2-3 last week. -1.07 units
YTD 8-5.5 +1.98 units
knox -110 v kirk
Knox plays well here
Last year 7th
3x last 4 years Top 15
Kirk not great here but was 16th last year
However before that MC/MC/39/MC/61/2/MC
Recent form they both played the same 2 recent tourneys with both MC 2 weeks ago and 3 weeks ago
Knox 7
Kirk 27
Edge Knox
Knox line moving against me as Kirk is now -125. Don’t like that. Usually a bad sign
adding 2 more olays
Glover -105 v Dahmen
glover has been solid lately 33/5/35 while Dahmen has MC his last 2 events
glover last 3x he played this event he finished 50/7/11 while Dahmen has played this 4x finishing g 60/14/55/48
rai -115 v mitchell
rai looked good finishing 6th last week and has quietly played well. Last 7 events has made cut 6/7 with finishes 6/59/MC/16/19/15/62
Mitchell MC last week but 7th tourney before Mitchell had played here the last 4 years with his history here not good. Last year MC and before that 32/MC/47.
Rai never played here so that’s a negative
Play #4 (split 1/2 each)
Day -110 v Spieth
Day -115 v Rose
Day last 7x at Pebble just amazing 7/4/4/2/5/11/4
Last 7x here never worse than T11!!!
and Day has had a few bad years recently with injuries but 1 thing remains constant and that is he is Top 11 here every year.
Plus he looked good last week and played good.
Lean and fitter than he had been.
When you looks good, you plays good, and when you plays good the pays good!
neon Deion Sanders
Play #5 Great value might be best play
Streelman +135 v Fitzpatrick
Streelman played great last week but didn't putt well and he loves this course
Last week he was 17th in Strokes gained tee to green and was 5th in strokes gained approaching the green
And best yet he LOVES this place
Last 6x he has not been worse than 17th!!
13/2/7/6/14/17
Got to play him
+135 v Fitzpatrick
Fitz played here the past 2 years and finished 60 & MC
+135 is a bad line
Play #6
Griffin -105 v Hughes
Griffin took 6 weeks off and came back with a 3rd and a 30th. Last time here 2 years ago he was 9th. Last week he was 30th but was 2nd in strokes gained approaching the green and 6th in strokes gained tee to green
Hughes took 7 weeks off and came back to play last week and MC (Griffin was 30th). Hughes played here 4x and last 3x was MC
Round 2
Day -120 v Fitz
Day didn’t disappoint at -4
Hit 86% fairways & 83% greens v Fitz 64% & 67%
Day always Plays great here
Was very good last week too
Fitz was just ok rd1
Although he was -3 he putted well and was just ok hitting fairways and greens
He is a good putter and was +2.35 putting v Day +0.4 so Fitz picked up 2 strokes on greens and Day (-4) still beat Fitz (-3) by 1
73’ of putts for Day
122’ of putts for Fitz
Fitz made putts
7’
35’
13’
9’
6’
10’
20’
Day putts
12’
13’
15’
6’
Tourney Picks not looking good this week but did hit the rd2 daily
today rd4 gonna go with
Kodaira-115 v Van Pelt
OWGR Kodaira 268 VP 403
Van Pelt is 46 years old and must be looking forward to the Champions Tour. Long time ago he made it to Top 20 in OWGR but his best days are done
He has played 1 event past 3 months and MC
He played here past 2 years and MC
Last 10 years he has played this event 6x and has 5 MC and a 65
Yesterday Van Pelt holed out for eagle from 113 yards and next hole dropped a 26’ bird from the fringe.
He stands at T10
My guess is Van Pelt disappears so just hoping Kodaira doesn’t stink
Kodaira playing pretty well right now was 12th in his last PGA event 3 weeks ago. He has played here 2x and MC both times (the past 2 years)
FWIW DraftKings has Van Pelt bottom of barrel at $6100 and Kodaira $6900
Established in 1995,
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