Pebble Beach

Getting this one in early for this coming week 

Russell Henley (29-1) 0.35u

Daniel Berger (65-1) 0.20u

There’s a 35-1 on Henley at fanatics, great number. To me he’s solidified himself as a top 5-6 player in this field and this golf course insinuates his strengths and devalues his lack of length off the tee. I have him modeled out at 3rd in this field and think he should be closer to 20-1

Harry Hall (80-1) 0.15u

@Rollz

 Hello,

I am in a golf contest for 10 or 12 weeks. I was wondering if you could help me some. I already picked Justin Rose for tomorrow. You can only use a golfer one time. Also need to know the final score example -19 to the winner,. thanks for any help you provide

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Not sure how much help I’ll be on this as I really think this is a tough week to predict the winning score. Thursday and Friday look to be extremely easy, but then part of Saturday and all of Sunday look to be pretty gnarly weather wise. I would lean to the winner getting to -20 or even better because this course is very easy for these guys and it’ll be prime conditions for the majority of the tournament. it really depends on how bad the weather gets on the weekend. 

I’m assuming this is a one and done contest that you’re referring to. The only thing with rose is he’s very up and down week to week and he may be very popular in your contest coming off of a win and with great course history here. He very rarely strings together multiple great performances in a row. I would lean toward trying to get a little different but that’s just me 

Ty so much!!

good luck on your pics.

Have you ever won 

@Wilde50

 He wins a LOT!

@Wilde50

For as many times as you click in his thread, post the same comment, and clearly follow him; you should know the answer to your question by now.

But if you need to hear it again, the answer is yes, he has won, multiple times.

If you understood how the golf outright market works, you would understand that probability of hitting an outright is minimal, hence why the odds are so lucrative.

Sam Burns (65-1) 0.15

Full outright card, laying off positionals this week just too much variance at this golf course 

Russell Henley (29-1) 0.35u

Sam Burns (65-1) 0.20u

Sepp Straka (65-1) 0.20u

Daniel Berger (65-1) 0.20u

Harry Hall (80-1) 0.15u

@Rollz

Best of luck with the plays, thank you for continuing to post them week after week. Let’s go Henley! 

GL this week Rollz 

Hey man,

What you think about hitting Scheffler now at +185 Top 10? 

Seems like good value considering he top 10s every week but it’s really hard for him to separate on pebble beach with all of the wedges into greens, random poa greens, and driving being severely devalued. I would lean toward staying away for that reason 

With that said, we’re supposed to get some big time winds over the weekend and he’s one of the few guys you can count on to not completely fall apart in those conditions. But IMO I think he may be too far back at this golf course, doubting him hasn’t worked out great for me in the past though lol. 

@Rollz

 Thanks for your input.  Im just gonna opt for the uneventful/boring wager and throw a unit on Scheffler Top 20  -144....I can't even remember the last time he finished outside of the Top 20.

Disappointing day for burns, have had alot of contenders heading into the weekend just fall apart these last couple weeks.

We got Sepp 2 strokes back heading into round 4 hope he can makes some noise 

Feeling about noren if they play

free money alert. Right jow you can get lowest round score on dk at -108. Like a lower round scodemis gonna happen. And if it does dsy will be even better.

Im not sure what you mean sir. If you’re saying someone will shoot the lowest round of the tournament during today’s round I kinda disagree. Conditions were prime for scoring the first 2 days while today I’m seeing 30 mph wind gusts basically all day. 

I could be mis-understand you though 

BHatia +180, I know it's incredibly boring, and he stumbled into the finish yesterday, but I really believe he wins his 3rd Pro tourney today. GL with those pics

GL friend! I have a premonition that it won’t be easy for him today, it’s been a little too stress-free for him these first 3 rounds. Feels like he’s due for some adversity today. The little guy might blow away in the wind out there! Haha jk. 

In all seriousness BOL on your wager, hope one of us wins