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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    Canadian

    sacker17
    Newtons Law
    LeRinkRat
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 879
    Posts: 12
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jul. 25, 2018 - 8:00 AM ET #1

    one that jumped out at me is

    Niemann -125 v Kisner
    Niemann has been solid week in and week out. Seems like he is the “real deal”. 
    Kisner I think will have a hangover after a grueling British Open.  Mentally and physically very challenging week for Kisner. Really like Niemann 
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    one that jumped out at me is

    Niemann -125 v Kisner
    Niemann has been solid week in and week out. Seems like he is the “real deal”. 
    Kisner I think will have a hangover after a grueling British Open.  Mentally and physically very challenging week for Kisner. Really like Niemann 
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posted: Jul. 25, 2018 - 8:24 AM ET #2

    WHoly sh!t!,
    I just checked the weather for Thursday and the afternoon guys are screwed. 

    The guys teeing off at 8 am will have winds of 9moh and gusts 12 mph
    Gets progressively worse from there
    11 am wind 17 gusts 26
    1 pm wind 19 gusts 29
    3 pm wind 23 gusts 35
    4 pm wind 25 gusts 38


    Kisner tees off early and Niemann late 
    Can’t make the bet 
    Reply
    WHoly sh!t!,
    I just checked the weather for Thursday and the afternoon guys are screwed. 

    The guys teeing off at 8 am will have winds of 9moh and gusts 12 mph
    Gets progressively worse from there
    11 am wind 17 gusts 26
    1 pm wind 19 gusts 29
    3 pm wind 23 gusts 35
    4 pm wind 25 gusts 38


    Kisner tees off early and Niemann late 
    Can’t make the bet 
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jul. 25, 2018 - 8:55 AM ET #3

    These r the matchups with morning tee time guys v afternoon tee time guys 

    I’m gonna play them all as there is a huge edge and the afternoon guys will have much harder time to make cut

    Horschel -115 Snedeker
    Dahmen -115 Varner
    Reavie -125 Merritt
    Finau-155 Hoffman
    DJ -200 Fleetwood
    Kuchar -115 Niemann
    Kisner +105 Niemann. I’ll lay off that one by liked other way until saw weather
    Watson -115 Hoffman
    Woodland-130 Holmes
    Poulter -105 Garcia
    Kirk -115 Vegas. Note Vegas has won here 2 years in a row! But he is playing awful now
    Mitchell -110 Schniederjans 
    Spaun -110 v Lowry. 


    Let’s see what happens. 
    Seems like a big edge 
    Reply
    These r the matchups with morning tee time guys v afternoon tee time guys 

    I’m gonna play them all as there is a huge edge and the afternoon guys will have much harder time to make cut

    Horschel -115 Snedeker
    Dahmen -115 Varner
    Reavie -125 Merritt
    Finau-155 Hoffman
    DJ -200 Fleetwood
    Kuchar -115 Niemann
    Kisner +105 Niemann. I’ll lay off that one by liked other way until saw weather
    Watson -115 Hoffman
    Woodland-130 Holmes
    Poulter -105 Garcia
    Kirk -115 Vegas. Note Vegas has won here 2 years in a row! But he is playing awful now
    Mitchell -110 Schniederjans 
    Spaun -110 v Lowry. 


    Let’s see what happens. 
    Seems like a big edge 
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jul. 25, 2018 - 8:57 AM ET #4

    Oh BTW the guys teeing off at 7 am have 8 mph winds and 12 mph gusts
    Reply
    Oh BTW the guys teeing off at 7 am have 8 mph winds and 12 mph gusts
     
    Newtons Law
    Newtons Law
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    Posts: 2016
    Posted: Jul. 25, 2018 - 10:45 AM ET #5

    Where are you getting this forecaste/ you better check again

    Reply

    Where are you getting this forecaste/ you better check again

     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
    Legend
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    Joined: Dec, 2001
    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Jul. 25, 2018 - 12:07 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Newtons Law:

    Where are you getting this forecast / you better check again


    for what it's worth >>> https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/weekend-weather-forecast/ontario/glen-abbey-golf-club

    winds are kph so need to convert
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Newtons Law:

    Where are you getting this forecast / you better check again


    for what it's worth >>> https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/weekend-weather-forecast/ontario/glen-abbey-golf-club

    winds are kph so need to convert
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 25, 2018 - 12:09 PM ET #7

    DJ -200 Fleetwood

    "Cocker Tommy" a wind player. DJ not so much
    Reply
    DJ -200 Fleetwood

    "Cocker Tommy" a wind player. DJ not so much
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jul. 25, 2018 - 1:16 PM ET #8

    theweathernetwork.com


    I googled weather glen abbey golf course


    Rat thx, didn't realize the conversion.  That's a big difference.

    Still it looks much worse in pm wave than am wave.

    Problem is that with the possible isolated thunderstorms, if there is lightning, there could be a suspension in play in the pm wave, and then the afternoon guys get a break and either come back to soft greens or play Friday morning.

    Best laid plans can go awry

    Reply

    theweathernetwork.com


    I googled weather glen abbey golf course


    Rat thx, didn't realize the conversion.  That's a big difference.

    Still it looks much worse in pm wave than am wave.

    Problem is that with the possible isolated thunderstorms, if there is lightning, there could be a suspension in play in the pm wave, and then the afternoon guys get a break and either come back to soft greens or play Friday morning.

    Best laid plans can go awry

     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posted: Jul. 26, 2018 - 3:13 PM ET #9

    F'n weatherman needs a new dartboard and a new job.
    There is NO WIND in the pm wave.
    Flags are still.

    Reply
    F'n weatherman needs a new dartboard and a new job.
    There is NO WIND in the pm wave.
    Flags are still.

     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posted: Jul. 26, 2018 - 10:59 PM ET #10

    Even worse after the storm play resumed with soft greens and 3 mph winds. Perfect conditions. Absolutely perfect. 
    Everyone target shooting 
    Fleetwood goes from +1 to -5 in 4 holes!
    2 eagles and 2 birds in 4 holes. -6 in 4 holes. Never saw anything like that. 

    Varner goes from E to -2
    Snedeker picks up 2 in 4 holes to go from -1 to -3
    Hoffman picks up -2 
    Garcia picks up -2 or was it -3

    In 4 holes my plays all went to sh!t. 
    And I thought I had the edge with the weather 
    Wow!

    Reply
    Even worse after the storm play resumed with soft greens and 3 mph winds. Perfect conditions. Absolutely perfect. 
    Everyone target shooting 
    Fleetwood goes from +1 to -5 in 4 holes!
    2 eagles and 2 birds in 4 holes. -6 in 4 holes. Never saw anything like that. 

    Varner goes from E to -2
    Snedeker picks up 2 in 4 holes to go from -1 to -3
    Hoffman picks up -2 
    Garcia picks up -2 or was it -3

    In 4 holes my plays all went to sh!t. 
    And I thought I had the edge with the weather 
    Wow!

     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Jul. 26, 2018 - 11:34 PM ET #11

    Fleetwood goes from +1 to -5 in 4 holes!
    2 eagles and 2 birds in 4 holes. -6 in 4 holes. Never saw anything like that.

    "Cocker Tommy" is UNREAL when he gets going. was VERY Surprised he did NOT make a more serious run @ Carnoustie after his [-6] 2nd round. how about his final round [-7] US Open ???
    Reply
    Fleetwood goes from +1 to -5 in 4 holes!
    2 eagles and 2 birds in 4 holes. -6 in 4 holes. Never saw anything like that.

    "Cocker Tommy" is UNREAL when he gets going. was VERY Surprised he did NOT make a more serious run @ Carnoustie after his [-6] 2nd round. how about his final round [-7] US Open ???
     
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jul. 28, 2018 - 6:33 AM ET #12

    The 1 bet I really loved this week Niemann over Kisner wins easily. Such a great spot to go against an emotionally and physically drained Kisner with a fresh talent like Niemann. I bet it good and was gonna bet more until I checked the weather report. 
    THEN I check the weather on an awful unreliable site and get the brilliant idea that the early tee times will have a huge edge and I bet all early times against all late times. Unfortunately the weather site I checked theweathernetwork.com has bad info. On top of that the weather suspension day 1 resulted in resumption of play Thursday afternoon with soft greens and 3 mph winds. The late guys came back out and tore up the course. Fleetwood was -7 last 7 holes!!  Those same guys then came out Friday to perfect conditions while the winds picked up Friday afternoon so in the end I had the weather backwards and completely outsmarted myself and gave away a bunch of $$

    So pissed at myself. And my bad fortune with the weather 

    So RD3 I’ll try a few matchups with the guys who had the worst of the weather so far v guys who had the better
    Woodland v Holmes
    Mitchell v Merritt
    Poulter v Sabbatini. (Not sure of sabbatini tee times but I know Poulter had it bad and he was Good Friday in tough conditions)
    I’m guessing Sabbatini had it easy times 
    Reply
    The 1 bet I really loved this week Niemann over Kisner wins easily. Such a great spot to go against an emotionally and physically drained Kisner with a fresh talent like Niemann. I bet it good and was gonna bet more until I checked the weather report. 
    THEN I check the weather on an awful unreliable site and get the brilliant idea that the early tee times will have a huge edge and I bet all early times against all late times. Unfortunately the weather site I checked theweathernetwork.com has bad info. On top of that the weather suspension day 1 resulted in resumption of play Thursday afternoon with soft greens and 3 mph winds. The late guys came back out and tore up the course. Fleetwood was -7 last 7 holes!!  Those same guys then came out Friday to perfect conditions while the winds picked up Friday afternoon so in the end I had the weather backwards and completely outsmarted myself and gave away a bunch of $$

    So pissed at myself. And my bad fortune with the weather 

    So RD3 I’ll try a few matchups with the guys who had the worst of the weather so far v guys who had the better
    Woodland v Holmes
    Mitchell v Merritt
    Poulter v Sabbatini. (Not sure of sabbatini tee times but I know Poulter had it bad and he was Good Friday in tough conditions)
    I’m guessing Sabbatini had it easy times 
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