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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    Farmers

    sacker17
    AJLightning
    JamieR44
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 678
    Posts: 10
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jan. 22, 2019 - 11:42 PM ET #1

    betting against Fowler 
    Finau -130

    Fowler hasn’t been good here from 2014 to 2018
    MC last 3 years, made cut 2015 at T61 and MC 2014

    Fowler just signed on with Taylor Made and will play a new ball for first time. In interview he acknowledged that playing a new ball is THE BIGGEST equipment change you can make. 

    Plus Finau history is good here 
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    betting against Fowler 
    Finau -130

    Fowler hasn’t been good here from 2014 to 2018
    MC last 3 years, made cut 2015 at T61 and MC 2014

    Fowler just signed on with Taylor Made and will play a new ball for first time. In interview he acknowledged that playing a new ball is THE BIGGEST equipment change you can make. 

    Plus Finau history is good here 
     
    AJLightning
    AJLightning
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2008
    Posts: 13879
    Posted: Jan. 23, 2019 - 8:57 AM ET #2

    Solid

     GL
    Reply
    Solid

     GL
     
    JamieR44
    JamieR44
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2015
    Posts: 652
    Posted: Jan. 23, 2019 - 10:39 AM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:

    betting against Fowler Finau -130Fowler hasn’t been good here from 2014 to 2018MC last 3 years, made cut 2015 at T61 and MC 2014Fowler just signed on with Taylor Made and will play a new ball for first time. In interview he acknowledged that playing a new ball is THE BIGGEST equipment change you can make. Plus Finau history is good here

    Finau probably worth a major future...he's getting that close.

    Surprised Rickie doesn't do well here, being a Cali guy and all you'd figure his junior years got him on this track. He's chasing yardage with that ball change. Zach, Kiz, can still win without having to be the longest guy on the course.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:

    betting against Fowler Finau -130Fowler hasn’t been good here from 2014 to 2018MC last 3 years, made cut 2015 at T61 and MC 2014Fowler just signed on with Taylor Made and will play a new ball for first time. In interview he acknowledged that playing a new ball is THE BIGGEST equipment change you can make. Plus Finau history is good here

    Finau probably worth a major future...he's getting that close.

    Surprised Rickie doesn't do well here, being a Cali guy and all you'd figure his junior years got him on this track. He's chasing yardage with that ball change. Zach, Kiz, can still win without having to be the longest guy on the course.

     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jan. 23, 2019 - 6:16 PM ET #4

    Gonna add a play against Willett

    1 unit on Vegas RD1 -115
    1/2 unit on Varner tourney -120

    Just feel like Willett plays better in Europe plus he NEVER played here at Torrey Pines. 
    Willett 3 events in 2019 wraparound with 2 MC
    9 total rounds and 6 of 9 were 70 or less. 
    At last week birdie fest Willett  C with rounds of 75/68/74. Not good. 

    Vegas 
    Wraparound season made 5 of 6 cuts. 
    Last week 1st start in 2 months Vegas made cut but wasn’t great. 
    Finished in 69th place scores of 66 & 68 along the way. 
    Think he knocks the rust off this week and plays well. He has long good history here whereas Willett never played here 
    Vegas
    2018 MC even. (Probably wrong side of cutline)
    2017 T28 -5
    2016 T18 +2. But he shot 80 in rd4 to drop from top of leaderboard!
    2015 T11 -6
    2014 T59 +3
    2013  MC even. 

    Bottom line. Vegas plays well here. 


    Varner
    Playing great. He seems to be a different player
    Wraparound season made 6 of 7 cuts
    All 6 cuts made he finished Top 23
    4 were Top 15
    2 were Top 6

    Problem potentially  I see is Varner has lousy history here. 
    2018 MC +8
    2017 MC +7
    2016 T31 +4


    Reply
    Gonna add a play against Willett

    1 unit on Vegas RD1 -115
    1/2 unit on Varner tourney -120

    Just feel like Willett plays better in Europe plus he NEVER played here at Torrey Pines. 
    Willett 3 events in 2019 wraparound with 2 MC
    9 total rounds and 6 of 9 were 70 or less. 
    At last week birdie fest Willett  C with rounds of 75/68/74. Not good. 

    Vegas 
    Wraparound season made 5 of 6 cuts. 
    Last week 1st start in 2 months Vegas made cut but wasn’t great. 
    Finished in 69th place scores of 66 & 68 along the way. 
    Think he knocks the rust off this week and plays well. He has long good history here whereas Willett never played here 
    Vegas
    2018 MC even. (Probably wrong side of cutline)
    2017 T28 -5
    2016 T18 +2. But he shot 80 in rd4 to drop from top of leaderboard!
    2015 T11 -6
    2014 T59 +3
    2013  MC even. 

    Bottom line. Vegas plays well here. 


    Varner
    Playing great. He seems to be a different player
    Wraparound season made 6 of 7 cuts
    All 6 cuts made he finished Top 23
    4 were Top 15
    2 were Top 6

    Problem potentially  I see is Varner has lousy history here. 
    2018 MC +8
    2017 MC +7
    2016 T31 +4


     
    sacker17
    sacker17
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jan. 24, 2019 - 11:19 AM ET #5

    Adding

    Grillo -135 v Wise (5Dimes)

    My Euro bet was Eurotrash (RCB).

    Looking for a winner, think this looks good

    Grillo 6 fo6 in cuts made in 2019 wraparound season.

    4 Top 22 finsihes included.

    Played well here last 2 years

    2018 T12 -5

    2017 T33 -4

    2016 MC

    Maybe he has figured this place out and he is playing well.

    Wise has MC here last 2 years and MC last week.

    2018 MC 71,73

    2017 MC 71,72,73,76


    Just think Grillo is playing better than Wise right now too

    Fed Ex Cup Grillo 17/Wise 70

    Avg score per round Grillo 70.2/Wise 71.2

    Strokes Gained Grillo +.15/Wise -.93

    OWGR Grillo 53/Wise 49


    The course history favors Grillo bigtime


    Reply

    Adding

    Grillo -135 v Wise (5Dimes)

    My Euro bet was Eurotrash (RCB).

    Looking for a winner, think this looks good

    Grillo 6 fo6 in cuts made in 2019 wraparound season.

    4 Top 22 finsihes included.

    Played well here last 2 years

    2018 T12 -5

    2017 T33 -4

    2016 MC

    Maybe he has figured this place out and he is playing well.

    Wise has MC here last 2 years and MC last week.

    2018 MC 71,73

    2017 MC 71,72,73,76


    Just think Grillo is playing better than Wise right now too

    Fed Ex Cup Grillo 17/Wise 70

    Avg score per round Grillo 70.2/Wise 71.2

    Strokes Gained Grillo +.15/Wise -.93

    OWGR Grillo 53/Wise 49


    The course history favors Grillo bigtime


     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jan. 27, 2019 - 10:42 AM ET #6

    Looks like Finau will beat Fowler who is struggling with new ball and maybe rust 

    I’m gonna go with Finau -110 rd4 v Day.
    Day just not sharp 
    He is a great putter and that is keeping him close as he is +1.98/RD this week which translates to almost 6 strokes. And Finau is -.99/RD which is almost 3 strokes total loss. Day had this gained 9 strokes on greens on Finau. 
    Finau okay I g better 
    Day Driving is 52% and GIR is 65% vs
    Finau is 69% driving and 72% GIR 

    I know day is a great putter but if he is just a little off or Finau is just decent, the way ginau is outplaying day should be enough to hit this. 
    Reply
    Looks like Finau will beat Fowler who is struggling with new ball and maybe rust 

    I’m gonna go with Finau -110 rd4 v Day.
    Day just not sharp 
    He is a great putter and that is keeping him close as he is +1.98/RD this week which translates to almost 6 strokes. And Finau is -.99/RD which is almost 3 strokes total loss. Day had this gained 9 strokes on greens on Finau. 
    Finau okay I g better 
    Day Driving is 52% and GIR is 65% vs
    Finau is 69% driving and 72% GIR 

    I know day is a great putter but if he is just a little off or Finau is just decent, the way ginau is outplaying day should be enough to hit this. 
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jan. 27, 2019 - 10:43 AM ET #7

    Jesus spellcheck just killed me. Should’ve proofed before hitting send 
    Reply
    Jesus spellcheck just killed me. Should’ve proofed before hitting send 
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jan. 27, 2019 - 11:54 AM ET #8

    Day just moved to -125 
    Reply
    Day just moved to -125 
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jan. 27, 2019 - 11:55 AM ET #9

    Oops!
    Meant to say
    Finau just moved to -125 v Day
    Reply
    Oops!
    Meant to say
    Finau just moved to -125 v Day
     
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jan. 27, 2019 - 4:24 PM ET #10

    Gonna lose 
    Rd4 Finau v Day as Day decided to
    Play his best golf in a Long time 

    Today -5(13) hitting 92% GIR 
    Finau doing decent at -3(13) 
    But Day hitting all greens 
    Rd1 he hit 61%
    Rd2 he hit 72%
    Rd3 he hit 61%
    Today Rd4 he hits 92%!!


    These daily round bets are so damn random. 
     

    Reply
    Gonna lose 
    Rd4 Finau v Day as Day decided to
    Play his best golf in a Long time 

    Today -5(13) hitting 92% GIR 
    Finau doing decent at -3(13) 
    But Day hitting all greens 
    Rd1 he hit 61%
    Rd2 he hit 72%
    Rd3 he hit 61%
    Today Rd4 he hits 92%!!


    These daily round bets are so damn random. 
     

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