Valero Picks

Charley Hoffman ov Matt Kuchar

I stared at this matchup for a while, and I wanted to make sure I wasn’t betting against Kuchar just because he made me lose a bet last week to Dustin Johnson, but the numbers point to Hoffman, and Hoffman is the underdog.  This will be Kuchar’s 5th tournament in a row…that’s a lot of golf, I gotta wonder if fatigue is going to set in.  But besides that in the last couple tournaments Hoffman has finished ahead or tied with Kuchar.  And Hoffman loves this tournament!  He’s played here 12 years in a row, and has 10 finishes inside the top 13 including a win in 2016.  Kuchar has only finished ahead of Hoffman at this tournament one time, and that was back in 2014.

Kevin Streelman ov Russell Knox

Streelman has finished ahead of Knox in the last 6 tournaments they’ve played in in 2018, and Streelman has never missed the cut at this tournament.  Knox hasn’t played here in 2 years, the last time he did play here he missed the cut, and he hasn’t finished better than 26th here.  Knox just has not been having a good year his only good finish was a 15th at the Pro Am, and a 16th at the Valspar.  Nothing inside the top 40 in the last 3 weeks and only has one round under 70 in his last 11 rounds.  Streelman no missed cuts in 2018, and only has one missed cut since May of 2017.

Stewart Cink ov Sean O’Hair

Stewart Cink is steady this year, he’s only missed the cut at two tournaments and that was the weird Farmers Insurance Open and the Pro-Am.  Other than that he’s made the cut every time including 4 in a row.  Sean O’Hair has been all over the board, but mostly bad.  He did good at the Valspar and the Arnold Palmer, and other than that he’s got nothing inside the top 50.  O’Hair has played here 3 times, missed the cut the last 2 times he played here, 58th the other time.  Stewart Cink never missed the cut here including a 22nd last year.  

Abraham Ancer ov John Huh

Abraham Ancer is the underdog here, but he’s the golfer with the most momentum right now in this matchup.  In fact, Ancer finished 8th at the Houston Open, 13th at the Puntacana, and 16th at the Valspar.  John Huh played in the Houston Open, and the Valspar, but Ancer finished ahead of him.  Huh has played here 6 times, Ancer only once, but when they played together Ancer finished ahead of Huh.  I think Ancer is on a roll, and has good value as the underdog here.

GL on the plays. As I've said before, I always like stopping by.

Abraham Ancer +115 over John Huh. tailing for the reasons you stated, Andy

playing my "Euro Trash" this week

Julian Suri +105 over Kevin Na -125
Shubhankar Sharma +125 over Austin Cook
Dylan Frittelli -105 over Jason Kokrak

also Matt Kuchar even over Sergio Garcia. do NOT know what is wrong with Sergio BUT his CUT at the Masters was pathetic

GOOD LUCK

checked the AccuWeather weekend forecast for San Antonio. must be a front move thru Saturday. good weather Thursday, Friday and Sunday BUT rain with a chance of a thunderstorm Saturday

I should have waited a day for my "euro trash" match plays. some big moves @ South Point. I think just makes them a better value

Abraham Ancer +115 to +140 over John Huh
Shubhankar Sharma +125 to +145 vs Austin Cook
Julian Suri +105 to +130 over Kevin Na
Dylan Frittelli still same -105 over Jason Kokrak

GOOD start for the Mexican kid Abraham Ancer [-2] to [+3] for "Who ???"

Dylan Frittelli [even] over the "Coat Rack" [+2]

Julian Suri looked like he was headed for a WRECK his front nine [+5] BUT came back with a 4 birdie 1 bogie back for [+2] over "you betting Kevin? NAH" [+5]

my pet Indian Shubhankar Sharma could NOT perform yet AGAIN this week [+4] vs Cook [-2]. "Shubby" better get his butt back to Europe before he loses all confidence. I guess playing in America just NOT his cup of tea

AND "Kooch" [-1] over Sergio [+2] looking good BUT could still go either way Saturday

well three CUT wins vs one loss end of 2nd round WORKS for ME. gonna kind of make up for my crappy Euro Tour week

Abraham Ancer [+1/-1] over John Huh [+1/+4] CUT WIN
Julian Suri [-1/+1] vs Kevin Na [-2/+3] CUT WIN
Matt Kuchar  [even/-1] over Sergio Garcia [even/+2] CUT WIN
Shubhankar Sharma [even/+4] CUT over Austin Cook [+2/even] lose
Dylan Frittelli [-1/-1] over Jason Kokrak [-2/even] in play

Too funny, Kevin Na.  I'm sure he's still got nightmares.

 

Well...comes down to Hoffman to beat Kuchar tomorrow for a 3-1 week.

I need Dylan Frittelli 3rd round [-4] for tourney [-5] over Jason Kokrak [-3] for [-3] to hang on Sunday to go 4-1 and SAVE my BUTT from a disastrous Trophee Hassan tourney in Morocco

sweating a pre-tourney 125-1 "to win" bet on Trey Mullinax [-10] Saturday for tourney [-12] one behind Zack Johnson and Andrew Landry

BIG win for Andrew Landry final round [-4] for tourney [-17] two shots better than Trey Mullinax and Sean O'Hair. makes up for his playoff loss vs Jon Rahm earlier in the year @ La Quinta. glad I HEDGED with him (and some others) after the 2nd round @ 10-1. pretty much "get my bait back" from other "to win" bets. would have REALLY liked Trey Mullinax @ 125-1 this week

better than average (for me) 4-1 in match plays this week with Matt Kuchar, Julian Suri, Abrsham Ancer and Dylan Frittelli WINS vs a Shubhankar Sharma loss. SAVES my weekend after a WRECK in Morocco

on to New Orleans for the the Zurich Classic two man team tourney next week. last years winners Jonas Blixt & Cameron Smith in a playoff over Scott Brown & Kevin Kisner