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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    AMEX

    Rollz
    WYBBOB
    PeAceMaKer7690
    paperprophets
    MarkyMark987
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 464
    Posts: 22
     
    Rollz
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2025 - 10:59 PM ET #1

    Do not love this tournament when it comes to betting due to the fact that these guys will play on 3 different courses throughout the tournament, 2 of which have no shot link data to go off of. But we do know that they will play the stadium course twice, which we do have data on so that is where I did most of my handicapping. 

    This is a short par 72 layout that is heavily bunkered and has many water hazards throughout, it will be important to have control of your golf ball off the tee and on approach. An important note, these greens on the stadium course were redone this past year which means they should be very firm. This will make it much more difficult to hold greens on longer approaches and gives a considerable edge to elite approach players IMO. All 3 courses are short layouts that feature easy scoring conditions, a hot putter will be a requirement to keep up.

    All in all I think the best route to go here is target elite approach players first and foremost, but you also want relative accuracy off the tee to avoid the water and setup more favorable approaches on these firm greens. I would also favor golfers who excel in easy scoring conditions and can get hot with the putter. Bunker play is another ancillary stat that could be meaningful this week. I played one and will likely add another 1 or 2 tomorrow 

    Tom Hoge (60-1) 1u

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Do not love this tournament when it comes to betting due to the fact that these guys will play on 3 different courses throughout the tournament, 2 of which have no shot link data to go off of. But we do know that they will play the stadium course twice, which we do have data on so that is where I did most of my handicapping. 

    This is a short par 72 layout that is heavily bunkered and has many water hazards throughout, it will be important to have control of your golf ball off the tee and on approach. An important note, these greens on the stadium course were redone this past year which means they should be very firm. This will make it much more difficult to hold greens on longer approaches and gives a considerable edge to elite approach players IMO. All 3 courses are short layouts that feature easy scoring conditions, a hot putter will be a requirement to keep up.

    All in all I think the best route to go here is target elite approach players first and foremost, but you also want relative accuracy off the tee to avoid the water and setup more favorable approaches on these firm greens. I would also favor golfers who excel in easy scoring conditions and can get hot with the putter. Bunker play is another ancillary stat that could be meaningful this week. I played one and will likely add another 1 or 2 tomorrow 

    Tom Hoge (60-1) 1u

     
    WYBBOB
    WYBBOB
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2025 - 1:09 AM ET #2

    I will be on Hoge also…

    Reply

    I will be on Hoge also…

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2025 - 2:23 AM ET #3

    good pick

    Reply

    good pick

     
    paperprophets
    paperprophets
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2025 - 9:36 AM ET #4

    Looks like Xander withdrew.

    Reply

    Looks like Xander withdrew.

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2025 - 11:53 AM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by paperprophets:

    Looks like Xander withdrew.

    Yep he did, wish I wouldve capped this early before everyone’s odds dropped. BOL this week buddy 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by paperprophets:

    Looks like Xander withdrew.

    Yep he did, wish I wouldve capped this early before everyone’s odds dropped. BOL this week buddy 

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2025 - 12:11 PM ET #6

    Kurt Kitayama (35-1) 1u

    Reply

    Kurt Kitayama (35-1) 1u

     
    MarkyMark987
    MarkyMark987
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2025 - 6:53 PM ET #7

    It seemed like the players that played the SC last had the advantage? I could be wrong. Appreciate your posts GL RollZ

    Reply

    It seemed like the players that played the SC last had the advantage? I could be wrong. Appreciate your posts GL RollZ

     
    paperprophets
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2025 - 7:58 PM ET #8

    BOL brother.  Total crapshoot this week.

    Reply

    BOL brother.  Total crapshoot this week.

     
    Rollz
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2025 - 10:36 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by MarkyMark987:

    It seemed like the players that played the SC last had the advantage? I could be wrong. Appreciate your posts GL RollZ

    What do you mean by played it last? Not heckling just was a little confused by the question, thanks for stopping by buddy 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by MarkyMark987:

    It seemed like the players that played the SC last had the advantage? I could be wrong. Appreciate your posts GL RollZ

    What do you mean by played it last? Not heckling just was a little confused by the question, thanks for stopping by buddy 

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2025 - 10:38 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by paperprophets:

    BOL brother.  Total crapshoot this week.


    Absolutely, was considering starting to get into finishing positions this week but will not for that very reason. I will probly add 1 or 2 more outrights at longer odds as it is a crap shoot and big longshots do have a recent track record of success in this tourney

    Thanks my friend peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by paperprophets:

    BOL brother.  Total crapshoot this week.


    Absolutely, was considering starting to get into finishing positions this week but will not for that very reason. I will probly add 1 or 2 more outrights at longer odds as it is a crap shoot and big longshots do have a recent track record of success in this tourney

    Thanks my friend peace_5

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 7:11 AM ET #11

    Added a couple, good number on Cole who is one of the best in the field on easy scoring conditions. Dart throw on Schmid who has had success on this golf course and other comparative courses that I’m looking at, should be able to tear up the par 5s which is a must if you want to win this event. That’ll be all BOL everybody thumbs_up

     

    Kurt Kitayama (35-1) 1u

    Tom Hoge (60-1) 1u

    Eric Cole (70-1) 0.5u

    Matti Schmid (200-1) 0.5u

    Reply

    Added a couple, good number on Cole who is one of the best in the field on easy scoring conditions. Dart throw on Schmid who has had success on this golf course and other comparative courses that I’m looking at, should be able to tear up the par 5s which is a must if you want to win this event. That’ll be all BOL everybody thumbs_up

     

    Kurt Kitayama (35-1) 1u

    Tom Hoge (60-1) 1u

    Eric Cole (70-1) 0.5u

    Matti Schmid (200-1) 0.5u

     
    MarkyMark987
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 1:46 PM ET #12

    My bad- i just meant that the players that played the stadium course Saturday seemed to have an advantage. It's a wacky tournament to bet. Good luck ?? 

    Reply

    My bad- i just meant that the players that played the stadium course Saturday seemed to have an advantage. It's a wacky tournament to bet. Good luck ?? 

     
    Skydog1842
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 1:47 PM ET #13

    Wooooeeee! Back to betting on golf!

     

    How about J.J. Spaun for a longshot? Tied 3rd last week and might be worth a look 55 to 1

    Reply

    Wooooeeee! Back to betting on golf!

     

    How about J.J. Spaun for a longshot? Tied 3rd last week and might be worth a look 55 to 1

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 2:41 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by MarkyMark987:

    My bad- i just meant that the players that played the stadium course Saturday seemed to have an advantage. It's a wacky tournament to bet. Good luck ??

    Oh yeah thats probably just dependent on weather conditions i would think, Thanks brotha gl to you

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by MarkyMark987:

    My bad- i just meant that the players that played the stadium course Saturday seemed to have an advantage. It's a wacky tournament to bet. Good luck ??

    Oh yeah thats probably just dependent on weather conditions i would think, Thanks brotha gl to you

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 2:49 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by Skydog1842:

    Wooooeeee! Back to betting on golf!   How about J.J. Spaun for a longshot? Tied 3rd last week and might be worth a look 55 to 1

     

    I like where your heads at my friend. I was very close to betting Spaun, he would’ve been my next pick. 

    One of the best birdie makers in this field ranking 5th in this field in BOB% last 12 months, 6th in this field in easy scoring conditions last 3 yrs, 6th in this field in par 5 BOB% last 12 months. I also have him ranked as the 3rd best approach player in this field for the last 6 months. 

    I think it’s a fantastic spot for JJ, he’s due to win one with how he’s been going lately. Love it! I have FOMO as I am writing this lol 

    Btw, shoutout to the RABBIT HOLE on BETSPERTS golf. That is where these stats come from, A great resource for modeling golf tournaments. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Skydog1842:

    Wooooeeee! Back to betting on golf!   How about J.J. Spaun for a longshot? Tied 3rd last week and might be worth a look 55 to 1

     

    I like where your heads at my friend. I was very close to betting Spaun, he would’ve been my next pick. 

    One of the best birdie makers in this field ranking 5th in this field in BOB% last 12 months, 6th in this field in easy scoring conditions last 3 yrs, 6th in this field in par 5 BOB% last 12 months. I also have him ranked as the 3rd best approach player in this field for the last 6 months. 

    I think it’s a fantastic spot for JJ, he’s due to win one with how he’s been going lately. Love it! I have FOMO as I am writing this lol 

    Btw, shoutout to the RABBIT HOLE on BETSPERTS golf. That is where these stats come from, A great resource for modeling golf tournaments. 

     
    WYBBOB
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 4:25 PM ET #16

    Hoge 55/1…

    Dunlap 45/1…

     

    Reply

    Hoge 55/1…

    Dunlap 45/1…

     

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 5:03 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by WYBBOB:

    Hoge 55/1… Dunlap 45/1…

    Hope hoge can get it done for us, BOL my guy peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by WYBBOB:

    Hoge 55/1… Dunlap 45/1…

    Hope hoge can get it done for us, BOL my guy peace_5

     
    Skydog1842
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 5:04 PM ET #18

    @Rollz

     Thanks for the tips on Betsperts and Rabbit Hole! Good luck!

    Reply

    @Rollz

     Thanks for the tips on Betsperts and Rabbit Hole! Good luck!

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2025 - 12:54 AM ET #19

    I like Cam Young, Hoge, Straka, and Smalley

    For Dubai, I like A Scott, A Fitz, Neergard, and Soderberg.

    GLA!

    Reply

    I like Cam Young, Hoge, Straka, and Smalley

    For Dubai, I like A Scott, A Fitz, Neergard, and Soderberg.

    GLA!

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2025 - 7:14 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by PeAceMaKer7690:

    I like Cam Young, Hoge, Straka, and Smalley For Dubai, I like A Scott, A Fitz, Neergard, and Soderberg. GLA!

     

    This thread will be jumpin’ if Mr. Hoge makes some noise. BOL brotha peace_5  Like a couple of those myself 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by PeAceMaKer7690:

    I like Cam Young, Hoge, Straka, and Smalley For Dubai, I like A Scott, A Fitz, Neergard, and Soderberg. GLA!

     

    This thread will be jumpin’ if Mr. Hoge makes some noise. BOL brotha peace_5  Like a couple of those myself 

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2025 - 8:03 AM ET #21

    dpwt r. hojgaard comeback win

    Reply

    dpwt r. hojgaard comeback win

     
     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2025 - 10:09 AM ET #22

    I wouldn’t recommend putting your hard earned money on this wager as you could’ve got a much much better number pre tournament, but I had a bonus bet at one of my books so took this as I am really regretting not playing him pre flop 

     

    JJ Spaun (16-1) 1u

    Reply

    I wouldn’t recommend putting your hard earned money on this wager as you could’ve got a much much better number pre tournament, but I had a bonus bet at one of my books so took this as I am really regretting not playing him pre flop 

     

    JJ Spaun (16-1) 1u

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