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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    PLAYERS (ytd -12.36, overall -40.36)

    pacman2424
    goin4
    bakersfield6969
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 440
    Posts: 10
     
    pacman2424
    pacman2424
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 362
    Posted: Mar. 9, 2022 - 8:34 AM ET #1

    First off, congratulations to anyone following my outright winner plays. If you have been able to bypass my top 5, 10, 20 and match-up plays, you are enjoying a +38.5 unit profit in 2022 so far. Unfortunately for me i can't seem to quit making those plays. Although i have seen that the lower payout plays have much better values so I'll try to stick to those. Also new mid tourney plays will be posted Friday night/Saturday morning to double up on slightly better odds (scheffler +7000 for example) for pre tourney plays as well as system plays i chose to pass on that still hold value. As always my first part is the system's top 20 followed by my plays.

    Scheffler

    Horschel

    Young

    Zalatoris

    Schauffele

    Cantlay

    Matsuyama

    Hoge

    Conners

    Noren

    Fitzpatrick

    Kirk

    Scott

    Berger

    Thomas

    Niemann

    Hovland

    Mcilroy

    Homa

    Mitchell

    My plays

    Scheffler win +2200 (2 units), top 5 +550 (2), top 10 +250 (2), top 20 +138 (6)

    Horschel win +3300 (1.5)

    Young win +9000 

    Zalatoris win +5000

    Schauffele win +2800 (1.5), top 20 +150 (2)

    Matsuyama win +2800 (1.5)

    Kirk win +8000 

    Koepka win +4000 (1.5), top 20 +200 (2)

    Hughes win +15000 (.5)

    Day win +8000

    Noren win +9000

    Conners win +4500 (1.5)

    33 units risked total. 

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    First off, congratulations to anyone following my outright winner plays. If you have been able to bypass my top 5, 10, 20 and match-up plays, you are enjoying a +38.5 unit profit in 2022 so far. Unfortunately for me i can't seem to quit making those plays. Although i have seen that the lower payout plays have much better values so I'll try to stick to those. Also new mid tourney plays will be posted Friday night/Saturday morning to double up on slightly better odds (scheffler +7000 for example) for pre tourney plays as well as system plays i chose to pass on that still hold value. As always my first part is the system's top 20 followed by my plays.

    Scheffler

    Horschel

    Young

    Zalatoris

    Schauffele

    Cantlay

    Matsuyama

    Hoge

    Conners

    Noren

    Fitzpatrick

    Kirk

    Scott

    Berger

    Thomas

    Niemann

    Hovland

    Mcilroy

    Homa

    Mitchell

    My plays

    Scheffler win +2200 (2 units), top 5 +550 (2), top 10 +250 (2), top 20 +138 (6)

    Horschel win +3300 (1.5)

    Young win +9000 

    Zalatoris win +5000

    Schauffele win +2800 (1.5), top 20 +150 (2)

    Matsuyama win +2800 (1.5)

    Kirk win +8000 

    Koepka win +4000 (1.5), top 20 +200 (2)

    Hughes win +15000 (.5)

    Day win +8000

    Noren win +9000

    Conners win +4500 (1.5)

    33 units risked total. 

     
    pacman2424
    pacman2424
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 362
    Posted: Mar. 9, 2022 - 8:39 AM ET #2

    29 units risked is actual count

    Reply

    29 units risked is actual count

     
    pacman2424
    pacman2424
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 362
    Posted: Mar. 11, 2022 - 12:24 AM ET #3

    Add frl

    Koepka +900

    Day +1600

    Young +6600

    Hoge +700

    Tourney outright winner

    Schauffele +5000

    Berger +4000

    Fitzpatrick +9000

    Reply

    Add frl

    Koepka +900

    Day +1600

    Young +6600

    Hoge +700

    Tourney outright winner

    Schauffele +5000

    Berger +4000

    Fitzpatrick +9000

     
    pacman2424
    pacman2424
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 362
    Posted: Mar. 11, 2022 - 12:29 AM ET #4

    I would suggest hopping on the players playing their 1st rounds tomorrow. If they can get up on the leaderboard they could miss Saturday's wind completely. Giving them a huge advantage over Thursday's morning round players.

    Reply

    I would suggest hopping on the players playing their 1st rounds tomorrow. If they can get up on the leaderboard they could miss Saturday's wind completely. Giving them a huge advantage over Thursday's morning round players.

     
    goin4
    goin4
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 4048
    Posted: Mar. 11, 2022 - 8:24 AM ET #5

    Don't see many people winning with 10 plus players

    Reply

    Don't see many people winning with 10 plus players

     
    pacman2424
    pacman2424
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 362
    Posted: Mar. 11, 2022 - 10:06 AM ET #6

    @goin4

     If u just pick my winning plays u r winning.

    Reply

    @goin4

     If u just pick my winning plays u r winning.

     
    bakersfield6969
    bakersfield6969
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2013
    Posts: 739
    Posted: Mar. 14, 2022 - 5:58 AM ET #7

    @goin4

     exactly I used to do that when I first started betting golf take like 10-15 golfers an event didnt turn out great for me now I usually take 2 or 3 pre tourney for usually 100 each then live bet but oh well if it works for him let him do it

    Reply

    @goin4

     exactly I used to do that when I first started betting golf take like 10-15 golfers an event didnt turn out great for me now I usually take 2 or 3 pre tourney for usually 100 each then live bet but oh well if it works for him let him do it

     
    goin4
    goin4
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 4048
    Posted: Mar. 14, 2022 - 10:44 AM ET #8

    Winner?

    Reply

    Winner?

     
    goin4
    goin4
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 4048
    Posted: Mar. 14, 2022 - 11:17 AM ET #9

    Munoz

    Reply

    Munoz

     
     
    pacman2424
    pacman2424
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 362
    Posted: Mar. 14, 2022 - 7:45 PM ET #10

    Some of the reasoning behind my plays. I live 40 minutes from any place to wager. That is 1 of the reasons i take so many pre tourney. I like to bet mid tourney because once again, i don't want to be driving that often. My system can narrow down the winner list to 6-35 players (those r the extremes so far) and hit at 80%. I try to use my opinion to narrow it down to a playable amount. I then add units to make the low odds plays worth while. At mid tourney i can add more to already made plays or pick up some players in contention i left out of pre tourney plays. 

    No one is going to win every week. I'm not just saying that to point out the obvious but to also read whatI'm saying to myself. My biggest flaw is convincing myself that if i can hit a top 5, 10, 20 for a lot of units, i will get half my money back. And how can "scheffler" not finish in the top 20. Scheffler is just this week's miss on a atrocious bet plan. If all i bet is outright winners I'd still be ahead 20 units.

    Reply

    Some of the reasoning behind my plays. I live 40 minutes from any place to wager. That is 1 of the reasons i take so many pre tourney. I like to bet mid tourney because once again, i don't want to be driving that often. My system can narrow down the winner list to 6-35 players (those r the extremes so far) and hit at 80%. I try to use my opinion to narrow it down to a playable amount. I then add units to make the low odds plays worth while. At mid tourney i can add more to already made plays or pick up some players in contention i left out of pre tourney plays. 

    No one is going to win every week. I'm not just saying that to point out the obvious but to also read whatI'm saying to myself. My biggest flaw is convincing myself that if i can hit a top 5, 10, 20 for a lot of units, i will get half my money back. And how can "scheffler" not finish in the top 20. Scheffler is just this week's miss on a atrocious bet plan. If all i bet is outright winners I'd still be ahead 20 units.

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