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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    Wells Fargo picks

    12 Next Last»
    alangrrbs
    LeRinkRat
    RBTrojan
    Jlittles
    tooez
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 2492
    Posts: 50
    12 Next Last»
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 11:51 AM ET #1

    Podcast is up with our Kentucky Derby tribute...lol.  Hope everyone likes it.  We had a blast putting that together.



    Wesley Bryan ov Patrick Reed

    Pretty easy bet here.  Before the partner BS tourney last week, Reed had missed the cut three straight tourneys.  Wesley Bryan has a win before last week, 7 straight cuts, and 4 out of the last 6 tournaments are top 7 finishes.


    Stewart Cink ov Scott Brown

    Cink is a top 28 machine.  5 out of the last 6 tournaments he’s finished between 22nd and 28th place.  Scott Brown has 3 missed cuts out of the last 5 tournaments, and one of the other finishes was 71st.


    Kevin Tway ov Rafa Cabrera Bello

    Somethings not right with Cabrera Bello.  I don’t know if it’s an injury or what.  He had a bad back earlier this year, then a wrist I think…  Kevin Tway has two straight third place finishes, and a 32nd before that.  Cabrera Bello has three straight missed cuts.


    Graeme McDowell ov Kevin Na

    I don’t know why the books don’t respect McDowell, but here’s a mother juicy matchup involving him.  Kevin Na has one tourney under par the last 5.  That was only a 39th place finish.  The other tournaments he was +7, +4, +4, +4.  McDowell has one tourney over par all year.  He missed the cut at the Puerto Rico, besides that he’s got 6 of his 7 tourneys with top 30 finishes.  McDowell in much better form than Na.  And McDowell is plus money.


    JT Poston ov Kevin Streellman

    It’s juicy at -140, but it’s time I put my money behind JT Poston.  He’s a good golfer, and he hasn’t missed a cut since January.  6 of his last 7 tournaments have been top 32 finishes.  Streelman has a missed cut, a 53rd, a 49th, and a 70th his last 4 tourneys.  And 4 out of the last 5 tourneys they’ve played together in, Poston has finished ahead of Streelman.  And the tourney that Streelman finished ahead of Poston, Streelman only finished ahead by a stroke.


    The line on this play was at -150 to start…it’s down to -125…I’m making a small play on it.


    Jon Rahm ov Adam Scott


    Jon Rahm had a triple bogey on the last hole at the Masters.  If he pars that hole, he finishes top 10.  That would give him 5 straight top 10 finishes in tournaments.  Adam Scott has been inconsistent this year, hasn’t had his putter going…I just like Jon Rahm here.

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Podcast is up with our Kentucky Derby tribute...lol.  Hope everyone likes it.  We had a blast putting that together.



    Wesley Bryan ov Patrick Reed

    Pretty easy bet here.  Before the partner BS tourney last week, Reed had missed the cut three straight tourneys.  Wesley Bryan has a win before last week, 7 straight cuts, and 4 out of the last 6 tournaments are top 7 finishes.


    Stewart Cink ov Scott Brown

    Cink is a top 28 machine.  5 out of the last 6 tournaments he’s finished between 22nd and 28th place.  Scott Brown has 3 missed cuts out of the last 5 tournaments, and one of the other finishes was 71st.


    Kevin Tway ov Rafa Cabrera Bello

    Somethings not right with Cabrera Bello.  I don’t know if it’s an injury or what.  He had a bad back earlier this year, then a wrist I think…  Kevin Tway has two straight third place finishes, and a 32nd before that.  Cabrera Bello has three straight missed cuts.


    Graeme McDowell ov Kevin Na

    I don’t know why the books don’t respect McDowell, but here’s a mother juicy matchup involving him.  Kevin Na has one tourney under par the last 5.  That was only a 39th place finish.  The other tournaments he was +7, +4, +4, +4.  McDowell has one tourney over par all year.  He missed the cut at the Puerto Rico, besides that he’s got 6 of his 7 tourneys with top 30 finishes.  McDowell in much better form than Na.  And McDowell is plus money.


    JT Poston ov Kevin Streellman

    It’s juicy at -140, but it’s time I put my money behind JT Poston.  He’s a good golfer, and he hasn’t missed a cut since January.  6 of his last 7 tournaments have been top 32 finishes.  Streelman has a missed cut, a 53rd, a 49th, and a 70th his last 4 tourneys.  And 4 out of the last 5 tourneys they’ve played together in, Poston has finished ahead of Streelman.  And the tourney that Streelman finished ahead of Poston, Streelman only finished ahead by a stroke.


    The line on this play was at -150 to start…it’s down to -125…I’m making a small play on it.


    Jon Rahm ov Adam Scott


    Jon Rahm had a triple bogey on the last hole at the Masters.  If he pars that hole, he finishes top 10.  That would give him 5 straight top 10 finishes in tournaments.  Adam Scott has been inconsistent this year, hasn’t had his putter going…I just like Jon Rahm here.

     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 3:14 PM ET #2

    Kevin Tway ov Rafa Cabrera Bello

    Tway is my "sleeper" long shot "to win" bet this week @ 100-1

    that god damn Rahm triple on #18 at the Masters KILLED a vs Day tourney match play for me and pretty much RUINED my tourney

    any thoughts on Dustin ??? first tourney he is playing after the Masters WD with the injured back. IS he 100% ??? will he be "rusty" ??? I can get Rahm +180 over Dustin Johnson tourney match play
    Reply
    Kevin Tway ov Rafa Cabrera Bello

    Tway is my "sleeper" long shot "to win" bet this week @ 100-1

    that god damn Rahm triple on #18 at the Masters KILLED a vs Day tourney match play for me and pretty much RUINED my tourney

    any thoughts on Dustin ??? first tourney he is playing after the Masters WD with the injured back. IS he 100% ??? will he be "rusty" ??? I can get Rahm +180 over Dustin Johnson tourney match play
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 3:42 PM ET #3

    I'm staying away from everything DJ this week.  No clue what to expect from him.
    Reply
    I'm staying away from everything DJ this week.  No clue what to expect from him.
     
    RBTrojan
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 4:15 PM ET #4

    Andy where do you go for your opening line info on these match ups?

    I agree with your Cink and Poston plays. I'm laying off the Cink play due to possibly getting a bad draw with the weather forecast. But the play on paper makes complete sense. Already locked in Poston -135....

    Good luck this week!
    Reply
    Andy where do you go for your opening line info on these match ups?

    I agree with your Cink and Poston plays. I'm laying off the Cink play due to possibly getting a bad draw with the weather forecast. But the play on paper makes complete sense. Already locked in Poston -135....

    Good luck this week!
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 4:50 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by RBTrojan:

    Andy where do you go for your opening line info on these match ups?

    I agree with your Cink and Poston plays. I'm laying off the Cink play due to possibly getting a bad draw with the weather forecast. But the play on paper makes complete sense. Already locked in Poston -135....

    Good luck this week!

    5dimes usually is first to come out with them.  Then the other books follow.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by RBTrojan:

    Andy where do you go for your opening line info on these match ups?

    I agree with your Cink and Poston plays. I'm laying off the Cink play due to possibly getting a bad draw with the weather forecast. But the play on paper makes complete sense. Already locked in Poston -135....

    Good luck this week!

    5dimes usually is first to come out with them.  Then the other books follow.
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 5:26 PM ET #6

    WOW!!! you were correct about Rafa AND "Fat Pat". BOTH "Mr Missed Cut" their last three tourneys. chanced Wesley Bryan -110 over Patrick Reed AND Kevin Tway -110 over Rafael Cabrera-Bello

    ended up taking a small John Rahm +180 over Dustin Johnson just on "value"
    Reply
    WOW!!! you were correct about Rafa AND "Fat Pat". BOTH "Mr Missed Cut" their last three tourneys. chanced Wesley Bryan -110 over Patrick Reed AND Kevin Tway -110 over Rafael Cabrera-Bello

    ended up taking a small John Rahm +180 over Dustin Johnson just on "value"
     
    Jlittles
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 8:14 PM ET #7

    R1 picks out yet?
    Reply
    R1 picks out yet?
     
    tooez
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 8:39 PM ET #8

    Love the Bryan over Reed pick.

    A lot of people are salivating over Kisner and I don't buy it. He has to be drained from the stop/start play on Sunday then having to stay another night just to lose in a playoff on Monday. That also takes away an extra day to see Eagle Point. I think he's a good matchups fade this week.

     BOL
    Reply
    Love the Bryan over Reed pick.

    A lot of people are salivating over Kisner and I don't buy it. He has to be drained from the stop/start play on Sunday then having to stay another night just to lose in a playoff on Monday. That also takes away an extra day to see Eagle Point. I think he's a good matchups fade this week.

     BOL
     
    sacker17
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 8:54 PM ET #9

    Nice card. I didn't have time to research too much this week and of note is that the Wells Fargo tourney this year is being moved to a different venue because the PGA is being played at the venue the Wells Fargo is usually at so u can throw out past years finishes. 

    I had played some of your picks 
    I was also looking at Kisner v Phil. Kisner is sharp right now. Just worried that maybe Kisner had a long week in New Orleans. A few of those guys withdrew from this event already such as Cameron Smith Louis O and another 1 or 2 I can't recall. 
    Also of note is that Webb Simpson (a North Carolina guy) interviewed and said he is very comfortable at this course and has played it at least 150 times!  Course familiarity could be very helpful and he did play well recently. I'm betting Webb -105 v Berger. Any thoughts there?
    Reply
    Nice card. I didn't have time to research too much this week and of note is that the Wells Fargo tourney this year is being moved to a different venue because the PGA is being played at the venue the Wells Fargo is usually at so u can throw out past years finishes. 

    I had played some of your picks 
    I was also looking at Kisner v Phil. Kisner is sharp right now. Just worried that maybe Kisner had a long week in New Orleans. A few of those guys withdrew from this event already such as Cameron Smith Louis O and another 1 or 2 I can't recall. 
    Also of note is that Webb Simpson (a North Carolina guy) interviewed and said he is very comfortable at this course and has played it at least 150 times!  Course familiarity could be very helpful and he did play well recently. I'm betting Webb -105 v Berger. Any thoughts there?
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 9:07 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:

    Nice card. I didn't have time to research too much this week and of note is that the Wells Fargo tourney this year is being moved to a different venue because the PGA is being played at the venue the Wells Fargo is usually at so u can throw out past years finishes. 

    I had played some of your picks 
    I was also looking at Kisner v Phil. Kisner is sharp right now. Just worried that maybe Kisner had a long week in New Orleans. A few of those guys withdrew from this event already such as Cameron Smith Louis O and another 1 or 2 I can't recall. 
    Also of note is that Webb Simpson (a North Carolina guy) interviewed and said he is very comfortable at this course and has played it at least 150 times!  Course familiarity could be very helpful and he did play well recently. I'm betting Webb -105 v Berger. Any thoughts there?

    Webb actually a member at this course.  Bill Haas is from this area and knows the course well.  I don't put too much into those things though.  Webb has been inconsistent so I'm staying away.  Hope it hits though!!!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:

    Nice card. I didn't have time to research too much this week and of note is that the Wells Fargo tourney this year is being moved to a different venue because the PGA is being played at the venue the Wells Fargo is usually at so u can throw out past years finishes. 

    I had played some of your picks 
    I was also looking at Kisner v Phil. Kisner is sharp right now. Just worried that maybe Kisner had a long week in New Orleans. A few of those guys withdrew from this event already such as Cameron Smith Louis O and another 1 or 2 I can't recall. 
    Also of note is that Webb Simpson (a North Carolina guy) interviewed and said he is very comfortable at this course and has played it at least 150 times!  Course familiarity could be very helpful and he did play well recently. I'm betting Webb -105 v Berger. Any thoughts there?

    Webb actually a member at this course.  Bill Haas is from this area and knows the course well.  I don't put too much into those things though.  Webb has been inconsistent so I'm staying away.  Hope it hits though!!!
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 9:18 PM ET #11

    Definitely playing

    Brian Gaay ov David Lingmerth 1st round.

    Lingmerth doesn't have a first round under 71 in his last 4 tourneys.  Gaay has rounds of 68 in 3 of his last 4 tourneys.


    Reply
    Definitely playing

    Brian Gaay ov David Lingmerth 1st round.

    Lingmerth doesn't have a first round under 71 in his last 4 tourneys.  Gaay has rounds of 68 in 3 of his last 4 tourneys.


     
    PuttForeDough
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 9:25 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:

    Nice card. I didn't have time to research too much this week and of note is that the Wells Fargo tourney this year is being moved to a different venue because the PGA is being played at the venue the Wells Fargo is usually at so u can throw out past years finishes. I had played some of your picks I was also looking at Kisner v Phil. Kisner is sharp right now. Just worried that maybe Kisner had a long week in New Orleans. A few of those guys withdrew from this event already such as Cameron Smith Louis O and another 1 or 2 I can't recall. Also of note is that Webb Simpson (a North Carolina guy) interviewed and said he is very comfortable at this course and has played it at least 150 times!  Course familiarity could be very helpful and he did play well recently. I'm betting Webb -105 v Berger. Any thoughts there?


    Good stuff.
    Messing with you here, but Carl Petterson has the course record and has played the course the same amount of times, yet we don't want to bet on him right?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:

    Nice card. I didn't have time to research too much this week and of note is that the Wells Fargo tourney this year is being moved to a different venue because the PGA is being played at the venue the Wells Fargo is usually at so u can throw out past years finishes. I had played some of your picks I was also looking at Kisner v Phil. Kisner is sharp right now. Just worried that maybe Kisner had a long week in New Orleans. A few of those guys withdrew from this event already such as Cameron Smith Louis O and another 1 or 2 I can't recall. Also of note is that Webb Simpson (a North Carolina guy) interviewed and said he is very comfortable at this course and has played it at least 150 times!  Course familiarity could be very helpful and he did play well recently. I'm betting Webb -105 v Berger. Any thoughts there?


    Good stuff.
    Messing with you here, but Carl Petterson has the course record and has played the course the same amount of times, yet we don't want to bet on him right?
     
    Jlittles
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 10:05 PM ET #13

    thoughts on nick taylor over  noren? R1
    Reply
    thoughts on nick taylor over  noren? R1
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 10:51 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by Jlittles:

    thoughts on nick taylor over  noren? R1

    I looked at it, and researched it, but couldn't come up with enough to pull the trigger.  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Jlittles:

    thoughts on nick taylor over  noren? R1

    I looked at it, and researched it, but couldn't come up with enough to pull the trigger.  
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: May. 3, 2017 - 10:53 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by PuttForeDough:



    Good stuff.
    Messing with you here, but Carl Petterson has the course record and has played the course the same amount of times, yet we don't want to bet on him right?

    Five missed cuts out of the last 6 tourneys.  I don't even see a matchup with him in it.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by PuttForeDough:



    Good stuff.
    Messing with you here, but Carl Petterson has the course record and has played the course the same amount of times, yet we don't want to bet on him right?

    Five missed cuts out of the last 6 tourneys.  I don't even see a matchup with him in it.
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: May. 4, 2017 - 12:00 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:


    Five missed cuts out of the last 6 tourneys.  I don't even see a matchup with him in it.


    Pettersson "blowing up" early with a [+7] 1st round. was a "field hand" this week
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:


    Five missed cuts out of the last 6 tourneys.  I don't even see a matchup with him in it.


    Pettersson "blowing up" early with a [+7] 1st round. was a "field hand" this week
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: May. 4, 2017 - 6:45 PM ET #17

    I HATE Wesley Bryan!!! every time I do NOT BET on him he looks like Tiger Woods in his prime. when I DO, he blows up!!! just one round BUT it looks like Rafa and "Fat Pat" have decided to PLAY GOLF this week

    btw, the ONE tourney I decide NOT to play Alex Noren because his 60-1 looked like "low odds" the way he has played recently, he is tied for 4th [-5] after the 1st round one behind the leaders
    Reply
    I HATE Wesley Bryan!!! every time I do NOT BET on him he looks like Tiger Woods in his prime. when I DO, he blows up!!! just one round BUT it looks like Rafa and "Fat Pat" have decided to PLAY GOLF this week

    btw, the ONE tourney I decide NOT to play Alex Noren because his 60-1 looked like "low odds" the way he has played recently, he is tied for 4th [-5] after the 1st round one behind the leaders
     
    Jlittles
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    Posted: May. 4, 2017 - 8:01 PM ET #18

    haha. LeRinkRat. I feel you. I have Wesley to win it. Hopefully he at least makes the cut and finishes strong. 

    had Noren as a lean but got scared off by his most recent performances. 

    happy ov Lingmerth paid tho. great pick alan! 

    waiting on lines for round 2 now. 


    Reply
    haha. LeRinkRat. I feel you. I have Wesley to win it. Hopefully he at least makes the cut and finishes strong. 

    had Noren as a lean but got scared off by his most recent performances. 

    happy ov Lingmerth paid tho. great pick alan! 

    waiting on lines for round 2 now. 


     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: May. 4, 2017 - 9:51 PM ET #19

    Dustin Johnson -1/2 ov Bill Haas 2nd round

    It's juicy at -150, but Dustin has a nice track record of big 2nd rounds.  Last two tourneys he's played in, he shot 66 in both the second rounds.  Last three tourneys, Haas has shot 76, 72, 72 in the second round.
    Reply
    Dustin Johnson -1/2 ov Bill Haas 2nd round

    It's juicy at -150, but Dustin has a nice track record of big 2nd rounds.  Last two tourneys he's played in, he shot 66 in both the second rounds.  Last three tourneys, Haas has shot 76, 72, 72 in the second round.
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: May. 4, 2017 - 9:53 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

    I HATE Wesley Bryan!!! every time I do NOT BET on him he looks like Tiger Woods in his prime. when I DO, he blows up!!! just one round BUT it looks like Rafa and "Fat Pat" have decided to PLAY GOLF this week

    btw, the ONE tourney I decide NOT to play Alex Noren because his 60-1 looked like "low odds" the way he has played recently, he is tied for 4th [-5] after the 1st round one behind the leaders

    Lol...LeRink you crack me up.  Your rants about your bets are one of the highlights of my week.  Love ya brotha  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

    I HATE Wesley Bryan!!! every time I do NOT BET on him he looks like Tiger Woods in his prime. when I DO, he blows up!!! just one round BUT it looks like Rafa and "Fat Pat" have decided to PLAY GOLF this week

    btw, the ONE tourney I decide NOT to play Alex Noren because his 60-1 looked like "low odds" the way he has played recently, he is tied for 4th [-5] after the 1st round one behind the leaders

    Lol...LeRink you crack me up.  Your rants about your bets are one of the highlights of my week.  Love ya brotha  
     
    Jlittles
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    Posted: May. 4, 2017 - 10:20 PM ET #21

    damn. i have it at -170... 

    any others? 
    Reply
    damn. i have it at -170... 

    any others? 
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: May. 4, 2017 - 10:28 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by Jlittles:

    damn. i have it at -170... 

    any others? 

    Even with the half stroke?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Jlittles:

    damn. i have it at -170... 

    any others? 

    Even with the half stroke?
     
    Jlittles
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    Posted: May. 4, 2017 - 10:34 PM ET #23

    yeah
    Reply
    yeah
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: May. 4, 2017 - 10:43 PM ET #24

    Boo Weekly ov Geoff Ogilvy 2nd round

    Fading Ogilvy has been a money maker recently, so I'll do it here.  Ogilvy with no birdies today.  None.  Shot +5.  Before the Zurich, he had 3 straight 2nd rounds at 74...before that a 79, 72, and 73.  Boo has a couple rounds under 70 in the second round...not great, but he had 3 birdies and 3 bogeys today, so he's at least got some upside.  Weekly is in a position to play good to try and make the cut...not sure what Ogilvy's motivation to play good is tomorrow.
    Reply
    Boo Weekly ov Geoff Ogilvy 2nd round

    Fading Ogilvy has been a money maker recently, so I'll do it here.  Ogilvy with no birdies today.  None.  Shot +5.  Before the Zurich, he had 3 straight 2nd rounds at 74...before that a 79, 72, and 73.  Boo has a couple rounds under 70 in the second round...not great, but he had 3 birdies and 3 bogeys today, so he's at least got some upside.  Weekly is in a position to play good to try and make the cut...not sure what Ogilvy's motivation to play good is tomorrow.
     
     
    Jlittles
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    Posted: May. 4, 2017 - 11:23 PM ET #25

    I like the Weekly play. Also at Zurich it looks like Poulter carried the team during the four-ball rounds. 
    Reply
    I like the Weekly play. Also at Zurich it looks like Poulter carried the team during the four-ball rounds. 
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