All Forums | Pro Golf

The Players picks

...
Participants:
Search
Views: 2381
Posts: 32
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #1
Thank you to everyone who subscribes to the podcast, and much appreciated if you would subscribe if you don't already.  We put a lot of work into it, and to be honest, the work that we put into it results in our picks, so much appreciated to everyone.  If you don't subscribe, and you just wait for the picks to be posted.....shame on you, but we still love you and hope we can make you some bucks.  So lets get it.  Massive, massive card this week.  I always get nervous with so many picks, but I like all of these, so here we go....buckle up.


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #2

Dustin Johnson ov Rory Mcilroy 


First, first, first, second.  That’s Dustin’s last 4 finishes.  McIlroy has been good with 3 top 7’s out of the last 4 tournaments…but it ain’t first, first, first, second.  DJ doesn’t have amazing course history here, but I don’t care.  He’s playing the best golf of anyone right now…it’s getting Tiger-in-his-prime-esque.  



REVENGE BET

John Rahm ov Jason Day (love)


Jon Rahm you can argue is the second best golfer right now on the planet.  His last 5 finishes are 4th, 27th, 10th, 2nd, and 3rd.  Jason Day USED to be an elite golfer, but he isn’t playing like one now.  Day has one top 5 finish is 2017.  He’s been dealing with his Mom having cancer, and it’s obviously affected his game.  We lost this exact bet at the Masters when Rahm triple bogeyed his last hole of the tourney causing us to lose this bet by one stroke.  We get our revenge this week.


Rickie Fowler ov Hideki Matsuyama (love)


Before the Zurich, 6 straight tournaments with top 16 finishes, including a win and 3 top 4 finishes.  Fowler is playing better than he’s ever played right now, and he looks mature, and so does his game.  I think he is on the verge of being considered one of the elite golfers on tour, and he’s looks motivated this year (Spring Break 2017 excluded).  Matsuyama since his win at the Waste Management doesn’t have any top 10 finishes in his last 6 tournaments.  In those 6 tournaments, 5 finishes have been outside the top 25.  He’s just not nearly as sharp as Fowler is right now.


Brooks Koepka ov Henrik Stenson (love)


Koepka has been red hot since his session with his coach from Florida State.  Before that, he was fade bait, and missed cut material, but now he’s one of the best on tour over the last two months.  Even paired with his brother Chase Koepka, he finished 5th at the Zurich.  Before that, second, 11th, 9th going back to that meeting with his coach.  Stenson on the other hand?  Still can’t putt. One made cut in the last 6 tournaments.  Unbelievable how bad he’s been.  I see no reason why that should change this week.


Justin Rose ov Henrik Stenson (Love)


Justin Rose has one missed cut this year.  That was at the Zurich classic when he had a partner.  His partner…was Henrik Stenson.


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #3

Graeme Delaet ov Jim Furyk  (love)


Furyk has one tourney under par in 2017.  Let that sink in.  One tourney under par this year.  And that was back in february.  Missed the cut the last 3 tournaments, and just isn’t playing well.  Deleat only has one round over par in 2017, and has looked solid the last two tournaments.  Besides missing the cut at the Arnold Palmer, and Puerto Rico, he has 6 top 25 finishes.  


Graeme McDowell ov Bubba Watson (love)


Here we go again with the books not respecting McDowell, and I’ll happily support him here.  Let’s look at Bubba’s finishes this year, except I’m going to take out the wonky tournaments, such as the Zurich where he and his partner finished 5th, and The match play where he finished 9th.  No finishes inside the top 25, Missed cut at masters, 34th at Arnold palmer, missed cut at valspar, 38th in Mexico, WD at Genesis, and Missed cut at Waste Management.  He’s been struggling this year.  McDowell on the other had, has a missed cut in Puerto Rico (whatever), and then only one finish outside the top 30, and no other missed cuts in 2017.  He’s steady, and consistent, coming off a nice week last week at the Wells Fargo.


Sung Kang ov Luke Donald


Take out the RBC Heritage where Luke randomly plays good every year, and his results have sucked recently.  3 missed cuts out of the last 4 tourneys, and the tourney he did make the cut he finished 69th.  Sung Kang on the other hand has been playing great recently.  Take out the Zurich, he has 3 straight top 11 finishes, 6 out of 7 made cuts, and has been better than Luke in the last 2 tourneys they’ve played in together, minus the RBC.




BONUS PICKS (BOVADA)


Rickie Fowler ov Justin Thomas


Everything I said about Fowler previously applies, and Justin Thomas still doesn’t seem to be in winning form right now.  Three missed cuts last 8 tournaments, take out the Zurich, and he’s got one top 20 finish since Hawaii.


Top Swedish player


Stenson -120

Alex Noren +250

David Lingmerth +500

Jonas Blixt +600


I’m going to play Alex Noren at +250, and Lingmerth at +500.  If you would play both at $100, if Noren wins you would profit $150, and if Lingmerth wins you would profit $400.  Noren only one missed cut in 2017, and that was the Masters, and Lingmerth 2 straight made cuts, including a solid 18th place finish last week at the Wells Fargo.  Like we said about Stenson, who’s the fav

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 13879
Posted: #4
Solid!

All good besides the DJ comment! Easy on that turbo, he still has A LOT to prove before his name is mixed in with Eldrick! He needs an 8-10 year run of this type of golf and a bunch more Majors to be mentioned with the GOAT!

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2014
Posts: 1595
Posted: #5
Wow!
Just lost long write-up when my computer acted up.
Just gonna say I like your picks.  Especially going against Stenson.
I can't bet Delaet because he is a stiff who doesn't finish.  Plus his history here is crap.
2016 MC +3
2015 T56 Even
2014 MC +2
And Furyk hstory here is pretty good.  Made cut all of last 3 years with a 2nd place in 2014.  I'm gonna go against Furyk round 1 though.  See below

Took all 3 matchups against Stenson
Koepka +115
Rose -120
Thomas + 115
Stenson history here is mediocre and he is playing much worse now than in previous years.
Stenson last 3 years here
2016 MC +6
2015 T17 -6
2014 T34 -3

Like the way Fowler is playing and same with Rahm so went with them.  My Fowler Day was -135 which i felt was too high so I bet Fowler Round 1 only v Day -120.

Bet DJ against Rory and against Spieth but DJ hx here is lousy so not sure that was a smart move.
DJ
2016 T28 -3
2015 T69 +3
2014 T59 Even\
But he is lights out right now. 

Added a few which if you have a thought on please comment
Horschel v Furyk (Even) Round 1 only
Horschel is a Florida guy who seems to play well here
As you indicate, Furyk not playing well
2016 T28 -3
2015 T13 -7
2014 T26 -4

Berger -125 v Leishman.
Berger another young Florida guy who was T9 at -8 last year here.

Zach Johnson -135 v McGirt
Zach playing a little better and McGirt has MC last 2 events with an awful history here
2016 T43 at Even
2015 MC +4
2014 MC +9
Zach history here is pretty decent.  Made cut last 3 years
2016 T54 +2
2015  T13 -7
2014 T26 -4

Thanks for posting Andy and look forward to your thoughts on the last few I mentioned.






 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2014
Posts: 1595
Posted: #6
Wow!
Just lost long write-up when my computer acted up.
Just gonna say I like your picks.  Especially going against Stenson.
I can't bet Delaet because he is a stiff who doesn't finish.  Plus his history here is crap.
2016 MC +3
2015 T56 Even
2014 MC +2
And Furyk hstory here is pretty good.  Made cut all of last 3 years with a 2nd place in 2014.  I'm gonna go against Furyk round 1 though.  See below

Took all 3 matchups against Stenson
Koepka +115
Rose -120
Thomas + 115
Stenson history here is mediocre and he is playing much worse now than in previous years.
Stenson last 3 years here
2016 MC +6
2015 T17 -6
2014 T34 -3

Like the way Fowler is playing and same with Rahm so went with them.  My Fowler Day was -135 which i felt was too high so I bet Fowler Round 1 only v Day -120.

Bet DJ against Rory and against Spieth but DJ hx here is lousy so not sure that was a smart move.
DJ
2016 T28 -3
2015 T69 +3
2014 T59 Even\
But he is lights out right now. 

Added a few which if you have a thought on please comment
Horschel v Furyk (Even) Round 1 only
Horschel is a Florida guy who seems to play well here
As you indicate, Furyk not playing well
2016 T28 -3
2015 T13 -7
2014 T26 -4

Berger -125 v Leishman.
Berger another young Florida guy who was T9 at -8 last year here.

Zach Johnson -135 v McGirt
Zach playing a little better and McGirt has MC last 2 events with an awful history here
2016 T43 at Even
2015 MC +4
2014 MC +9
Zach history here is pretty decent.  Made cut last 3 years
2016 T54 +2
2015  T13 -7
2014 T26 -4

Thanks for posting Andy and look forward to your thoughts on the last few I mentioned.






 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2014
Posts: 1595
Posted: #7
Sorry my computer is acting up.
Posted 2x!


Forgot 1 other matchup I'm on
Molinari -155 v Phil
Phil has MC here 4 years in a row!
Molinari has 2 top 7s the past 2 times he played here
2016 T7 -9
2015 didn't play
2014 T6 -9
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 5
Posted: #8
Picks look great Andy, can't wait to tail!! Been following and subscribing for a while. Best of luck this week
 
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2001
Posts: 85256
Posted: #9

Top Swedish player


Stenson -120

Alex Noren +250

David Lingmerth +500

Jonas Blixt +600


I’m going to play Alex Noren at +250, and Lingmerth at +500.  If you would play both at $100, if Noren wins you would profit $150, and if Lingmerth wins you would profit $400.  Noren only one missed cut in 2017, and that was the Masters, and Lingmerth 2 straight made cuts, including a solid 18th place finish last week at the Wells Fargo.  Like we said about Stenson, who’s the fav


the way Alex "blew up" the final round last week at Wilmington with a [+5] 77 to drop all the way to tied 31st after being tied for 2nd thru three rounds was VERY unlike him and makes me wonder IF he has an injury or some other problem. maybe he will bounce back this week BUT he really has NOT played that well in PGA events and definitely is NOT dominating like he has on the Euro Tour

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 35351
Posted: #10
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

Solid!All good besides the DJ comment! Easy on that turbo, he still has A LOT to prove before his name is mixed in with Eldrick! He needs an 8-10 year run of this type of golf and a bunch more Majors to be mentioned with the GOAT!


I'm glad someone called me out on that. Much respect for that, cause I was expecting it, and you were the only one to call BS.

All I meant was, he's driving the ball better than anyone, and his short game is now top knotch. Reminds me of Tigers run. Hes got a ways to go to get into that ball park, but I think he's got a chance. Of all the elite guys, he's got the ability to tear courses to shreds and intimidate other golfers with his length.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:

Wow!Just lost long write-up when my computer acted up.Just gonna say I like your picks.  Especially going against Stenson.I can't bet Delaet because he is a stiff who doesn't finish.  Plus his history here is crap.2016 MC +32015 T56 Even2014 MC +2And Furyk hstory here is pretty good.  Made cut all of last 3 years with a 2nd place in 2014.  I'm gonna go against Furyk round 1 though.  See belowTook all 3 matchups against StensonKoepka +115Rose -120Thomas + 115Stenson history here is mediocre and he is playing much worse now than in previous years.Stenson last 3 years here 2016 MC +62015 T17 -62014 T34 -3Like the way Fowler is playing and same with Rahm so went with them.  My Fowler Day was -135 which i felt was too high so I bet Fowler Round 1 only v Day -120.Bet DJ against Rory and against Spieth but DJ hx here is lousy so not sure that was a smart move.DJ 2016 T28 -32015 T69 +32014 T59 Even\But he is lights out right now.  Added a few which if you have a thought on please commentHorschel v Furyk (Even) Round 1 onlyHorschel is a Florida guy who seems to play well hereAs you indicate, Furyk not playing well2016 T28 -32015 T13 -72014 T26 -4Berger -125 v Leishman.Berger another young Florida guy who was T9 at -8 last year here.Zach Johnson -135 v McGirtZach playing a little better and McGirt has MC last 2 events with an awful history here2016 T43 at Even2015 MC +42014 MC +9Zach history here is pretty decent.  Made cut last 3 years2016 T54 +22015  T13 -72014 T26 -4Thanks for posting Andy and look forward to your thoughts on the last few I mentioned.

Just being honest cause I love you...

Why are you scared to bet against Furyk with Delaet, but anxious to bet against him with Horschel. Billy has been way worse this year...

I'm staying away from bets with Berger and McGirt...too much inconsistency for me.

And as much as I'd love to support my BF (Molinari), I just can't do it over Phil. I applaud your courage...I just can't pull the trigger.

I'll text you tonight brother :)
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by johara88:

Picks look great Andy, can't wait to tail!! Been following and subscribing for a while. Best of luck this week


Thank you man. Much appreciated. Seriously. Let hope we get another good week going.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

Top Swedish player

Stenson -120
Alex Noren +250
David Lingmerth +500
Jonas Blixt +600

I’m
going to play Alex Noren at +250, and Lingmerth at +500.  If you would
play both at $100, if Noren wins you would profit $150, and if Lingmerth
wins you would profit $400.  Noren only one missed cut in 2017, and
that was the Masters, and Lingmerth 2 straight made cuts, including a
solid 18th place finish last week at the Wells Fargo.  Like we said
about Stenson, who’s the favthe way Alex "blew up" the final round last week at Wilmington with a [+5] 77 to drop all the way to tied 31st after being tied for 2nd thru three rounds was VERY unlike him and makes me wonder IF he has an injury or some other problem. maybe he will bounce back this week BUT he really has NOT played that well in PGA events and definitely is NOT dominating like he has on the Euro Tour


It's more of a fade of Stenson...not saying Noren
Or Lingmerth will win. I just think they can make the cut.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 332
Posted: #15
Looks really good Andy! So far I've come up with:

Hatton -105 over Schwartzel- really like Hatton as a player and not a big Charl fan
Kisner +140 over Casey- Kisner playing really well of late and really like the odds here
Delaet+110 over Furyk- fading Furyk like you mentioned
Na -130 over JB- I don't think this course suits JB well

Really disappointed my favorite play this week was Howell III over Laird but he withdrew. Best of luck this week!
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 13879
Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:



I'm glad someone called me out on that. Much respect for that, cause I was expecting it, and you were the only one to call BS.

All I meant was, he's driving the ball better than anyone, and his short game is now top knotch. Reminds me of Tigers run. Hes got a ways to go to get into that ball park, but I think he's got a chance. Of all the elite guys, he's got the ability to tear courses to shreds and intimidate other golfers with his length.

I knew what you meant!
And I know, that you know, what I meant!  

It's for sure getting close to, as you said, Tiger-esque! I think we all want to see something close to that again. He just may be the one to do it too! Only thing that concerns me is......FATHER TIME! He's starting this journey a little later than Eldrick did (age wise) and that may not allow him to achieve as much as Eldrick did. Let's see where Dustin stands around 2027!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by RBTrojan:

Looks really good Andy! So far I've come up with:

Hatton -105 over Schwartzel- really like Hatton as a player and not a big Charl fan
Kisner +140 over Casey- Kisner playing really well of late and really like the odds here
Delaet+110 over Furyk- fading Furyk like you mentioned
Na -130 over JB- I don't think this course suits JB well

Really disappointed my favorite play this week was Howell III over Laird but he withdrew. Best of luck this week!

Nervous about fading Casey 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2014
Posts: 1595
Posted: #18
Andy
As to betting Billy H and not Delaet v Furyk
Going on course history.  Billy H has it here and Delaet does not.
Plus I just don't like Delaet
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:

Andy
As to betting Billy H and not Delaet v Furyk
Going on course history.  Billy H has it here and Delaet does not.
Plus I just don't like Delaet

I love it...lol
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #20
Leishman -1/2 ov Hahn first round
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2004
Posts: 1580
Posted: #21
Great write ups and good looking card Andy.

Best of luck to you this week. 

jw11
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by jw11:

Great write ups and good looking card Andy.

Best of luck to you this week. 

jw11

Thanks man.  
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #23
I'm just casually throwing out there that Henrik Stenson is +275 to miss the cut on Bovada.  Do what you want with this information.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 4739
Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

Leishman -1/2 ov Hahn first round

Wow.  That was insane.


 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2014
Posts: 1595
Posted: #25
Andy
You were right in thinking that Horschel just sucks right now.  Has been bad all year actually.
I really did like the thinking behind the bet against Furyk who is ready for the Senior tour.
I just couldn't bring myself to bet Delaet.  Thought that Horschel might play well here as he had in the past, similar to Donald at that other venue.
At least i hit my Berger daily (v Grace) to just lose the vig. 

Let's hit these anti-Stenson plays.
BTW I wish my book had the top Swede play.  Great value there
Good luck


All Forums | Pro Golf
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Privacy Choices Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo
Covers Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 Genius Sports. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.