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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    WGC match play (ytd -26.86, overall -54.86)

    pacman2424
    putt4dough
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 558
    Posts: 7
     
    pacman2424
    pacman2424
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 362
    Posted: Mar. 22, 2022 - 8:55 PM ET #1

    I won't be posting system numbers this week. There are factors such as match play records and motivation that play key roles in this spot. I still used the important parts of my system to narrow down a potential winners. Also i shied away from players who in the past have seemingly tanked to not play the double rounds on the weekend. I took most players for win and group stage. I will use group stage returns to fill in some/all holes after group stage. This would guarantee a winning week if i get through the group stage decently well.

    My plays

    Reed win +7000, group win +350

    Young win +10000, group win +350 (.5)

    Garcia win +5500 (1.5), group win +225 (2)

    Fleetwood win +6600, group +280

    Poulter group +400

    Im win +4500, group +240

    Horschel win +3500 (.5)

    Hoge win +6000, group +225

    Straka win +10000, group +350

    Kisner win +5500 (1.5), group +265 (1.5)

    Homa win +4500, group +200

    Houghes win +10000, group +335

    Casey win +3500, group +250

    Noren win +5500 (1.5), group +270 (.5)

    Speith win +3300, group +188

    Hatton win +3300 (2), group +225

    Niemann win +3500, group +200

    Harmon win +6600, group +250

    Watson win +8000, group +300

    Koepka win +3300, group +200

    40.5 risked

     

     

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    I won't be posting system numbers this week. There are factors such as match play records and motivation that play key roles in this spot. I still used the important parts of my system to narrow down a potential winners. Also i shied away from players who in the past have seemingly tanked to not play the double rounds on the weekend. I took most players for win and group stage. I will use group stage returns to fill in some/all holes after group stage. This would guarantee a winning week if i get through the group stage decently well.

    My plays

    Reed win +7000, group win +350

    Young win +10000, group win +350 (.5)

    Garcia win +5500 (1.5), group win +225 (2)

    Fleetwood win +6600, group +280

    Poulter group +400

    Im win +4500, group +240

    Horschel win +3500 (.5)

    Hoge win +6000, group +225

    Straka win +10000, group +350

    Kisner win +5500 (1.5), group +265 (1.5)

    Homa win +4500, group +200

    Houghes win +10000, group +335

    Casey win +3500, group +250

    Noren win +5500 (1.5), group +270 (.5)

    Speith win +3300, group +188

    Hatton win +3300 (2), group +225

    Niemann win +3500, group +200

    Harmon win +6600, group +250

    Watson win +8000, group +300

    Koepka win +3300, group +200

    40.5 risked

     

     

     
    pacman2424
    pacman2424
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 362
    Posted: Mar. 24, 2022 - 1:47 AM ET #2

    Adding a few first round winners before value drops too much.

    Zalatoris +2800

    Gooch +2800

    Pieters +5000

    Simpson +5000

    Herbert +6600

    At 45.5 units total for week.

    Reply

    Adding a few first round winners before value drops too much.

    Zalatoris +2800

    Gooch +2800

    Pieters +5000

    Simpson +5000

    Herbert +6600

    At 45.5 units total for week.

     
    pacman2424
    pacman2424
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 362
    Posted: Mar. 26, 2022 - 12:39 AM ET #3

    Adding 

    Scheffler +800 (6)

    DJ +700 (5.5)

    Reply

    Adding 

    Scheffler +800 (6)

    DJ +700 (5.5)

     
    pacman2424
    pacman2424
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 362
    Posted: Mar. 26, 2022 - 8:12 PM ET #4

    To some up this chaotic betting card. I took group returns for the scheffler and dj bets.

    Conners win would be -45.5

    Johnson win would be -1.5 units

    Scheffler win would be +8.5 units

    Kisner win would be +38.5 units

    Reply

    To some up this chaotic betting card. I took group returns for the scheffler and dj bets.

    Conners win would be -45.5

    Johnson win would be -1.5 units

    Scheffler win would be +8.5 units

    Kisner win would be +38.5 units

     
    putt4dough
    putt4dough
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2004
    Posts: 1147
    Posted: Mar. 26, 2022 - 8:54 PM ET #5

    Kisner should advance to finals.  
    I think he has a good shot to win.

    Pigs get fat, Hogs get slaughtered
    Reply

    Kisner should advance to finals.  
    I think he has a good shot to win.

     
    pacman2424
    pacman2424
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 362
    Posted: Mar. 27, 2022 - 2:37 PM ET #6

    Great position! Sit back, have a beer and see how much I'll be up this week! Love me some match play!

    Reply

    Great position! Sit back, have a beer and see how much I'll be up this week! Love me some match play!

     
     
    pacman2424
    pacman2424
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 362
    Posted: Mar. 27, 2022 - 7:16 PM ET #7

    +8.5 units this week. Brings ytd to -18.36, and overall to -46.36. While taking my outright winners both pre-tourney and live bets to +47 units ytd.

    Reply

    +8.5 units this week. Brings ytd to -18.36, and overall to -46.36. While taking my outright winners both pre-tourney and live bets to +47 units ytd.

    All Forums | Pro Golf

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