Players

I have to admit that I did correspond with Andy this week and some of my picks were influenced by him.  Gotta give Andy credit, week after week he picks winners.

Love Louie O over Grace this week.

Love the angle of the baby.  

Grace hasn't played now since The Masters.

Plus Louie is playing good right now and seems sharp.

While Louie was just on the wrong side of the cutline at Wells Fargo last week, before that he had 3 straight Top 12 finishes.

Plus Louie was T2 here last year.

Also like anyone against Mr. Softy (Adam Scott)

BUT cant disregard that Scott plays well here.

T6 2017

T12  2016

Still gonna play Hadwin because as Andy mentioned, Scott is no longer an elite player.  Not so sure this is the week to bet against Scott though I am doing it.

Garcia (baby) and Koepka (wrist injury) have been good go againsts so gotta keep playing it until it bites me.

So Phil +110 v Garcia

Watson -115 v Koepka

Berger -110 v Hatton.  Berger is a Florida guy and has had success here with a T9 a few years back.  Hatton as you mentioned last week, just hasn't had the finishes in USA that he has in Europe

Stenson +105 v Rose

Stenson with 3 straight Top 6 finishes and is plus money

Stenson is #1 this year in strokes gained approaching the green and he won this event 9 years ago.

Day -110 v Spieth.

Spieth just not as good as Day right now.

Day is 1st on tour this year in Strokes gained putting and making an incredible 93.2% of putts inside 10 feet this year.  Plus he won here 2 years ago.

Stenson +105 v Rose

Stenson with 3 straight Top 6 finishes and is plus money

Stenson is #1 this year in strokes gained approaching the green and he won this event 9 years ago.

Good luck this week Sacker. I thought Koepka had a sneaky good final round last week. Plus he should be really comfortable playing with his workout buddy DJ the first two rounds. I decided to pass on that one. I thought Sunday was a real grind for Day. He couldn't hit the ball straight to save his life. I think last week may take a toll on him. I'm not betting against him but again made me stay away from  the  play 

Grace & Rose for me.

Sten over Rahn

Zack over Noren

Dechambeau over Cantlay 

thats me GL Sacker........

Stricker and Duffner Tied at -1 (9)

But damn Duffner (who sucks at putting) is on fire putting.  +2.09 strokes gained thru 9.  He has made a 20' eagle (2)/10' par (3)/9' bird (6)/8' bogey (8)/ and 8' par (9).

Jesus!

Classic High/Low Leaderboard play. Created by yours truly! 

Rounds 2 - 4 only and there must be at least a 3 stroke difference. Dufner was 5 shots back of Stricker after Rd. 1. 

When the books make the lower player on the leaderboard the favorite, you should hammer them! Especially when you look at the stats, shot difference, etc... and think there's no way this guy should be favored. Back years ago when I posted plays on here, it hit close to 65% with a lot of pushes. Lucky you pushed, should have lost with the way Duf played today! I would like to start tracking that again, but not a lot of time for that anymore. 

Very sound reasoning but laying that kind of juice is hard for me to do on a single round match up. I apologize about the Harman play. I thought the reasoning was sound but it wasn't meant to be. Good luck today!

Tough loss today. I'm sorry to see you leave. I hope you'll reconsider. The sharing of thoughts, insights and general discussion is what I find most valuable. It's been my experience with 18 hole match ups that anything can happen. I much prefer the tournament match ups... Anyways I hope you'll come back. Good luck to you either way.