Pinehurst no. 2… An incredibly tough golf course which will test a players off the tee game, long iron approach, as well as creativity around the greens. The ideal player should be able to stay in the fairway at a high rate, excel from 175+ yards on approach, and avoid disaster when missing approach shots where double bogies or more are lurking on a consistent basis on and around the greens. Typically on US Open venues distance off the tee is a must, Pinehurst may be a little different in that regard as I think the winner here will be playing out of fairways. This isn’t due to thick rough like we’re used to seeing however, but pesky native areas that will result in a plethora of bad lies.
To be honest, I’m not sure you could come up with a setup that allows Scottie scheffler to separate himself from the field as well as this one. He is certainly the most likely to win this event, hence the +350 odds. But in my opinion the best value on the board is Collin Morikawa. Ranking 2nd on tour in driving accuracy, 6th on tour on approach from 175-200 yds, and has been significantly improved around the greens where he is ranked 15th sg: ARG. He’s coming off back to back 4th place finishes and currently sitting t-11 at the memorial. Also finished 3rd at Augusta earlier this season on a course that I believe has some similarities to pinehurst. It’s a matter of time he gets another major and I think this is a great opportunity for him to do so. Got some other leans too, will add in the next couple days.
Collin Morikawa (21-1) 1.5u
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Pinehurst no. 2… An incredibly tough golf course which will test a players off the tee game, long iron approach, as well as creativity around the greens. The ideal player should be able to stay in the fairway at a high rate, excel from 175+ yards on approach, and avoid disaster when missing approach shots where double bogies or more are lurking on a consistent basis on and around the greens. Typically on US Open venues distance off the tee is a must, Pinehurst may be a little different in that regard as I think the winner here will be playing out of fairways. This isn’t due to thick rough like we’re used to seeing however, but pesky native areas that will result in a plethora of bad lies.
To be honest, I’m not sure you could come up with a setup that allows Scottie scheffler to separate himself from the field as well as this one. He is certainly the most likely to win this event, hence the +350 odds. But in my opinion the best value on the board is Collin Morikawa. Ranking 2nd on tour in driving accuracy, 6th on tour on approach from 175-200 yds, and has been significantly improved around the greens where he is ranked 15th sg: ARG. He’s coming off back to back 4th place finishes and currently sitting t-11 at the memorial. Also finished 3rd at Augusta earlier this season on a course that I believe has some similarities to pinehurst. It’s a matter of time he gets another major and I think this is a great opportunity for him to do so. Got some other leans too, will add in the next couple days.
Scheffler on a different level than these guys. When we get on these tough venues the smallest of mistakes have immense consequences, and scheffler is without a doubt the best at minimizing these mistakes. Makes it a lot easier for him to separate compared to your typical pga tour venue. I do think morikawa is close right now, and feel pretty good about having a 21-1 ticket on him, but it’s still likely scheffler gets it done next week at pinehurst. It’s just betting pga tour players at 3-1 is against my religion lol. Definitely a hand full of guys that I think can play well at pinehurst, but probably won’t win. Will have less exposure to the outright market and more on finishing positions. Be back tommorow!
Scheffler on a different level than these guys. When we get on these tough venues the smallest of mistakes have immense consequences, and scheffler is without a doubt the best at minimizing these mistakes. Makes it a lot easier for him to separate compared to your typical pga tour venue. I do think morikawa is close right now, and feel pretty good about having a 21-1 ticket on him, but it’s still likely scheffler gets it done next week at pinehurst. It’s just betting pga tour players at 3-1 is against my religion lol. Definitely a hand full of guys that I think can play well at pinehurst, but probably won’t win. Will have less exposure to the outright market and more on finishing positions. Be back tommorow!
Brooks koepka leading the liv golf tournament in Houston last week in driving accuracy was exactly the sign i wanted to see that his game his ready for this test at Pinehurst. We all know about his success at majors over the years, but a lot of it has been done on courses that show similarities to this one. He won the US Open back in 2018 at shinnecock, has 4 top 11's at augusta, and also placed 4th at pinehurst back in the 2014 US Open. The tougher the golf course the more live he becomes. He hasn't performed to expectations in majors this season, but it feels like he is flying a bit under the radar this time around and i will gladly hop on here as i think this is the best course fit for him of all the majors this season. There is only about 4-5 guys that have a realistic chance of competing with scheffler on this golf course imo and Brooks is certainly one of him. Ill take a shot on him to complete my outright card this week. A couple more finishing positions i'm eyeing will add.
Brooks Koepka (22-1) 1.5u
Brooks koepka leading the liv golf tournament in Houston last week in driving accuracy was exactly the sign i wanted to see that his game his ready for this test at Pinehurst. We all know about his success at majors over the years, but a lot of it has been done on courses that show similarities to this one. He won the US Open back in 2018 at shinnecock, has 4 top 11's at augusta, and also placed 4th at pinehurst back in the 2014 US Open. The tougher the golf course the more live he becomes. He hasn't performed to expectations in majors this season, but it feels like he is flying a bit under the radar this time around and i will gladly hop on here as i think this is the best course fit for him of all the majors this season. There is only about 4-5 guys that have a realistic chance of competing with scheffler on this golf course imo and Brooks is certainly one of him. Ill take a shot on him to complete my outright card this week. A couple more finishing positions i'm eyeing will add.
Pinehurst no. 2… An incredibly tough golf course which will test a players off the tee game, long iron approach, as well as creativity around the greens. The ideal player should be able to stay in the fairway at a high rate, excel from 175+ yards on approach, and avoid disaster when missing approach shots where double bogies or more are lurking on a consistent basis on and around the greens. Typically on US Open venues distance off the tee is a must, Pinehurst may be a little different in that regard as I think the winner here will be playing out of fairways. This isn’t due to thick rough like we’re used to seeing however, but pesky native areas that will result in a plethora of bad lies. To be honest, I’m not sure you could come up with a setup that allows Scottie scheffler to separate himself from the field as well as this one. He is certainly the most likely to win this event, hence the +350 odds. But in my opinion the best value on the board is Collin Morikawa. Ranking 2nd on tour in driving accuracy, 6th on tour on approach from 175-200 yds, and has been significantly improved around the greens where he is ranked 15th sg: ARG. He’s coming off back to back 4th place finishes and currently sitting t-11 at the memorial. Also finished 3rd at Augusta earlier this season on a course that I believe has some similarities to pinehurst. It’s a matter of time he gets another major and I think this is a great opportunity for him to do so. Got some other leans too, will add in the next couple days. Collin Morikawa (21-1) 1.5u
I agree man. I had Colin (and only Colin) winning yesterday. That's how confident I was with him. And guess what, going with him again. That course is the perfect set up and preparation for Pinehurst 2. Let's get that bag.
I guess I could throw something on Scottie. Lol
Quote Originally Posted by Rollz:
Pinehurst no. 2… An incredibly tough golf course which will test a players off the tee game, long iron approach, as well as creativity around the greens. The ideal player should be able to stay in the fairway at a high rate, excel from 175+ yards on approach, and avoid disaster when missing approach shots where double bogies or more are lurking on a consistent basis on and around the greens. Typically on US Open venues distance off the tee is a must, Pinehurst may be a little different in that regard as I think the winner here will be playing out of fairways. This isn’t due to thick rough like we’re used to seeing however, but pesky native areas that will result in a plethora of bad lies. To be honest, I’m not sure you could come up with a setup that allows Scottie scheffler to separate himself from the field as well as this one. He is certainly the most likely to win this event, hence the +350 odds. But in my opinion the best value on the board is Collin Morikawa. Ranking 2nd on tour in driving accuracy, 6th on tour on approach from 175-200 yds, and has been significantly improved around the greens where he is ranked 15th sg: ARG. He’s coming off back to back 4th place finishes and currently sitting t-11 at the memorial. Also finished 3rd at Augusta earlier this season on a course that I believe has some similarities to pinehurst. It’s a matter of time he gets another major and I think this is a great opportunity for him to do so. Got some other leans too, will add in the next couple days. Collin Morikawa (21-1) 1.5u
I agree man. I had Colin (and only Colin) winning yesterday. That's how confident I was with him. And guess what, going with him again. That course is the perfect set up and preparation for Pinehurst 2. Let's get that bag.
Ive been thinking about a small hedge on Scottie. There’s just no value in the number at this point, but that might be a very dumb statement given how likely he is to win lol. I’ll probly just take my chances with finishing positions I think I got a good read on some guys in that regard this week
@Raidernator76
Ive been thinking about a small hedge on Scottie. There’s just no value in the number at this point, but that might be a very dumb statement given how likely he is to win lol. I’ll probly just take my chances with finishing positions I think I got a good read on some guys in that regard this week
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