Heritage Rd1

I’ll start by saying I’m ahead pretty good for the year but when I post it seems to be bad luck and I’m behind in my post plays 

so trying not to to be superstitious 

like a rd1 play alot

Cauley -125 v Nick Taylor

Cauley in great form.

Last 3 tourneys all top 10 (5/4/6)

He had injuries last few years but seems to be good now after being in sidelines for years following a very serious auto accident.

He was destined for a good career but it got derailed 

He was a top 5 junior golfer as a teen

Played at University of Alabama and in 3 years there was an All American all 3 years 

Was a member of the Walker Cup in 2009 and went 3-0-1.

That year he was Southeastern conference freshman of the year.

He had some success in PGA but in 2018 he had a bad auto accident suffering 5 broken ribs, a broken left leg and a collapsed lung.  In 2020 he developed medical complications and didn’t play again professionally until 2024 on Korn Ferry tour.

If last 3 events are an indication, he is back playing well.

His history here is ok making 3/4 cuts with a 9th and a 23rd.

Hasnt played here since 2020

Nick Taylor had a long week at Masters.  Cauley rested 

Taylor Made cut at Masters and played the weekend but wasn’t good finished 40 of the 53 guys who made the cut.

Tourneys before that weren’t great MC/MC/31

His history at this course is very bad

Last events he finished 

49/41/MC/MC/58/MC/22/76/74

Good luck 

Nice hit 

Thx

Touch and go but it won.

they don’t ask questions at the cashier

taylor was playing out of his mind most of the round, scrambling his ass off and making putts.

i didnt expect Taylor to be good today as in 9x here he had only 1 finish better than 49th

And Cauley was just piddling around most of the round and I thought he’d be better off 3 straight top 6 finishes 

I much prefer a tourney bet as there is time to “revert to the mean” which is what Taylor did just in time with bogeys on 15&17

A win is a win let us know if anything pops for round 2 

Gonna come back and ride 1/2 of the winnings from rd1 right back on

Cauley -125 v Taylor

Taylor doesn’t play well here as last 10 years he has played 9x and has only 1 finish better than 49th and that was 22nd.

Rd1 Taylor scrambled his ass off and putted well but he was negative strokes gained in all other categories. Just think maybe this course is not a good fit for him.

Taylor Negative stroke gained OTT/ARG/T2G/APP

Cauley gained strokes ARG/APP/T2G rd1 and had 3 top 6 finishes his last 3 tourneys coming in here.  See above.

Rd1 his stats were all better than Taylor except putting but for the season Cauley has better putting stats.

Also like that Cauley is fresher than Taylor as Cauley didn’t play the Masters and Taylor played all 4 rounds and finished 40 of the 53 who made the cut.

The Masters is a grind.

Gonna go with Cauley again and hope he plays better but rd1 he was t his best and still win the matchup 

Rd2 adding a round score prop

Harman under 69.5(-105)

Harman played great rd1 shooting 66 and although he is a good putter, that was the only part of his game that was off as he was -1.55 strokes putting.

He was an amazing +4.84 strokes gained T2G and was positive strokes gained I. Every other category.

He just has to shoot 69(-2) to hit this.

winds will be light 5-10 mph and he tees off before 10 am which I feel is a plus.

His history here is terrific as his finishes here going back are 12/7/35/13

and he seems to be in good form having won a tourney 2 starts back 

Good luck I took Jason Day over Tony Finau

2000 -150

Day better putter and on this year

I’d lean that way as Finau has been garbage and Day seems on his game

But that’s a lot of juice for 1 round

Hit it 

sorry to see bud choke on 18 for you that was bad but harmen hit 

Rd2

1-1

Cauley sh!t the bed

Taylor was garbage but Cauley was worse.

Taylor was negative strokes gained in every single category but Cauley was even worse.

Ill continue to bet against both of them over the weekend

Harman came through for the split

@Blb

Nice win

Close and big juice but a win so nicely done

Thanks let's get some winners tomorrow 

Hoping to get a good matchup to bet against Taylor tomorrow

Glad Taylor made that 26’ bird putt on 18 to  make him finish better 

Cauley was AS with Taylor heading to 18 but Cauley lost his drive and was done

could've/should’ve bet Taylor over 69.5 but went with Cauley match instead.

oh well

Taylor’s numbers are bad and so are Cauley’s 

Taylor made 115’  of putts today (tour average 70-75) and all other categories were negative.  And he came into this event with negative season long putting stats

With a decent matchup I’d bet against Cauley too

Yea let’s make some dough

Hated the matchups 

Didn’t want to bet Bezeidenhuit (v Taylor) as his numbers this week are awful

didnt want to bet MinWoo Lee (v Cauley) as although Lee is a good player, his numbers this week are bad too

Much prefer tourney bets to daily bets anyway.  A lot of randomness with 18 hole bets 

good luck to all

I almost went against Taylor glad I didn't he is 2 up already lol unreal 

Rd4

fitzpatrick under 69.5 

Draftkings

I laid -130 but used a promo they have to get it lower

Fitz grew up on this course where his family would vacation.  He knows the course well and plays well here.

last few times here he finished 28/1/MC/14/39/14

I always found him to be a good putter but yesterday he was -2.54 strokes putting yet still finished -3.  His T2G yesterday was excellent +3.63 and his APP was +2.53

just need -2 to hit under 69.5.

Winds stay rather benign today at under 10 mph

If betting on DK use your promo

won this event a few years ago 

Happy Easter good luck 

Happy Easter

pissed I didn’t bet against Taylor today.

matchup was decent Thompson -125 who is a damn good player

Fitz stuck in the mud with 5 pars to start (2 par 5s).  Not good 

lots of guys going low.  Especially the guys out early (as usual)