Posted:
#1
Ok I dont know much about Golf. casually catching it on TV here and here waiting for other stuff. However. I like looking at Line Movement and comparing line at different bookie to find value or miss line.
I noticed some strange stuff between 2-ball and 3-ball line in golf betting. Here it is. Tell me what you think about it...
EX: 3-Ball line for a tee start in the upcoming round 2 of the PGA Champs
Book A: Pieters +125 / Schauffele +130 / Pamplings +360
Book B: Pieters +125 / Schauffele +145 / Pamplings +355
Book C isnt offering 3-Ball line. However, he offer 2-Ball line between most 2 player combinaison starting on the same tee time. (EX: Pieters vs Pamplings, Shauffele vs Pamplings etc...)
Book C offer: Pieters +105 / Schauffele -115
So now I look at the 3-Ball line offer from Book A and B and it tells me both Pieters and Schauffele have the same chance of finishing with the best score in that 2nd round with a slight advantage for Pieters (+125 vs +135/+145).
So There is value at Book C betting Pieters +105. Since line at Book A and B told us he will finish with a better score than Schauffele slightly over 50% of the time. The value is there at Book C.
I found 4 of them for the round 2 of the PGA Championship. Let me know if there is something I'm missing here. A rule or something I Might have overlook. Of course it could be that Book C is right and both Book A and B are wrong. I guess the more Book you can use to compare the 3 Ball-Line the better you can be sure of the +EV pick on Book C
