Posted:
#1
Play Molinari ov Chappell before it goes off the board.
Genesis picks
Posted:
#7
DJ ov Matsuyama
Spieth ov Matsuyama
Jordan Spieth WIN and Dustin Johnson 3rd last week @ the AT&T BUT Hideki Matsuyama, who took last week off, two WIN and two 2nds his last 6 tourneys. all playing excellent golf so ANY of these three could easy WIN this week so TOUGH to PICK. probably better matches to play. also Justin Thomas missed the cut at Phoenix BUT a three time WINNER his previous four tourneys
Jordan Spieth WIN and Dustin Johnson 3rd last week @ the AT&T BUT Hideki Matsuyama, who took last week off, two WIN and two 2nds his last 6 tourneys. all playing excellent golf so ANY of these three could easy WIN this week so TOUGH to PICK. probably better matches to play. also Justin Thomas missed the cut at Phoenix BUT a three time WINNER his previous four tourneys
Posted:
#8
Francesco Molinari ov Kevin Chappell
Chappell in 2017 has a 48th, 75th, and a Missed Cut at the Farmers (Torrey Pines). All Molinari has done is finish inside the top 15 in every tournament in 2017 including a 14th at the Farmers (Torrey Pines).
Perez ov Furyk
1 tournament this year for Furyk, he finished 66th. Before that 6th at the RSM, a Missed cut at the OHL Classic. Maybe he’s getting older, losing his touch, but he’s not as good as Perez is right now. Take out the WD at the Waste Management with a flared up shoulder, he has 3 finishes inside the top 4, and he’s 4th in FedEx Cup points. Furyk has a pretty good history at this tournament, but that’s years ago. He didn’t play in this tournament last year because of the wrist.
Tony Finau ov Jason Kokrak
Kokrak finished 2nd here last year, where as Finau missed the cut. But that doesn’t tell the story of where these guys are at right now. In 2017 Kokrak has missed the cut 2 out of his 3 tournaments including the Farmers (Torrey Pines). Tony Finau in 2017 Missed the cut by 1 stroke at the Waste Management and besides that has 4 finishes inside the top 25 and two of those inside the top 10, and one of those was a 4th place finish at The Farmers (Torrey Pines)
Paul Casey ov Brooks Koepka
Casey started slow in 2017, but has gotten better every tournament. Missed cut at the Sony, 58th at Career Builer, 28th at the Farmers (Torrey Pines). Before the break over Thanksgiving and Christmas, he had a stretch where he finished 12th, 21st, 3rd, 2nd, 2nd and 4th. Koepka in 2017 has a 42nd at the Waste Management and a Missed cut at the Farmers Insurance Open (Torrey Pines). Koepka has never played at this tournament, and Paul Casey has played here 5 times and never missed the cut.
Kyle Stanley ov KJ Choi
In 2017, Kyle Stanley is 24 shots under par. He has 2 36th place finishes, and a 14th at the Farmers Insurance Open (torrey pines). Out of 12 rounds Kyle Stanley has played 10 rounds have been at 70 or under. KJ Choi in 4 tournaments in 2017 is 10 shots over par. In 9 rounds KJ Choi has 1 round at 70 or better. I know KJ Choi has great tournament history here, but he’s just gotten older. I’ll toast to KJ choi because he’s played here 15 times, and has never missed the cut…that’s an incredible streak, but like the Undertaker…all streaks must come to an end.
Adam Scott ov Justin Thomas (bovada)
Adam Scott loves this tournament. 2nd last year, 10th the time before that. Justin Thomas has played here twice, finished 54th and 41st. Adam Scott is just a top 10 machine, and he’s played a couple tournament in the off season and finished well. 3rd at the PGA Australian Open for example. Justin Thomas had those two incredible performances at the Tournament of Champions and the sony, but he missed the cut at the Waste Management. We’ve talked about Torrey Pines being a good comparison to this course…Justin Thomas has only played the Farmers insurance once…missed the cut.
Posted:
#9
*I make a lot of references to Torrey Pines...that's because the surface is very similar. Especially the putting circumstances. Looks like bad weather Friday...not sure anyone has an advantage or disadvantage with that, but just be careful if you're doing round to round betting.
Podcast is up...audio quality is much better. We just keep working at it every week trying to get better and better and better. Thank you to everyone who's subscribed. It means a lot to us. 
Posted:
#10
Quote Originally Posted by Sherms:
My book didn't have Stanley/Choi line but I got Molinari ov Chappel, I really like Jason Day finish better than 14th, thoughts?
My book didn't have Stanley/Choi line but I got Molinari ov Chappel, I really like Jason Day finish better than 14th, thoughts?
My only hesitation with that is how bad he looked at the Farmers (Torrey Pines). He looked way better than I thought he was going to last week though. I think it's a fairly solid bet...not a mortgage bet though. 
Posted:
#11
Quote Originally Posted by Sherms:
Leans:
Leans:
DJ finish better than 9th
Spieth finish better than 9th
Day finish better than 14th
DJ ov Matsuyama
Spieth ov Matsuyama
Snedeker ov Mickelson
Rose ov Thomas
I can't really pull the trigger yet on any of those though would love some input
Like DJ and Spieth better than 9th. Not sure about taking them over Matsuyama though. I feel there are better values on the board in other matchups. Like Rose ov Thomas. No opinion on Snedeker ov Phil as both those guys are hard as hell to figure out sometimes.
Posted:
#12
Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:
Charles Howell III -105 over Charl Schwartzel for larger than normal
Howell III playing well his last 5 with no worse than tied for 13th and 2nd @ Farmers. Schwartzel "sprayed" last week in Malaysia and missed the cut
Charles Howell III -105 over Charl Schwartzel for larger than normal
Howell III playing well his last 5 with no worse than tied for 13th and 2nd @ Farmers. Schwartzel "sprayed" last week in Malaysia and missed the cut
Interesting on Charl. I didn't know he was that bad last week. How has Pieters looked?
Posted:
#13
Just a heads up regarding the weather in SoCal. Rain should be coming in later Thursday afternoon and continue on through Friday and Saturday. I would think lift, clean and place will be utilized from the fairways. Obviously a huge benefit to hitting fairways. Being long will help as well. As for now, Thursday and Sunday are the decent weather days. Keep it in mind when playing those individual round match ups...
Posted:
#14
It seems like weather can really be advantageous for one group, keeping an eye on the wind is a must.
Other than that, I'm kind of jealous on some pairs you have access to, most of them are really good bets. You should really look if you can get Hearn, Piercy, Si Woo and Lee and bet literally anyone against them...
Other than that, I'm kind of jealous on some pairs you have access to, most of them are really good bets. You should really look if you can get Hearn, Piercy, Si Woo and Lee and bet literally anyone against them...
Posted:
#16
Rat and Andy
Schwartzel took 9 weeks off and said he was feeling great and then went out last week and missed the cut at +1
I had Aiken and won my bet but he too had a MC at Even par.
Thinking Howell Even money with my book v Schwartzel.
Andy some solid info. Gonna go with a bunch of your selections.
Posted:
#18
Quote Originally Posted by Ningishzida:
It seems like weather can really be advantageous for one group, keeping an eye on the wind is a must.
Other than that, I'm kind of jealous on some pairs you have access to, most of them are really good bets. You should really look if you can get Hearn, Piercy, Si Woo and Lee and bet literally anyone against them...
It seems like weather can really be advantageous for one group, keeping an eye on the wind is a must.
Other than that, I'm kind of jealous on some pairs you have access to, most of them are really good bets. You should really look if you can get Hearn, Piercy, Si Woo and Lee and bet literally anyone against them...
Si Woo has been a fade cash cow. Unfortunately I don't see a matchup with him. What do you not like about the other guys?
Posted:
#19
Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:
Like DJ and Spieth better than 9th. Not sure about taking them over Matsuyama though. I feel there are better values on the board in other matchups. Like Rose ov Thomas. No opinion on Snedeker ov Phil as both those guys are hard as hell to figure out sometimes.
Thanks man, appreciate the input and decided to tail you on some picks.
So far I've locked in:
Spieth finish better than 9th
Spieth finish better than 9th
DJ finish better than 9th
Day finish better than 14th
Molinari ov Chappell
Perez ov Furyk
Casey ov Koepka
1u on each
L TO YOU
Posted:
#22
Quote Originally Posted by QMICH:
MOLINARI HAS DEFINITELY STARTED THIS SEASON PLAYING MUCH BETTER THAN CHAPPELL. BUT WITH THE COURSE SOAKED & CHAPPELL BEING LONGER THAN MOLINARI & A BETTER PUTTER, IT SHOULD BE TIGHTER THAN THE #S MIGHT INDICATE.
I HOPE YOU ALL CASH
CHAPPELL CURSE
in the 2017 season Chappell is 215th in putting. Molinari is 61st. In driving accuracy...Molinari is 4th. Chappell is 105th. As far as driving distance...Molinari averages only 8 yards less than Chappell.
I still feel good about the play...
Hot Forum Topics
