is when at least 1 team faces an end to their post season should they lose the game concerned straight-up.

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Since keeping records??starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated for all Elimination games total results are as follows (please note: due to the fact that 2020's playoff games all took place at a single venue which thereby eliminated home court advantage and thus the effect such would otherwise normally exert on the totals outcome of any given elimination game, I have excluded those results from the data base that follows below)...


Overall

All Elimination Games: U/O 225-182-6

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 95-101-3
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 130-81-3


1st Round of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 124-95-2

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 64-55-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 60-40-1


2nd Round & onwards of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 101-87-4

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 31-46-2
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 70-41-2

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The results below will only be integrated with the results noted above at the end of the current post season.

24-25 Playoff Elimination Game results

Round 1

OKC@MEM - Game 4: Over
CLE@MIA - Game 4: Over
MIL@IND - Game 5: Over
DET@NYK - Game 5: Under
ORL@BOS - Game 5: Over
MIN@LAL - Game 5:

DEN@LAC - Game 6: 

Jan. 2004

Back in the day the best threads were always in the penalty box. Dudes went stir crazy in confinement.

Excuse me for 'hijacking' your thread, van, but I think these stats deserve to be viewed (& obv. this thread is well viewed) and it might be useful for you to learn as well going forward:

Couple of historical scoreline angles that I can't see being ignored...

(1) All 8 WC's that have involved the R16 format have delivered a 90 min 0-0 knockout result.

8 knockout games in and none so far. To me, Uru/Fra & Swe/Eng would seem to be the biggest candidates to end the drought. I think the other two games will deliver at least 2 goals each. 

(2) All 8 WC's that have involved the R16 format have delivered a 2-1 knockout result.

There's been 26(!) of these results (17 in 90 mins; 9 after ET: the only WC of the 8 to not deliver a 90 min 2-1 result happens to be the only WC ever played in Asia), that's a rate greater than 3 per WC yet here we've had none with half of the knockout games done & dusted. 

While history guarantees nothing in the present, I struggle to believe that both of these scorelines will just happen to fail to appear for the first time at the same WC. One of them? Always a chance, but both? Don't believe it.