Arnold Palmer picks

Picks were jumping off the page for me today.  Hopefully that's a good thing!!!

Rickie Fowler ov Matsuyama

This is the time of year where Fowler plays well.  Every year in the Florida swing, Rickie comes alive, and sure enough his last 3 tournaments he’s finished 4th, 1st and 16th.  Matsuyama was playing great early in the season, but he’s cooled off since his win.  He has a missed cut and a 25th place finish since then though.  Best part about this play is Fowler is at plus money right now.

Brandt Snedeker ov Paul Casey

In his last 4 tournaments, Snedeker has 3 top 10 finishes, and a missed cut.  So it really depends on which Snedeker is going to show up.  I think we get the good Snedeker this week…he has 2 top 13 finishes in the last 3 years at this tourney.  Paul Casey is consistent, but he doesn’t have a high ceiling so far this season.  No top 10 finishes the last 8 tournaments, so I think Snedeker has the higher ceiling, and I think the good Snedeker shows up this week.

Wesley Bryan ov Zach Johnson

When you get a guy who’s playing as good as Wesley Bryan is, you just gotta ride him.  Three straight top 7 finishes.  Zach has been ok, but his last 2 tourneys he’s finished 58th, and 27th.  Zach has played well at this tourney the two previous years, but I’m riding Wesley Bryan until he cools off.

Jason Kokrak ov Bubba Watson

Bubba’s game is really struggling, and it’s mostly his irons.  Three out of the last 4 tourneys he’s missed the cut or he withdrew.  The other tournament he finished 38th.  Jason Kokrak has 3 straight made cuts including two top 25 finishes.  Kokrak also has three straight top 20 finishes at this tourney including two top 6 finishes.

Tyrell Hatton ov Francesco Molinari

I wanted to bet on Molinari this week cause I think he’s undervalued, but this matchup is not what I expected from the books, and I can’t ignore the numbers.  Tyrell Hatton has 3 straight top 10 finishes, while Molinari doesn’t have any top 10 finishes.  Molinari is a top 20 machine…but Hatton is a top 10 machine.

Graham Delaet ov Emiliano Grillo

Cashed a bet last week with Delaet…going back to the well again here.  Delaet has 4 straight top 22 finishes, two of those finishes are top 10.  He’s really in the groove where as Grillo doesn’t have a finish better than 33rd this season.  Not sure what’s going on with Grillo, but he’s fade material in this matchup.

Pat Perez ov Kevin Chappell

I don’t get this matchup at all, but I’ll take it!!!  Kevin Chappell’s best finish this year is 48th.  He also has a 55th, a 78th, and 2 missed cuts.  Take away the random withdraw from Perez, and he doesn’t have a finish worse than 38th.  Perez is the better golfer in this matchup right now, and it’s not even close.

great analysis and picks andy.  a few other matchups i like are

Jason Kokrak ov Bubba Watson, Pat Perez ov Kevin Chappell and Wesley Bryan ov Zach Johnson

thanks for the reminder, alangrrbs and the "Coat Rack" is even odds too boot. Perez is -115 while I have two plays with Wesley Bryan -115 over Johnson and +105 over Molinari

here are my "to win" for the week

Tommy Fleetwood 50-1. 2nd @ Mexico one shot behind DJ, 3rd @ Hong Kong and WON @ Abu Dhabi

Wesley Bryan 50-1. 7th, 4th and 4th his last three tourneys

 Adam Hadwin 60-1.  just WON last week after being 2nd @ La Quinta earlier in the season

Alex Noren 100-1. has been flat his last few BUT WON four  times last season and shoots wicked low when on his game

Pat Perez 100-1. WON the OHL late last season. rather flat his last two BUT has had 3 top 10's in addition to the OHL win

Really like a lot of your plays this week. I am not sure if that is a good thing or a bad thing as I have been really cold in golf. The one match up that looks tempting to me you did not have is Kaymer over Hadwin. My feeling is it will be tough for him to get back into competitive mode after winning last week. Plus he is getting married in a few weeks PLUS he will be playing in Augusta. There will be a lot on his mind and not sure if it is the Bay Hill.

Hatton over Molinari
Kokrak over Bubba
Bryan over Zach
Perez over Chappel

They all look really good to me. Best of luck this week!

Wow. I was already liking most of those plays. You just solidified em for me though. Love Fowler against Matsuyama. Moving opposite directions.

Let's cash it

Also big on Stenson finish 8th/better

Playing Hatton -1/2 ov Kaufman 1st round.

some interesting players in the 8-1 FIELD @ William-Hill this week

Scott Brown T-2nd @ Riveria
Patrick Rogers T-4th @ Torrey Pines
CT Pan T-2nd @ Torrey Pines
Jeunghun Wang WON @ Qatar
Danny Willett 5th Maybank @ Malaysia (3rd round leader)
Cody Gribble WON @ Sanderson Farms
Rod Pampling WON @ Las Vegas
Mackenzie Hughes WON @ Sea Island
Jason Kokrak
Kevin Streelman
Daniel Summerhays
Ian Poulter
Seung-yul Noh
Danny Lee
Si Woo Kim
Roberto Castro
Thorbjorn Olesen
Chez Reavie
Kyle Reifers
David Lingmerth
J.J. Spaun
James Hahn
Smylie Kaufman
Troy Merritt
Camilo Villegas
David Hearn
Fabian Gomez

my boy Jeunghun Wang has been kind of struggling since winning in Qatar BUT he can still shoot low when he is on his game. would NOT count out Danny Willett OR Thor Olesen either. I see some people on Jason Kokrak in CMJ's Cover Contest this week

Good luck this week Andy.

Hatton bogeys to start wonderful

Hatton just doesn't have mojo today and smiley steady

Curious Blb, do you play golf?

Yes I do frusting ties up and pukes right back sorry guys

i don't know who the f*ck this guy is, but i assume we bet him this week. 


https://twitter.com/PGATOUR/status/842483249624444929

Playing Hatton -1/2 ov Kaufman again

How is C Hoffman favored -265 in round 2 over Every?