NBA Elimination Game Totals: 2025 Playoffs

Throwing you degenerates a bone.

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Playoff basketball brings the the table sudden-death basketball, which is a scenario perfect for the manifestation of Under results - tight players executing deliberate plays isn't the ground upon which liberal scoring is made.

*An elimination game is when at least 1 team faces an end to their post season should they lose the game concerned straight-up.

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Since keeping records??starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated for all Elimination games total results are as follows (please note: due to the fact that 2020's playoff games all took place at a single venue which thereby eliminated home court advantage and thus the effect such would otherwise normally exert on the totals outcome of any given elimination game, I have excluded those results from the data base that follows below)...


Overall

All Elimination Games: U/O 225-182-6

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 95-101-3
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 130-81-3


1st Round of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 124-95-2

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 64-55-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 60-40-1


2nd Round & onwards of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 101-87-4

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 31-46-2
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 70-41-2

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The results below will only be integrated with the results noted above at the end of the current post season.

24-25 Playoff Elimination Game results

Round 1

OKC@MEM - Game 4: Over
CLE@MIA - Game 4: Over
MIL@IND - Game 5: Over
DET@NYK - Game 5: Under
ORL@BOS - Game 5: Over
MIN@LAL - Game 5:

DEN@LAC - Game 6: 

GL 

Umm Houston and GS is a closeout

Quiet down Varkeygirl 

@jvarghese

 That gap between the two LA fixtures is where the cut & paste from another site didn't carry over the H/GS game for whatever reason (prob because it was underlined)

Very nice work ..............

Hey, I remember your stuff BetCrimes1984, good to see you dishing out the goods again.   BOL

claw, iceman

trends really kick in when the weak teams are eliminated and the better teams match-up from the 2R onwards

Interesting stats, how have the unders been doing the last few years for elimination games? I feel like the books adjust and it’s been more overs the last couple of years

@spicycurry

 Last year was almost completely against the trends, but the 8 years before that with them (that's excepting the 2020 postseason for the reason explained in the initial post), the last 2 emphatically so: 19-5 to Under in games 6s & 7s for 2022+2023's postseasons. 

I wouldn't write this off due to one outlier set of results. Show me 3 or 4 2024's in a row and I'd concede it was time to retire this angle. That said, this is still only one angle. Multiple elements go into making for a total result, and I wouldn't say to anyone to use these trends as the lone basis to make a bet. It's something to factor in.