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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    Quicken Loans

    alangrrbs
    PuttForeDough
    LeRinkRat
    sacker17
    casinoroyalty58
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    Views: 1077
    Posts: 12
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jun. 27, 2017 - 10:57 PM ET #1

    Before we get into the picks, I want to make clear that I am playing these picks, but not for the amount I would at a different tournament.  It's a weird field, and they're playing at a course that they haven't played at.  Only one par 5 seems reachable, they have longer par 3's, yet it's a technical course...ranked in the top 2 toughest courses when they played it on the Web.com tour.  So here are the plays...just not big ones.  

    David Lingmerth ov Tony Finau


    Lingmerth has been really good since the Zurich, and I feel has been flying under the radar.  26th at the Travelers, 21st at the US Open, 15th at the Memorial, 12th at the Dean Deluca, 18th at the Wells Fargo.  Finau had a good showing last week, but he’s been shaky.  Over par at the Memorial, Even par at the Dean Deluca, Missed cut at the Players…mixed in there is a 13th at the Byron Nelson…I love the consistency of Lingmerth, and the best part about this play is that Lingmerth is a big underdog.  Plus Money.


    Jason Kokrak ov Adam Hadwin


    Hadwin has been struggling recently…we cashed a bet fading him last week, and I’m going to do it again this week.  The last three tournaments both these guys have played in were the Travelers, the US Open, and the Memorial.  Kokrak has finished ahead of Hadwin in all of those.  Kokrak’s combined score in those tournaments is +1…Hadwins is +18.  Two guys moving in the complete opposite direction.  Kokrak was terrible the early part of the year, and is starting to come on…Hadwin was really good early, but is fading fast.


    Ben Martin ov Bryson Dechambeau


    I know Dechamblows won his matchup last week, but he finished 26th last week, and that was the outlier.  Before that 8 straight made cuts.  Martin coming off of 5 straight made cuts.  I’ll take the golfer consistently making the cut when they’re playing on a course that nobody is used to.


    Ryan Brehm ov Patton Kizzire


    Kizzire has played in 12 tourneys this year, 7 missed cuts, only 1 finish inside the top 40.  Ryan Brehm has only 1 missed cuts in 11 tourneys this year.  Last two tournaments they played in together Brehm has finished ahead of Kizzire.  Kizzire 2 missed cuts in the last 3 tournaments, 3 missed cuts out of the last 5…Brehm 4 straight made cuts.  



    Ricky Barnes ov Jonas Blixt


    Looking up the stats, I was really surprised to see how good Barnes has actually been this year.  Only 1 missed cut in the last 9 tournaments, 4 top 35 finishes in that span, and 3 of those top 35 finishes have been in the last 4 weeks.  The last 3 tournaments they’ve played in together Barnes has finished ahead of Blix.






    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Before we get into the picks, I want to make clear that I am playing these picks, but not for the amount I would at a different tournament.  It's a weird field, and they're playing at a course that they haven't played at.  Only one par 5 seems reachable, they have longer par 3's, yet it's a technical course...ranked in the top 2 toughest courses when they played it on the Web.com tour.  So here are the plays...just not big ones.  

    David Lingmerth ov Tony Finau


    Lingmerth has been really good since the Zurich, and I feel has been flying under the radar.  26th at the Travelers, 21st at the US Open, 15th at the Memorial, 12th at the Dean Deluca, 18th at the Wells Fargo.  Finau had a good showing last week, but he’s been shaky.  Over par at the Memorial, Even par at the Dean Deluca, Missed cut at the Players…mixed in there is a 13th at the Byron Nelson…I love the consistency of Lingmerth, and the best part about this play is that Lingmerth is a big underdog.  Plus Money.


    Jason Kokrak ov Adam Hadwin


    Hadwin has been struggling recently…we cashed a bet fading him last week, and I’m going to do it again this week.  The last three tournaments both these guys have played in were the Travelers, the US Open, and the Memorial.  Kokrak has finished ahead of Hadwin in all of those.  Kokrak’s combined score in those tournaments is +1…Hadwins is +18.  Two guys moving in the complete opposite direction.  Kokrak was terrible the early part of the year, and is starting to come on…Hadwin was really good early, but is fading fast.


    Ben Martin ov Bryson Dechambeau


    I know Dechamblows won his matchup last week, but he finished 26th last week, and that was the outlier.  Before that 8 straight made cuts.  Martin coming off of 5 straight made cuts.  I’ll take the golfer consistently making the cut when they’re playing on a course that nobody is used to.


    Ryan Brehm ov Patton Kizzire


    Kizzire has played in 12 tourneys this year, 7 missed cuts, only 1 finish inside the top 40.  Ryan Brehm has only 1 missed cuts in 11 tourneys this year.  Last two tournaments they played in together Brehm has finished ahead of Kizzire.  Kizzire 2 missed cuts in the last 3 tournaments, 3 missed cuts out of the last 5…Brehm 4 straight made cuts.  



    Ricky Barnes ov Jonas Blixt


    Looking up the stats, I was really surprised to see how good Barnes has actually been this year.  Only 1 missed cut in the last 9 tournaments, 4 top 35 finishes in that span, and 3 of those top 35 finishes have been in the last 4 weeks.  The last 3 tournaments they’ve played in together Barnes has finished ahead of Blix.






     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jun. 27, 2017 - 10:58 PM ET #2

    BOVADA Picks


    Lot of Bovada plays I like this week


    Danny Lee ov JB Holmes


    JB Holmes randomly picks tournaments to play good at, and he picked the US Open which suited his game where he finished 12th…Before that 52nd, 2 missed cuts, nothing else inside the top 35 since early March.  Danny Lee 5 straight made cuts, 3rd last week, he’s also got a 6th, and a 5th in those 5 tournaments.  


    David Lingmerth ov Russell Henley


    Henley was really good early, but since his win at the Shell Houston Open, he’s gotten worse.  Finished 27th at the US Open, but before that 2 missed cuts, 35th at the Players.  We went over David Lingmerth above…playing really good recently.



    Marc Leishman Top Australian Even


    Other players in the group...


    Matt Jones +500, Aaron Badly +700, Cameron Percy, Geoof Ogilvy, Greg Chalmers, Rod Sampling, Curtis Luck



    David Lingmerth +110 Top European


    Other players in the group...


    Martin Laird +350, Jonas Blixt +550, Seamus Power +600, Alex Fejka, Greg Owen, Sam Horsfield

    Reply

    BOVADA Picks


    Lot of Bovada plays I like this week


    Danny Lee ov JB Holmes


    JB Holmes randomly picks tournaments to play good at, and he picked the US Open which suited his game where he finished 12th…Before that 52nd, 2 missed cuts, nothing else inside the top 35 since early March.  Danny Lee 5 straight made cuts, 3rd last week, he’s also got a 6th, and a 5th in those 5 tournaments.  


    David Lingmerth ov Russell Henley


    Henley was really good early, but since his win at the Shell Houston Open, he’s gotten worse.  Finished 27th at the US Open, but before that 2 missed cuts, 35th at the Players.  We went over David Lingmerth above…playing really good recently.



    Marc Leishman Top Australian Even


    Other players in the group...


    Matt Jones +500, Aaron Badly +700, Cameron Percy, Geoof Ogilvy, Greg Chalmers, Rod Sampling, Curtis Luck



    David Lingmerth +110 Top European


    Other players in the group...


    Martin Laird +350, Jonas Blixt +550, Seamus Power +600, Alex Fejka, Greg Owen, Sam Horsfield

     
    PuttForeDough
    PuttForeDough
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    Posted: Jun. 27, 2017 - 11:19 PM ET #3

    I am playing that Lingmerth vs Finau matchup. Going to take a look into Kokrak. 

    Reply
    I am playing that Lingmerth vs Finau matchup. Going to take a look into Kokrak. 

     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jun. 27, 2017 - 11:50 PM ET #4

    thank you alangrrbs. playing similar match plays with Lingmerth and "Kiwi Danny" Lee (bet/payout)

    Danny Lee -110 over Bud Cauley (22/42)
    David Lingmerth +115 over Tony Finau (20/43)
    Xander Schauffele +120 over Byeong-Hun An (20/44)
    David Hearn +115 over Kevin Na (20/43)
    Wesley Bryan +115 over Martin Laird (20/43)
    Billy Hurley III +160 over Luke List (20/52)

    also chancing "X" @ 50-1 "to win" along with "sprinkles" on David Hearn @ 80-1 and Wesley Bryan @ 100-1


    Reply
    thank you alangrrbs. playing similar match plays with Lingmerth and "Kiwi Danny" Lee (bet/payout)

    Danny Lee -110 over Bud Cauley (22/42)
    David Lingmerth +115 over Tony Finau (20/43)
    Xander Schauffele +120 over Byeong-Hun An (20/44)
    David Hearn +115 over Kevin Na (20/43)
    Wesley Bryan +115 over Martin Laird (20/43)
    Billy Hurley III +160 over Luke List (20/52)

    also chancing "X" @ 50-1 "to win" along with "sprinkles" on David Hearn @ 80-1 and Wesley Bryan @ 100-1


     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jun. 28, 2017 - 12:04 AM ET #5

    guess I need to tack on the "coat rack" and take a small taste of "Woo WHO ???"

    Jason Kokrak +105 over Adam Hadwin (20/41)
    Si Woo Kim -110 over Graham DeLaet (22/42)


    Reply
    guess I need to tack on the "coat rack" and take a small taste of "Woo WHO ???"

    Jason Kokrak +105 over Adam Hadwin (20/41)
    Si Woo Kim -110 over Graham DeLaet (22/42)


     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jun. 28, 2017 - 12:42 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

    thank you alangrrbs. playing similar match plays with Lingmerth and "Kiwi Danny" Lee (bet/payout)

    Danny Lee -110 over Bud Cauley (22/42)
    David Lingmerth +115 over Tony Finau (20/43)
    Xander Schauffele +120 over Byeong-Hun An (20/44)
    David Hearn +115 over Kevin Na (20/43)
    Wesley Bryan +115 over Martin Laird (20/43)
    Billy Hurley III +160 over Luke List (20/52)

    also chancing "X" @ 50-1 "to win" along with "sprinkles" on David Hearn @ 80-1 and Wesley Bryan @ 100-1



    Love the value on the Hurley-List play.  Almost played Hearn ov Na.  Glad you had the guts to play it.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

    thank you alangrrbs. playing similar match plays with Lingmerth and "Kiwi Danny" Lee (bet/payout)

    Danny Lee -110 over Bud Cauley (22/42)
    David Lingmerth +115 over Tony Finau (20/43)
    Xander Schauffele +120 over Byeong-Hun An (20/44)
    David Hearn +115 over Kevin Na (20/43)
    Wesley Bryan +115 over Martin Laird (20/43)
    Billy Hurley III +160 over Luke List (20/52)

    also chancing "X" @ 50-1 "to win" along with "sprinkles" on David Hearn @ 80-1 and Wesley Bryan @ 100-1



    Love the value on the Hurley-List play.  Almost played Hearn ov Na.  Glad you had the guts to play it.
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 2, 2017 - 7:11 PM ET #7

    what a completely WEIRD tourney. freeking Lingmerth beats Finau BUT "blows up" the final round to not only LOSE the 3rd round LEAD but MISS the "best four of the top ten" British Open qualifier

    Danny Lee -110 over Bud Cauley CUT (22/42) WIN
    David Lingmerth +115 over Tony Finau (20/43) WIN
    Xander Schauffele +120 over Byeong-Hun An (20/44) lose
    David Hearn +115 over Kevin Na (20/43) lose
    Wesley Bryan +115 over Martin Laird (20/43) lose
    Billy Hurley III +160 over Luke List CUT (20/52) WIN

    I got screwed by the CUT being +4 instead of +3 because Hearn was tourney +3 vs Na +4 and "X" +4 vs An +4 after Friday SO a +3 cut would have been a Hearn WIN and "X" "putch"

    winner Kyle Stanley, runner up Charles Howell III and tied for 3rd with Rickie Fowler Martin Laird all punch their ticket to the British Open with "best four of the top ten" tourney qualifications
    Reply
    what a completely WEIRD tourney. freeking Lingmerth beats Finau BUT "blows up" the final round to not only LOSE the 3rd round LEAD but MISS the "best four of the top ten" British Open qualifier

    Danny Lee -110 over Bud Cauley CUT (22/42) WIN
    David Lingmerth +115 over Tony Finau (20/43) WIN
    Xander Schauffele +120 over Byeong-Hun An (20/44) lose
    David Hearn +115 over Kevin Na (20/43) lose
    Wesley Bryan +115 over Martin Laird (20/43) lose
    Billy Hurley III +160 over Luke List CUT (20/52) WIN

    I got screwed by the CUT being +4 instead of +3 because Hearn was tourney +3 vs Na +4 and "X" +4 vs An +4 after Friday SO a +3 cut would have been a Hearn WIN and "X" "putch"

    winner Kyle Stanley, runner up Charles Howell III and tied for 3rd with Rickie Fowler Martin Laird all punch their ticket to the British Open with "best four of the top ten" tourney qualifications
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 2, 2017 - 7:19 PM ET #8

    AND a split with the "Coat Rack" and "Woo Who ???"

    Jason Kokrak +105 over Adam Hadwin CUT (20/41) WIN
    Si Woo Kim -110 CUT [+12] over Graham DeLaet CUT [+6] (22/42) lose
    Reply
    AND a split with the "Coat Rack" and "Woo Who ???"

    Jason Kokrak +105 over Adam Hadwin CUT (20/41) WIN
    Si Woo Kim -110 CUT [+12] over Graham DeLaet CUT [+6] (22/42) lose
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jul. 2, 2017 - 10:37 PM ET #9

    Wonder what the payout would've been on parlaying all my plays?  Clean sweep this week on full tourney plays.  
    Reply
    Wonder what the payout would've been on parlaying all my plays?  Clean sweep this week on full tourney plays.  
     
    sacker17
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    Posted: Jul. 3, 2017 - 8:18 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Wonder what the payout would've been on parlaying all my plays?  Clean sweep this week on full tourney plays.  


    Andy
    What an awesome job!
    You outdid yourself. 
    You're money!
    Wish I had tagged. A lot of pretty obscure matchups but you nailed them. 
    I counted 9-0. 
    If they were all even money, the odds would've been 511-1
    (2 to the 9th power)
    Wow!
    Congrats and try to do better next week
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Wonder what the payout would've been on parlaying all my plays?  Clean sweep this week on full tourney plays.  


    Andy
    What an awesome job!
    You outdid yourself. 
    You're money!
    Wish I had tagged. A lot of pretty obscure matchups but you nailed them. 
    I counted 9-0. 
    If they were all even money, the odds would've been 511-1
    (2 to the 9th power)
    Wow!
    Congrats and try to do better next week
     
    casinoroyalty58
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    Posted: Jul. 3, 2017 - 10:32 AM ET #11

    Reply
     
     
    PuttForeDough
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    Posted: Jul. 3, 2017 - 10:42 AM ET #12

    Bang! 


    Reply
    Bang! 


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